1. 03-14-15 05:26 PM #1
    EaglesPhan36
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    MLS/LigaMX

    Just sharing from what I have been watching in these two leagues. Maybe it helps, maybe it doesn't.

    Monitoring the 2nd week of MLS after making no plays and watching last week. So far, 11 matches complete and only TWO have gone to three goals.

    1st half Under 1 looks like a cash cow so far. Only those two that went over for the match have gone over 1 in the 1st half.

    May just play all 1H: Under 1s tonight and see where the chips land.

    LigaMX, kind of picking and choosing plays here and there. With about 9-10 matches this session for LigaMX, there are some decent trends developing.

    Overs: Chiapas 7/9, Tijuana 7/10, Toluca 6/9, PUMAS 6/9
    Unders: Cruz Azul 7/9, Tigres 6/9, Leones Negroes 7/10
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  2. 03-14-15 05:36 PM #2
    EaglesPhan36
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    Based on that, LigaMX tonight ...

    Chiapas-PUMAS o2.5 @ +115 or LIVE you can probably get o2 at a reasonable price if you can sit early without a goal being scored.

    Possibilities
    Atlas-Monterrey o2 @ -125
    Leon-Cruz Azul Draw

    The Atlas one, the only problem is it's mostly that both teams concede a ton - there scoring is not stellar, but with a low total it seems worth a shot. Leon-Cruz Azul could also be an under shot, but it's chalky and Leon has been a little leaky giving up goals even though Cruz Azul doesn't score on the road.



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  3. 03-14-15 05:44 PM #3
    EaglesPhan36
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    Chicago-Vancouver scoreless in the 35th min 1H. Under 1 trend looking good there.
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  4. 03-14-15 06:01 PM #4
    EaglesPhan36
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    CHI-VAN @ HT 0-0, another 1H Under. Gonna ride those for 0.5 unit until the trend changes.
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  5. 03-14-15 06:08 PM #5
    EaglesPhan36
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    8th min: 1H Over 0.5 Puebla-Guadalajara @ -136
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  6. 03-14-15 06:28 PM #6
    EaglesPhan36
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    8th min: 1H Over 0.5 Puebla-Guadalajara @ -136
    Gooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo ooooooooalllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll llll! Love my Mexican announcers.
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  7. 03-14-15 06:47 PM #7
    EaglesPhan36
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    Also to track - four draws in those first eleven MLS matches.
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  8. 03-14-15 07:29 PM #8
    EaglesPhan36
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    2/2 MLS 1Hs Under 1 tonight
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  9. 03-14-15 07:35 PM #9
    rankslash
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    What's the deal with MLS this year? These guys can't score f'n goal, it's like watching French Ligue 2.
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  10. 03-14-15 07:37 PM #10
    EaglesPhan36
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    French League 2 scores goals LoL much more so than MLS.
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  11. 03-14-15 08:02 PM #11
    EaglesPhan36
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    With Tigres-Pachuca as an o2 for the full match, I think an opportunity in the 1H to go Over 0.5 when the price is right. Will monitor it live.
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  12. 03-14-15 08:08 PM #12
    EaglesPhan36
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    Fukk missed the start and they already scored. Tracking now to see about betting for a 2nd 1H goal to be scored ...
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  13. 03-14-15 08:15 PM #13
    EaglesPhan36
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    Alright here we go.

    15th min: Tigres-Pachucha 1H Over 1.5 @ -116
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  14. 03-14-15 08:25 PM #14
    EaglesPhan36
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    There's one 1H MLS over. Tough bust on a push with a late goal by KC
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  15. 03-14-15 08:43 PM #15
    EaglesPhan36
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Alright here we go.

    15th min: Tigres-Pachucha 1H Over 1.5 @ -116
    Goooooooooooooooooooooooooaaaaaaaaaaaaal llllllllllllllllllllllll!
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  16. 03-14-15 08:55 PM #16
    EaglesPhan36
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    FC Dallas puts in the 1st Over of the night for MLS. They might be a team to watch for Overs. Last year they had a really solid run of overs, especially at home.
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  17. 03-14-15 09:14 PM #17
    EaglesPhan36
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    There's all the MLS goals now. Looks like all the late games are going 1H Over. Hard to bet Seattle going Under 1 at home.
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  18. 03-14-15 09:24 PM #18
    EaglesPhan36
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Based on that, LigaMX tonight ...

    Chiapas-PUMAS o2.5 @ +115 or LIVE you can probably get o2 at a reasonable price if you can sit early without a goal being scored.

    Possibilities
    Atlas-Monterrey o2 @ -125
    Leon-Cruz Azul Draw

    The Atlas one, the only problem is it's mostly that both teams concede a ton - there scoring is not stellar, but with a low total it seems worth a shot. Leon-Cruz Azul could also be an under shot, but it's chalky and Leon has been a little leaky giving up goals even though Cruz Azul doesn't score on the road.



    In lieu of Atlas-Monterrey o2, going to do the LIVE bet in the 1H for Over 0.5. Price should be decent within the 1st 10 mins if they can go that long without giving one up. Banking on poor defense continuing for both.
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  19. 03-14-15 10:08 PM #19
    EaglesPhan36
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    7th min: Atlas-Monterrey 1H Over 0.5 @ -142
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  20. 03-14-15 10:46 PM #20
    EaglesPhan36
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    Well shit. No goal 1H Atlas-Monterrey.
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  21. 03-14-15 11:04 PM #21
    EaglesPhan36
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    Draw, yes!
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  22. 03-15-15 12:00 PM #22
    EaglesPhan36
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    3.15.15

    Toluca-Queretaro today at 2pm ET. Toluca is one of the Overs clubs I highlighted. O2.5 is +113 right now. Toluca has scored overs in 3/4 @ home, Queretaro has overs in 3/5 on the road - scoring and conceding in all five. Might be one to try an over 0.5 in the 1H a little bit in or wait LIVE for 10-15 mins to see if you can get a flat total of 2 at a reasonable price.

    I'm leaning 1H Over 0.5, but going to look a little more.
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  23. 03-15-15 12:51 PM #23
    EaglesPhan36
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    Toluca-Queretaro going to go full match Over 2. Opened @ -158, so we'll see if we can get 10 mins or so off the match with no goals and get that price dropped down.
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  24. 03-15-15 01:11 PM #24
    EaglesPhan36
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    10th minute: Toluca-Queretaro Over 2 @ -120
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  25. 03-15-15 01:46 PM #25
    EaglesPhan36
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    Scoreless @ HT, but lots of chances. Feels like goals are coming.

    Rain might help, been some slips.
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  26. 03-15-15 02:21 PM #26
    EaglesPhan36
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    2H has not produced nearly what the 1H did in LigaMX. Be hard pressed to push this 2 goal total without something really quick as time is starting to tick down.
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  27. 03-15-15 03:46 PM #27
    EaglesPhan36
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    MLS today ..

    Thinking 1H Over 1 NYC-New England. Playing their 1st ever home match + New England's defense got shredded by Seattle last week, thinking there should be a goal in the 1H.
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  28. 03-15-15 04:09 PM #28
    chuda
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    The turf at Yankee Stadium ism like potato field...
    i think i`ll just try straight home win... new england missing 2 starting XI players
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  29. 03-15-15 04:31 PM #29
    EaglesPhan36
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    Villa goal. Could have been a couple already. Lots of time to get #2
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  30. 03-15-15 04:49 PM #30
    EaglesPhan36
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    Good lord there could have been 3-4 goals this half.
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  31. 03-15-15 04:50 PM #31
    chuda
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    what you think of next game.... should go overs...
    i am thinking to take BTTS and LA @ 4.2
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  32. 03-15-15 04:53 PM #32
    EaglesPhan36
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    Jesus Christ. Right on the money again and no goal.
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  33. 03-15-15 04:55 PM #33
    EaglesPhan36
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    Quote Originally Posted by chuda View Post
    what you think of next game.... should go overs...
    i am thinking to take BTTS and LA @ 4.2
    Not sure, Portland very tough to score on at home mostly. Probably 1H under try on that one. LA seems like they are a big time 2H goal scoring team.
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  34. 03-15-15 04:58 PM #34
    EaglesPhan36
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    Oh well. Was well worth the try at + money, winds up pushing somehow. Probably think about taking o2.5 for the match still. Cannot believe there won't be more goals in this one.
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  35. 03-15-15 05:08 PM #35
    EaglesPhan36
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    Going to wait out the 1st ten mins of the 2nd half and see how it goes, maybe jump on the flat total of 2 on the Over NYC-NE. There's got to be at least one more goal.
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