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EURO 2016 Top Scorer

I think that the top goalscorer market for the tournament is interesting, with an extra round for the first time, but no third and fourth place playoff game, we do not have any recent history to compare, but I doubt too much will change and that it will really be Group stage goals that will clinch it for someone, but ideally you would like to make at least the quarter final stage and it is hard to see less than five goals being enough this time round. Given that we have already discussed Mandzukic and also like Croatia's chances of making the quarters and possible beyond, it is hard to leave him out of the equation at a big looking 33-1 , but I will pass, given that we are already involved heavily on him and Croatia.

Ronaldo is favourite at 9.0 and I have no problem with that at all and those odds could look a gift in two weeks time with group opponents Austria , Hungary and Iceland having very little big tournament experience between them in the last two decades. But I prefer the chances of another proven goalscorer who is available at twice the odds. That is Robert Lewandowski of Poland, who I have already touched upon as dark horses. They look in a tough group with Germany, Ukraine and Northern Ireland, but were very impressive in qualifying, look a team on the up and have a really offensive minded approach. They scored a whopping 33 goals in qualification and whilst 15 came against group whipping boys , 18 otherwise in a section which included Germany and defensively minded Republic of Ireland and Scotland is very worthy of note. They ended just a point shy of the world champions and scored three goals in the two h2h games with them. The look the second best team in Group C, will certainly not fear the Germans after running them so close in qualifying and finishing top 2 would see them face either a third placed team, or the runner up in the England group and both would be matches we would favour them to win. So a last eight place is very much on the cards. They open against the Irish and whilst Matchday 1 games in any tournament are usually tight, this is their best opportunity to run in a few goals and they will want the points with Germany up next, they finish against a usually defensive Ukraine team, but one who might be forced out of their usual approach by their need for points at that stage.

Lewandowski with 13 goals was the top striker in qualifying , six v Gibraltar with 7 in the other eight games, he was top scorer in Bundesliga with his highest ever tally of 30 goals with an even split of 15 before and 15 after the Christmas break, his total of 9 in the Champions League was his best total since Dortmund's run the final in 2012-13 and a better goals per minute rate than for that campaign. Poland have scored two or more goals in 12 of the last 16 games that the Bayern striker has played and if they play five games and I favour then to do so, he must have a good chance of scoring enough to take him very close in this market.

Robert Lewandowski to be top scorer in Euro 2016 17.0 general quote, bigger in several places

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