1. #71
    k13
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    Why don't they have "not" to score for the individual games??

    Unibet has a million but can't do that one..

  2. #72
    Hoopball328
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    Appreciate this thread. Thank you, DiamondJack

  3. #73
    DiamondJack
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Why don't they have "not" to score for the individual games??

    Unibet has a million but can't do that one..
    They do, its called Correct score 0-0 or for individual teams Team total goals zero

  4. #74
    DiamondJack
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    Hoopball---

  5. #75
    DiamondJack
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    Netherlands v Ukraine
    The game being played in Amsterdam gives them the edge where since 2020 they have a record of four wins 2 draws and 2 loses. Ukraine away from home are pretty bad having only won 2 over their past 13 away games and those were to Luxembourg & Lithuania. The Dutch missing Van de beek & Van Dijk will obviously hurt them, but not so much in the group stage. Since Koemans departure to Barcelona they strangely hired De Boer as manager and he has been heavily criticized for his negative tactics and having basically no management style. I expect a low scoring match perhaps 0-0 or 1-0 to the home side thus;
    12. Netherlands/Ukraine UNDER 1.5 @ 3.00/+200 (1u)

  6. #76
    DiamondJack
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    Scotland v Czech Republic
    The long suffering Scotland fans finally get to play in a major tournament ending a drought that was in place since 1998. 12'000 will be in attendance at home in Glasgow versus an opponent that they beat both home 1-0 and away 2-1 last year. Form wise the Scots are undefeated in their last 5 where as the Czechs are 2W 2L 1D the 2 wins coming against Estonia & Albania. This is yet another game that screams the under however there is little value in that, I was also considering HT/FT DRAW/SCOTLAND. I see plenty of value backing the home side so;
    13. Scotland ML @ 3.00/+200 (1u) Will Hill
    14. Scotland PK @ 2.02/+102 (2u) Bet365

  7. #77
    DiamondJack
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack View Post
    Italy v Turkey
    Turkey are the second youngest side in the tournament, they can give you great results such as beating the Netherlands and drawing Germany or they can stink it up like losing to Hungary and drawing with Latvia. I think knowing they will have their last 2 games in Baku (almost home) they will play not to lose in Rome. Turkeys last 4 opponents have been very poor sides Latvia #128 Azerbaijan #110 Guinea #72 & Moldova #177. Italy will be ready their past 8 results have been all wins & all clean sheets. In fact 14 of their past 17 games they kept a clean sheet. All one has to do is look at their 3 WC qualifiers for their MO, 2-0 results in all 3 games. There is no value on the ML but I do like;
    1. Italy win to NIL @ 2.25/+125 (1U) Bet365
    Always nice to start it off with a win

  8. #78
    DiamondJack
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    Poland v Slovakia
    There will be almost 34 thousand spectators in St Petersburg in Russia most of them Polish. I expect an open game as Poland need the win versus the odds on favourite to finish bottom Slovakia. Form wise both sides have been drawing too many games lately 3/5 for Poland & 4/5 for Slovakia. On paper Poland are the better side with a transfer value double that of Slovakia & a more superior ELO rank of 1796-1656. The analytics are all pointing to a 1 goal victory for Poland. If anyone is going to drag their team to a win it will be Robert Lewandowski who the Slovaks have no answer to thus;
    15. R. Lewandowski to score anytime @ 2.05/+105 (1u) BetVic
    16. Poland ML @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Bet365

  9. #79
    DiamondJack
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    Spain v Sweden
    Sergio Busquets and Diego Llorente are both in quarantine and are unlikely to feature for Spain. Even with their absence Spain has too much of a deep squad and playing at home in Seville should also be a plus. Sweden have their own covid problems with Juventus winger Kulusevski & Bologna midfielder Svanberg expected to miss out, that is a bigger deal. The last time Sweden played Spain in Spain they lost 3-0 back in 2019. Spain at home in their past 13 games they have a record of 11W 2D 0L included in those are 10 clean sheets.
    17. Spain win to NIL @ 2.10/+110 (1u)

  10. #80
    DiamondJack
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    Summing up the first 2 days of picks....
    7 in the books 4-3 +355
    1. +125 2. +210
    3. -100 4. -110
    5. -100 6. +200
    7. +130

  11. #81
    DiamondJack
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack View Post
    England v Croatia
    England has a chance here to avenge their World cup extra time loss to Croatia in the semis back in 2018. The game is in London and the last time these two sides met, England won 2-1 in the Nations league. Form wise England come into the game winners of 6 straight, while only giving up one goal in that stretch to Poland. England's last 16 home games, 15 wins and only one loss to Denmark. Croatia on the other hand away from home recently have a record of 2W 4D 9L. Croatia are in decline, the three lions have too much quality England wins this easy. Harry Kane has scored an England record 10 PK's in international play. He also scored in that 2-1 win vs Croatia their last meeting so lets try;
    8. Harry Kane to score anytime @ 2.38/+138 (1u) Bet365
    9. England ML @ 1.80/-125 (2u) Bet365

    I will be adding a card prop to this game..The past 3 times these sides met we have seen 13 yellows averaging 4.33 per game & no reds So far no reds in this tournament also. A red card here in this prop counts as 2 cards. I see nerves and a bad tackle here or there so;
    18. Total Cards OVER 3.5 @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Bet365
    Points Awarded:

    cecil127 gave DiamondJack 10 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  12. #82
    DiamondJack
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack View Post
    Netherlands v Ukraine
    The game being played in Amsterdam gives them the edge where since 2020 they have a record of four wins 2 draws and 2 loses. Ukraine away from home are pretty bad having only won 2 over their past 13 away games and those were to Luxembourg & Lithuania. The Dutch missing Van de beek & Van Dijk will obviously hurt them, but not so much in the group stage. Since Koemans departure to Barcelona they strangely hired De Boer as manager and he has been heavily criticized for his negative tactics and having basically no management style. I expect a low scoring match perhaps 0-0 or 1-0 to the home side thus;
    12. Netherlands/Ukraine UNDER 1.5 @ 3.00/+200 (1u)

    Adding
    19. Netherlands UNDER 2.5 @ 2.10/+110 (1u) Bet365

  13. #83
    DiamondJack
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    Well the group that cant defend took a big bite out of some profits
    (6-5 +1.59 Units) after Sunday, on to Monday

  14. #84
    DiamondJack
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack View Post
    Scotland v Czech Republic
    The long suffering Scotland fans finally get to play in a major tournament ending a drought that was in place since 1998. 12'000 will be in attendance at home in Glasgow versus an opponent that they beat both home 1-0 and away 2-1 last year. Form wise the Scots are undefeated in their last 5 where as the Czechs are 2W 2L 1D the 2 wins coming against Estonia & Albania. This is yet another game that screams the under however there is little value in that, I was also considering HT/FT DRAW/SCOTLAND. I see plenty of value backing the home side so;
    13. Scotland ML @ 3.00/+200 (1u) Will Hill
    14. Scotland PK @ 2.02/+102 (2u) Bet365
    Just covering my butt in case of a draw
    20. Scotland to DRAW @ 3.00/+200 (1u) Bet365

  15. #85
    DiamondJack
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    Hungary v Portugal
    Yes the game will be played to a full house in Budapest & yes the last time these sides met we had that famous 3-3 result at the last Euros. That is as far as I can back Hungary now that they lost arguably their best player Dominik Szoboszlai the 20 year old from Leipzig. Portugal just have a wealth of talent aside from Ronaldo they won the last Euros & the Nations league. Hungary play an attacking style that will have them put to the sword in this game. They might sneak a goal as both sides have had 3 of their past 5 games go over. I also fancy a penalty in this game. 4-2 Portugal
    21. Portugal -1 @ 1.83/-120 (2u) Bet365
    22. Portugal/Hungary OVER 2.5 @ 2.03/+103 (2u)
    23. PK in match YES 2.75/+175 (1u)

  16. #86
    DiamondJack
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    France v Germany
    Two quality opponents meet up in Munich to close out the first round of games in group play. France have a better team on paper, but you can never underestimate the Germans. Head to head 2 of the past 3 meetings have ended in a stalemate with France winning one 2-1. Since this is the opening game for both sides they might be happy with a point. I expect a cautious approach. Germany are not as good at the back as they used to be & its hard to find a weak point on the French side.
    24. Germany/France to DRAW @ 3.40/+240 (1u) BetVic
    25. Germany/France UNDER 2.5 @ 1.99/-101 (1u) Pinnacle

  17. #87
    -FlawlessKid
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack View Post
    Hungary v Portugal
    Yes the game will be played to a full house in Budapest & yes the last time these sides met we had that famous 3-3 result at the last Euros. That is as far as I can back Hungary now that they lost arguably their best player Dominik Szoboszlai the 20 year old from Leipzig. Portugal just have a wealth of talent aside from Ronaldo they won the last Euros & the Nations league. Hungary play an attacking style that will have them put to the sword in this game. They might sneak a goal as both sides have had 3 of their past 5 games go over. I also fancy a penalty in this game. 4-2 Portugal
    21. Portugal -1 @ 1.83/-120 (2u) Bet365
    22. Portugal/Hungary OVER 2.5 @ 2.03/+103 (2u)
    23. PK in match YES 2.75/+175 (1u)
    Well played man.

  18. #88
    DiamondJack
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    Finland v Russia
    Finland come into the match with a strange victory over Denmark. Going into the incident it was all Denmark. Finland had one attack and I will not judge the Danes after seeing their leader almost die on the pitch. Bottom line is Finland is a bad team. Russia is also a bad team they got smoked 3-0 by Belgium as expected. My angle here is that Finland will settle for the point knowing 4 gets then into the next round so they will play a similar counterattacking game as they did versus Denmark. Russia need a win and will press leaving themselves open at the back where they are very poor. 6 of the past 8 games for Russia have gone over and they managed only 1 clean sheet. I'm thinking 1-1 or 2-1 for Russia. I also like the PK prop as Russia will get desperate and both teams are pretty much technically trash.
    24. Russia/Finland PK in match YES @ 3.20/+220 (1u) Unibet
    25. Russia /Finland BTTS YES @ 2.35/+135 (1u) Unibet

  19. #89
    DiamondJack
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    F Kid---

  20. #90
    DiamondJack
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    I forgot another prop ... I know its juiced but I think this is almost a guarantee when you have 2 crappy teams playing each other
    26. Both teams to get carded (RUS/FIN)@ 1.60/-167 (1u) Bet365

  21. #91
    DiamondJack
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    Wales v Turkey
    Wales were lucky to get a point versus the Swiss a game in which they were pretty much outplayed. Turkey are under priced by the books here because they lost 3-0 to Italy. Turkey will line up and play very differently at "home" in Baku than they did v Italy in Rome. Wales need the 3 points with Italy on tap and I think Turkeys speed and the crowd advantage will seal their fate. I do not expect a result like the last time they met (6-4 for Turkey) but it would be fun if it did. Keeping this one simple;
    27. Turkey ML @ 2.45/+145 (1u) Bet365

  22. #92
    DiamondJack
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    Italy v Switzerland
    Italy are back in Rome for their second game after taking care of Turkey 3-0. In their past 9 games all victories to nil 28GF 0GA. I could copy and paste my Turkey/Italy write up and it would be similar here with one exception the Swiss are better at defending then Turkey. The Swiss past 10 away 2 wins v Gibraltar & Bulgaria (not at the euros) 5 loses to BEL/SPA/DEN/UKR/POR (all at the euros) & 3 draws v IRE, GER & WAL. As I said, the Swiss beat the bad teams & lose to the good teams. Also considering CS 1-0 ITA, but for now lets go with;
    28. Italy Clean Sheet YES @ 1.91/110 (1u) Bet365
    29. Italy win to Nil @ 2.40/+140 (1u) Bet365

  23. #93
    -FlawlessKid
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    Jack, what is your opinion on Denmark - Belgium game tomorrow? You would say Denmark is totally lost after Eriksen, could care less about results. Belgium very impressive first game against Russia. Somehow Belgium is @ 2.12 which I find highly suspicious.

    They will do some tribute for Eriksen, Belgium squad will join. Most of Belgium players good friends with Eriksen (Ajax/Inter/Spurs). So it will be a highly emotional game.

    Is this a 1-1 all over it? Belgium will top group with a 100% win over Finland and Denmark still able to progress perhaps.

    I don't know but 2.12 is pretty strange giving the circumstances. Still with homeadvantage Denmark Belgium should be way more favorite than that. 1.70 ish imo.

  24. #94
    DiamondJack
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    Ukraine v North Macedonia
    Both of the managers have hinted that they will go all out for the win, with both sides having lost their opening fixture. Ukraine play a 4-3-3 attacking formation as does Macedonia with a 3-5-2 emphasis on the counterattack. In Ukraine's last 2 games there have been 9 goals scored, in the past 2 games for North Macedonia there were 8 for an average of 4.25. Both sides are very suspect at the back, I expect goals & yellows. Since I already have a future on Macedonia to get a point, I'm only playing totals & props here;
    32. BTTS Yes @ 2.04/+104 (1u) Bet365
    33. Total goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.10/+110 (1u) Pinnacle
    34. Total cards over 2.5 @ 1.57/-175 (1u) Bet365
    35. Both sides to be carded YES @ 1.61/-164 (1u) Bet365
    36. Corners UKR -2 @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365

  25. #95
    DiamondJack
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    Record keeping error for anyone that cares
    Picks number 24 & 25 were counted twice, thus no 30 & 31

  26. #96
    DiamondJack
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    FlawlessKid
    Looking into that right now

  27. #97
    DiamondJack
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    Denmark v Belgium
    This is the most difficult game for me to cap so far in this tournament considering the Eriksen circumstances. Do the Danes just mail it in, still not in the right head space? or do they "Do it for Christian". Numbers wise Belgium is the better team, they won the last 2 head to head encounters 4-2 & 2-0 home and away. I already have too many futures backing the Danes I was tempted by the Over at plus money & the BTTS at evens. I'm going with a long shot correct score bet here in which I get the bore 0-0 result gets me a refund at Bet365.
    37. Denmark CS 1-1 @ 6.50/+550 (1/2 Unit) Bet365

  28. #98
    DiamondJack
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    Updated Results through the first 31 bets
    13-18 +053 Units

  29. #99
    DiamondJack
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    Austria v Netherlands
    Austria were lucky to get 3 points in their opener versus North Macedonia. Their striker Arnautovic is suspended for being a dumb ass. Having 3 points in the bag I expect them to try to sit back play for the point play on the counterattack. The Dutch were also lucky to get the full 3 points in their opener v the Ukraine. The talent mismatch here is glaring and with Holland unlikely to make any changes from their first game I see them winning with ease;
    38. Netherlands -1 @ 2.28/+128 (1u) Pinnacle
    39. Corners NETHERLANDS -2 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365

  30. #100
    DiamondJack
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    Updated results after Thursdays action
    18-21-0 +3.45 Units

  31. #101
    DiamondJack
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    Slovakia v Sweden
    If Sweden can hold Spain to zero goals I'm sure they can do the same to Slovakia. Slovakia beat 10 men Poland and I'm sure would gladly take the point if offered. Spain play a very boring 4-4-2 formation that frankly can be very hard to watch. Form wise both sides come into this game undefeated in their past 6 games. Sweden are the better side on paper and rightfully favoured at that 1.85/-117 range, that is not good enough value for me. I like a total here;
    40. Sweden/Slovakia UNDER 2 @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Pinnacle

  32. #102
    DiamondJack
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    Croatia v Czech Republic
    Another encounter that seems to cry out snooze fest. Just the earlier game we have a similar situation where you have a crappy team on 3 points needing the draw to advance, you can practically write the script. However the odds makers did not make the Croats as 1.85/-117 favs like Sweden they made them big plus money favs so I will sprinkle a little on the money line and back the under once again;
    41. Croatia ML @ 2.31/+131 (1u) Pinnacle
    42. Croatia/Czech Rep UNDER 2 @ 2.27/+127 (1u) Pinnacle

  33. #103
    DiamondJack
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    England v Scotland
    A little birdie whispered in my ear that England might want to avoid winning this group thus avoiding the second place team from the group of death. The birdie also went on to say this is a rivalry match & that Scotland will go all out to try to get any result. Everybody is on England to win & Harry to get on board but look at those prices, criminal ZERO value. England is the obvious better team but Scotland will give them a game. England's last 4 games at home all wins, all by only 1 goal versus Poland, Austria, Romania & Croatia. Scotland in their last 17 games only 1 loss by 2 goals and that was their opening game. Scotland keep this close;
    43. Scotland +1.5 @ 1.88/-113 (1u) Bet365

  34. #104
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Jack, your knowledge speaks for itself. Full respect. Thanks for posting.

    Best of luck. In this game, you need a little luck.

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    donation 02/15/2021


  35. #105
    DiamondJack
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    Chucky---

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