Here are my pics this week for the EPL (all line from Pinny):
Arsenal -2 OR -1.5 and -2
Derby
Arsenal has started of strongly in the EPL so far, with a 4-0-1 record. Their strong showing last weekend against Totenham and their strong performance in their opening CL game beating a decent Sevilla team 3-0 is proof enough that they should have absolutely no problems dispatching Derby this weekend. Unless Arsenal doesn't take this game seriously and beat themselves, this should be a blowout for Arsenal.
PICK: Arsenal at -2 or -1.5 and -2.
Liverpool
Birmingham +1.5 and +2
This is my darkhorse pick for plus money. Liverpool have been somewhat struggling lately, drawing to Portsmouth and playing poorly against Porto, a game which they drew 1-1 but should have lost. Add to the mix that Alonso and Agger are ruled out, and you have a situation where getting goals may be problematic. Birmingham have played well against superior competition, surprising Chelsea in the opening weekend of the EPL, losing only 3-2. I can see Birmingham holding Liverpool to a single goal.
PICK: Birmingham +1.5 and +2
Manchester City -PK
Fulham
Manchester City has surprised many EPL watchers so far, being second in the EPL. I have been impressed thus far with City, and their record shows. Their only 2 losses came against Arsenal and Villa. Take City at a pick, the worst I can see happening is a draw.
PICK: Manchester City
Manchester United -0.5
Chelsea
Chelsea is in turmoil right now, they just lost Mourhino, plus the injuries to Drogba and Lampard. There is too much turbulence within Chelsea right now to consider them any threat to United. United meanwhile are finally resembling the Champions of last year, with big wins against Sporting Lisbon in the CL and Everton last weekend. Add to the fact they are playing Chelsea at home, and I see a nice United victory here.
PICK: Manchester United -0.5
So far, those are my pics. I may post more tomorrow covering Sunday's games.