1. #36
    xGrr
    xGrr's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-24-10
    Posts: 216
    Betpoints: 95

    I decided to set some rules and see how it will go so for an early bet i will give a shot to this one
    AFC - Champion League
    Adelaide

  2. #37
    uva3021
    uva3021's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-07
    Posts: 537
    Betpoints: 381

    saw this one too, everyday there are high volume wagers on one side, especially the home team that is either a small odds favorite or underdog on a 3way line, not sure how popular this league is though and if $25,000 bet on any one particular game in this league is the norm

  3. #38
    JOHON8
    gambling fallacy
    JOHON8's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-10
    Posts: 7,712
    Betpoints: 338

    Bundesliga III
    Carl Zeiss Jena / 3.5

    This was the biggest bet in the league for today on betfair. They play away from home against a team a few places under them in the table.

  4. #39
    uva3021
    uva3021's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-07
    Posts: 537
    Betpoints: 381

    here is one that fits one of these conditions

    http://sports.betfair.com/?mi=101238447&ex=1&origin=MRL

    Dubnica 1.8 ($263)

    MFK Petrzalka 5.1 ($597

    Draw 3.95 ($6)

  5. #40
    BojeN
    BojeN's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-21-10
    Posts: 4
    Betpoints: 30

    Quote Originally Posted by uva3021 View Post
    here is one that fits one of these conditions



    Dubnica 1.8 ($263)

    MFK Petrzalka 5.1 ($597

    Draw 3.95 ($6)
    Not to much money at stake thought....

  6. #41
    blackf1re
    blackf1re's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 487
    Betpoints: 319

    Quote Originally Posted by JOHON8 View Post
    Bundesliga III
    Carl Zeiss Jena / 3.5

    This was the biggest bet in the league for today on betfair. They play away from home against a team a few places under them in the table.
    Just FYI: Erfurt v Jena is the biggest game of the season for both teams and supporters. It's the Thuringia derby.

    I'd still go with Jena but these games are usually tight affairs. Also Erfurt players recently critizised their own fans for not supporting them properly whereas the fans don't have a lot of faith in team and manager. So this game might be the perfect opportunity to to become reconciled.
    Last edited by blackf1re; 03-24-10 at 06:44 AM.

  7. #42
    Gandev
    Gandev's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-14-10
    Posts: 394

    Quote Originally Posted by BojeN View Post
    Not to much money at stake thought....
    Although considering the game this kind of deserves a small risk!

  8. #43
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    guys couple things to consider with atalanta, its a big league game tend to stay away from those, and they are the favourite so it is expected they have more money on them, and the ammount of money on the game isnt that great for serie A so I would not try that game as a test.

  9. #44
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    also dont play al-itthad anymore

    but al-saad looks good still

  10. #45
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    Not much being traded in this game but someone put 100$ on Bath City out of 106$ wagered on the match

    Total matched on this event: $106 Betting summary - Volume: $100 Last price matched: 2.00

  11. #46
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    Ya for sure sorry:
    AFC Champions League:

    Al-Saad SC +110
    Al Ittihad Jeddah +130
    Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga
    Ceske Budejovice +100
    Bulgaria A PFG
    Lokomotiv Mezdra +350
    Austria Bundesliga
    SV Ried +150
    money is on the other sides in these games, so when you check make sure you dont do it so early like i did

    Adding
    Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga

    Sigma Olomouc +110

    Slovenian Corgan League

    Petrzalka +425

    Serbian Super League:
    Belgrade -120
    Last edited by rfr3sh; 03-24-10 at 10:45 AM.

  12. #47
    uva3021
    uva3021's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-07
    Posts: 537
    Betpoints: 381

    early money may be a better indicator

    saw olomouc but they are 2.12 on a 3way line, so its basically expected 60-70% of the money flows their way, not much line movement either

  13. #48
    xGrr
    xGrr's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-24-10
    Posts: 216
    Betpoints: 95

    Quote Originally Posted by xGrr View Post
    I decided to set some rules and see how it will go so for an early bet i will give a shot to this one
    AFC - Champion League
    Adelaide
    3-2 win

  14. #49
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    Nice, what did you notice in that game xGrr

  15. #50
    Masu485
    Masu485's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-14-08
    Posts: 7,700
    Betpoints: 12813

    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    money is on the other sides in these games, so when you check make sure you dont do it so early like i did
    fukk, last night i made a round robin with those plays

  16. #51
    pitman
    Gmbln isthesureway 2getnothin frm sumthn
    pitman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-15-09
    Posts: 2,216

    what about burghausen to beat bremen(am) in germany 3. +145

  17. #52
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    Quote Originally Posted by Masu485 View Post
    fukk, last night i made a round robin with those plays
    Both AFC games won. so you can still win some

  18. #53
    pitman
    Gmbln isthesureway 2getnothin frm sumthn
    pitman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-15-09
    Posts: 2,216

    and dresden +.5 (-115) @ Aue , germany 3

  19. #54
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    Quote Originally Posted by pitman View Post
    what about burghausen to beat bremen(am) in germany 3. +145
    that market wont show up on betfair

  20. #55
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    Belgium Division 2:
    RFC Tournai v Lierse DRAW

    testing this one, because most money is on the draw, so will list it here to see if it hits

  21. #56
    pitman
    Gmbln isthesureway 2getnothin frm sumthn
    pitman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-15-09
    Posts: 2,216

    hmm. ok, ya i've been using flashscore. this is what it has for game. burghausen - bremen (am)
    Attached Images  

  22. #57
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    oh right, I usually just check the amount of money not the line move

  23. #58
    pitman
    Gmbln isthesureway 2getnothin frm sumthn
    pitman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-15-09
    Posts: 2,216

    it shows the amounts on betfairs website?

  24. #59
    pitman
    Gmbln isthesureway 2getnothin frm sumthn
    pitman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-15-09
    Posts: 2,216

    Is reid still a play?. From the looks of it on what ive been using is a whack load have layed reid.yet odds are dropping on reid ML.....
    reid-vienna
    Attached Images  

  25. #60
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    yeah when you click on the individual game there is a graph symbol next to the team name or draw click that

  26. #61
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    yes im still on reid

  27. #62
    pitman
    Gmbln isthesureway 2getnothin frm sumthn
    pitman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-15-09
    Posts: 2,216

    ok thanks

  28. #63
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    no problem, tomorrow I have no class so I can check the games at 3am EST which is when i checked them the first day and got good results

  29. #64
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    not looking like a good day today, maybe its all about the time checked, or maybe it was just a coincidence the first day

  30. #65
    N.O.S.
    N.O.S.'s Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-18-10
    Posts: 843

    Is Betfair still off limits to the US players? They have great soccer forum there.

  31. #66
    Masu485
    Masu485's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-14-08
    Posts: 7,700
    Betpoints: 12813

    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    Both AFC games won. so you can still win some
    i did round robin with 3s. i didnt understand round robins completely when i made the bet. so i lost everything. my luck is unreal. i have to go at least 3-1 now on my late plays to make this a winning day.

  32. #67
    JOHON8
    gambling fallacy
    JOHON8's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-10
    Posts: 7,712
    Betpoints: 338

    Quote Originally Posted by JOHON8 View Post
    Bundesliga III
    Carl Zeiss Jena / 3.5

    This was the biggest bet in the league for today on betfair. They play away from home against a team a few places under them in the table.
    Erfurt 0-3 Carl Zeiss Jena

    There was 5k on Jena vs a few hundred on Erfurt.
    Last edited by JOHON8; 03-24-10 at 08:49 PM.

  33. #68
    uva3021
    uva3021's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-07
    Posts: 537
    Betpoints: 381

    Quote Originally Posted by uva3021 View Post
    what about a play like Atalanta v Cagliari

    Atalanta 1.83 ($268,000)

    Cagliari 5 ($8000)
    Draw 3.75 ($7000)

    would atalanta just be a square bet? high volume on high favorite, but its absurd the percentage of bets on one side
    Damn Atalanta won 3:1, should have played this


  34. #69
    JOHON8
    gambling fallacy
    JOHON8's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-10
    Posts: 7,712
    Betpoints: 338

    Quote Originally Posted by uva3021 View Post
    Damn Atalanta won 3:1, should have played this
    Atalanta was in relegation zone and needed this win badly. This is a pattern that's pretty much the same but at different levels through out every league right now, so when we see almost 300k on a match we should look at these things and take advantage.

  35. #70
    rfr3sh
    Blind Knucklehead
    rfr3sh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 10,229
    Betpoints: 604

    ok guys I am checking for plays right now

First 123 Last
Top