Atlético Madrid - Getafe

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  • thabeest
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-28-10
    • 159

    #1
    Atlético Madrid - Getafe
    Getafe to win -135 2 units
    Ibrahima to score for AM +320 1 unit

    First I was like what the **** when I checked the price on this match. AM +400 underdogs at home

    The price have gone down on AM since after going up and is now at +370.

    Getafe was juiced at -160, but is now -135. I say thank you to pinnacle for lowering the price to a juiced level I'm actually willing to pay.

    Getafe have everything to play for in this derby of a match when they are fighting for the last europa league spot in the league, the 6th place.

    It's either Getafe or Villarreal who gets the spot.
    Considering Villarreal is more than capable of beating Zaragoza even away from home today, Getafe needs to win this game. Getafe won 3-0 at home vs Villarreal and will win the head 2 head results vs Villarreal since Villarrael won 3-2 over Getafe earlier in the since. That means Getafe will win the h2h results 5-3 since both teams won their respective games over each other. In Spain it's the h2h results and goal difference which are a tiebreaker if teams have equal many points in the league.

    Atlético Madrid just won the europa league over Fulham and I am sure they went all out on the town to celebrate that important trophy for the team. They also have the cup final game vs Sevilla to look forward to this coming wednesday and to this game stars like Simao, Forlan and Aguero will be rested prior to that cup final game.

    Villarreal supporters I have spoken to are not very confident of getting that last europa league spot knowing AM will rest players.

    And now it all seems so clear why Getafe are juiced favorites even away from home visiting Atlético Madrid today.

    Even with Getafe favorites to win this game, we all know Atlético Madrid are usually involved with high scoring affairs with both teams scoring. Ibrahima will play as striker today and I think he'll be very much up for the task, motivated to score more goals to end the season. He'll take good care of the opportunity and the fact that AM are big underdogs makes the price on him to score go way up - my opinion is it's too high and worth at least a unit risked.

    19 year old Ibrahima from Senegal have gotten the chance from the start 4 times this year, one of them in their previous game in the league away from home vs Sporting Gijon - he scored the 1-1 goal in that game. With 12 total shots, 4 of them on goal resulting in 3 goals this season, and priced at +320 today makes me think I've made a pretty decent bet here. He sure is effective and like all young talented players he's always out to prove himself for the club.
  • thabeest
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-28-10
    • 159

    #2
    Bumping this thread, wish me luck guys cause I've used up my own already today
    Comment
    • Marginalis
      SBR MVP
      • 12-12-09
      • 1862

      #3
      Comment
      • Bostonknowledge
        SBR High Roller
        • 01-02-10
        • 127

        #4
        Looks good so far GL!!
        Comment
        • thabeest
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-28-10
          • 159

          #5
          Marginalis and Boston

          But Real Zaragoza 3-1 over Villarreal and if it stays that way then Getafe doesn't even need a draw in this game. Let's hope they don't lose focus.
          Comment
          • jscar3
            SBR High Roller
            • 02-10-09
            • 130

            #6
            you never can say with Athletico, so beware
            Comment
            • hustla
              SBR MVP
              • 10-20-09
              • 1235

              #7
              nice call
              Comment
              • thabeest
                SBR High Roller
                • 01-28-10
                • 159

                #8
                Cheers

                Getafe to win -135 2 units
                Ibrahima to score for AM +320 1 unit
                Comment
                • Marginalis
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-12-09
                  • 1862

                  #9
                  Comment
                  • knightof7
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-14-10
                    • 396

                    #10
                    glad I went with this play as well
                    Comment
                    • Szucsi
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 02-28-10
                      • 288

                      #11
                      Thanks thabeest
                      Comment
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