[beefcake]

28 games Wed and 4 on Thur. Only one single big upset in round (Floya at +550)...Big clubs still all playing on the road to the div 3 and 4 teams that won(and some 2)...

Past 3 years the trend seems to be 2nd round draws seem to be profitable not surprising as more underdogs push the big clubs but fall short in extra time.Years before that, it was not the norm.

2014(11/32) 8 draws over +300.
2013(9/32)..6 over +300 and 2 +400 or more.
2012(7/32)..all over +300

So a suggestion would be to play some round robins with draws. With 2's possibly. Which ones to filter out is the question Well the odds are out for the games and here is the link.http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/norway/nm-cup/

So looking at the past three years..Take off any crazy high draws..say +800 or above(a big clubs hardly ever lose in this cup in first two rounds or draw for that matter)Which eliminates 7-8 games..Then take out the pick em games..under +300..takes off about 5 depending on your book.So leaves you around 19-21 games to bet on your round robins. Take four 5 team round robins with 2's and if you are REALLY BALLSY take 4 five teamers with 3's...and tell your wife the mortgage is paid for next month.

Thoughts or input welcomed..

[beefcake]

So according to the odds and what I posted before..here are you games to group the draws in RR parlays..Now which ones in which parlays is up to you ..good luck!!

Home teams listed

Arendal +362
Bysaen +388
Eidsvold +571
Fana +367
Fram +368
Flyngsdalin +458
Gviok lyn +673
Ham Kam +305
K oslo +367
Kjelas +604
Orn +490
Rodde +333
Sola +379
Stridheim +458
V.haugeslund +395
Vindjabart +376
Tromsdalen +368

[beefcake]

Looks like Bovada has betting on all the totals!

Over past years..the closer the odds..the less the goals on average...

[whareouttogetme]

I didn't bet since I lost in the first round betting overs

How did it go for you?

[dreamlanding]

Just to report in... I followed beefcake's advice as a test... Played all draws between +300 and +800 as round robin two team parlays at $0.50 each. 17 games, 136 total parlays for a stake of $68.

Came out in the neighborhood of +$300 return. I believe 7 of the 17 drew.

Thanks for the profitable experiment idea, beefcake.

[beefcake]

Your welcome. I did pretty well as well. 8 draws out of 28 games with 5 in the range. Also many unders with this price being low..most of those games around 3.5..about 9 out of 15 there.

Don't forget the four upsets which I kind of figured were due.

4 games tommorw.but 3 out of 4 are HUGE dogs.

[beefcake]

6-11 on posted draws..Big money no whammies!!

[beefcake]

Might as well try this again...I will hopefully post which ones today later or tomorrow

[beefcake]

here you go...play these..

Asker
Baerum
Brattvag
Egersunds
Elverum
Fram
Gjovik-lyn
Honefoss
Kjeleas
Lyslekolster
Mjolner
Moss
nardo
stjordals blink
Stromen
vidar
Vindbjart
Forde
halden
Tromsladen
varegg

Varegg,mjolner, kind of on the cut off line..so leave those out if you want..gives you 19 to make 4-5 Round robins..who you take is up to you on each one.

[swordsandtequila]

[cer]

I will try it, thanks

[beefcake]

Only three. bummer.Still five games today.But two were on the list so not a comp!ete disaster.