Birmingham has only let in 7 goals at home this season. Over their last three home games, they let in 2 goals, but drew all three games. The opposition for those three games: Chelsea (0-0), Manchester United (1-1), and Tottenham (1-1). They have only scored 10 goals at home so far this year.
Wolves are terrible on the road (2-3-6) and conceded 23 goals including 11 in their last 5 games.
Birmingham has the lowest average number of total goals in the EPL at 1.96, but they do average 2.55 goals at home. However, only 39% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals. Wolves average number of total goals on the road is 2.17.
The previous meeting this season ended 0-1, Birmingham.
I have had four extremely frustrating losses over these last two days.....Kansas St. giving up 5 three pointers in the last minutes of regualtion after being up 13 points and NOT COVERING (-4.5) by half a point.....Nate Marquardt having his opponent in a gulliotine choke hold and was a few seconds away from forcing the submission and the letting go too early in UFC 109.....now this two goal fluke in the last 10 minutes of the soccer match. That is $650 am not getting back gentleman.
Time to take a good two week break. Hopefully my OVER of 56.5 points in the Superbowl hits, then I can double my money on an all or nothing bet with that win.
If I had 350 to spend on an under I'm 100% sure I would have gone for the Liverpool-Everton match. It's better to depend on 2 solid teams to play tight defenses.