1. 11-21-17 08:34 AM #1
    JayLA
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    Bruyne*
    Saw this on reddit, makes sense.

    Man City can't afford to have him suspended.

    Unfortunately, it's at -200 on B365. Not worth it anymore, all value gone?
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  2. 11-21-17 08:53 AM #2
    shadymcgrady
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    He's not a dirty player but depends more on the ref and his tendencies
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  3. 11-21-17 09:01 AM #3
    JayLA
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    http://worldreferee.com/referee/ivan_kruzliak

    Ivan Kruzliak

    Comparing now......I'm thinking this hits.
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  4. 11-21-17 09:07 AM #4
    JayLA
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    http://www.irishmirror.ie/sport/socc...happy-11084343

    Article of this year, him being card happy.

    Match ended up having 3 yellows...not many games does he have less than 3

    Only risk here I think is if he gets rested today.
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  5. 11-21-17 09:26 AM #5
    shadymcgrady
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    Seems like a sharp find
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  6. 11-21-17 09:35 AM #6
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by shadymcgrady View Post
    Seems like a sharp find
    We shall see. Can't take credit for it, only for bringing it here.

    This could be dead money, as attacking strikers aren't usually booked. And I'm not sure if this happens at all....where a player LOOKS to be booked to have a clean slate in next round.

    But I'm playing it
    Good luck to anyone who tails
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  7. 11-21-17 09:49 AM #7
    JayLA
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    numbers for referee today


    Totals: Home Away Total
    Penalties 7 4 11
    Red 7 12 19
    Yellow 137 153 290
    Avera: Home Away Total
    Penalties 0.11 0.06 0.17
    Red 0.11 0.18 0.29
    Yellow 2.08 2.32 4.39
    based on 66 international matches


    4.39 per match
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  8. 11-21-17 09:52 AM #8
    shadymcgrady
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    De bruyne is an attacking player yes but he more midfield than a pure striker
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  9. 11-21-17 10:02 AM #9
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by shadymcgrady View Post
    De bruyne is an attacking player yes but he more midfield than a pure striker
    yep, he's more of a second striker. i meant more an attacking player, not striker...my mistake.

    he has 7 yellow cards in 76 primier league matches.


    and what got us here.....2 yellows in 4 champs league matches....if he doesn't get booked today, he risks getting suspended in the knockout rounds


    cant believe im laying this much juice...

    200 to win 100

    Last edited by JayLA; 11-21-17 at 10:05 AM. Reason: correct stats
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  10. 11-21-17 10:25 AM #10
    MiDNiTe
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    If he was playing under mourinho definitely would be booked 100%, still I think he will the club would of discuss it
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  11. 11-21-17 10:39 AM #11
    bruceBRUCEbruce
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    I think it's a sharp play, even with the juice
    this could be Man City's year in the CL, they've undoubtedly discussed this with the player & the obvious move is to have him get a booking today
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  12. 11-21-17 01:24 PM #12
    franz555
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    Yup. Not sure its relevant playing at home against Feyenoord. I dont see them having enough possession for any Man City player to obtain a yellow.
    Last edited by franz555; 11-21-17 at 01:41 PM. Reason: Addressing the headline of the thread
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  13. 11-21-17 01:40 PM #13
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by franz555 View Post
    This is only Game 5 of 6 in the Round Robin stage. Why would his 1 game suspension affect the knock out stage ?
    Don't the winners of this stage move on to the knock out round of 16??
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  14. 11-21-17 01:45 PM #14
    franz555
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    Yes , after completing all 6 games. Today should be an easy game that locks up 1st place and an automatic berth against a lesser foe in the knockout stage. I missed the part about having a clean slate for the knockout stage. Again , cant see any reason why he would need to foul while dominating possession

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  15. 11-21-17 01:53 PM #15
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by franz555 View Post
    Yes , after completing all 6 games. Today should be an easy game that locks up 1st place and an automatic berth against a lesser foe in the knockout stage. I missed the part about having a clean slate for the knockout stage. Again , cant see any reason why he would need to foul while dominating possession

    i know... this is a super shot im taking. but oh well, that's my style. hehehe

    good luck franz! i have read your stuff on covers and on here for a while.
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  16. 11-21-17 01:58 PM #16
    franz555
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayLA View Post
    i know... this is a super shot im taking. but oh well, that's my style. hehehe

    good luck franz! i have read your stuff on covers and on here for a while.
    BOL to you as well. Maybe De Bruyne takes his shirt off after scoring.....
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  17. 11-21-17 02:01 PM #17
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by franz555 View Post
    BOL to you as well. Maybe De Bruyne takes his shirt off after scoring.....
    that's funny!
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  18. 11-21-17 02:02 PM #18
    dlowilly
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    Quote Originally Posted by franz555 View Post
    BOL to you as well. Maybe De Bruyne takes his shirt off after scoring.....
    Yeah that's what I'm thinking

    Doesn't need to foul, he can do that or show dissent
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  19. 11-21-17 03:04 PM #19
    JayLA
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    ship IT!!
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  20. 11-21-17 03:07 PM #20
    bruceBRUCEbruce
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    that line shoulda been more like -500, well done!
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  21. 11-21-17 03:12 PM #21
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by bruceBRUCEbruce View Post


    that line shoulda been more like -500, well done!
    thanks!
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  22. 11-21-17 03:13 PM #22
    horja1
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    Nice
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  23. 11-21-17 03:26 PM #23
    franz555
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    Nice Hit
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  24. 11-21-17 04:15 PM #24
    dlowilly
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    Strange loophole
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  25. 11-21-17 04:37 PM #25
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by dlowilly View Post
    Strange loophole
    Yea I think it was just a perfect storm. How important KDB is to City, their position etc.

    Will start incorporating it into my capping though
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  26. 11-21-17 04:38 PM #26
    JayLA
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    Thanks everyone
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  27. 11-21-17 04:42 PM #27
    MiDNiTe
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    Good hit wanted to bet it but my book didn't have it like when Beckham did it he's mistake was telling the media
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  28. 11-21-17 04:56 PM #28
    MiDNiTe
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    Good hit wanted to bet it but my book didn't have it like when Beckham did it he's mistake was telling the media
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  29. 11-21-17 09:22 PM #29
    JayLA
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    tomorrow in barcelona's match we have a similar situation with Carlos Nelson Semedo....

    but, 1. he's not such an important part of barcas attack(or at all) as KDB is to City, Semedo's a back.

    and 2. the referee isn't as card happy.


    he's @ -150 to get booked on b365

    im going to stay away but it will be interesting to see moving foward...definitely will keep tabs on this specific trend
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  30. 11-22-17 08:36 AM #30
    SBR Natalie
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    Nice one JayLA!

    I predicted more goals in this match - almost ended 0-0 if it wasn't for the late goal!
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