1. 09-17-14 09:02 AM #1
    flabrah5
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    Apoel Nicosia / FC Barcelona o3.5

    The juice is at -160 for o3.5, but FC Barcelona -3 is at -160 as well. That said, I see Barca throwing up 4+ goals similar to the Real Madrid match yesterday.

    Thoughts? If Apoel throws up a goal then its a definite.
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  2. 09-17-14 10:16 AM #2
    AceChampion
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    I'd love to bet this as I enjoy betting overs for entertainment but something about this match brings me caution. I would really like to hear from vaughany on this play...the guy seems to know something about every club/team in every part of every country in the world, lol. I know nothing of this team barca is playing. They may be all defense, no?
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  3. 09-17-14 11:16 AM #3
    flabrah5
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    Quote Originally Posted by AceChampion View Post
    I'd love to bet this as I enjoy betting overs for entertainment but something about this match brings me caution. I would really like to hear from vaughany on this play...the guy seems to know something about every club/team in every part of every country in the world, lol. I know nothing of this team barca is playing. They may be all defense, no?
    Agreed, would love to hear his insight.

    My reasons are that Barca had a full squad practice Monday and they are at Camp Nou - love running up the score for the home crowd.

    Oddly enough, I saw that the opponent hasn't lost a Champ League match in the last 6 games but includes qualifiers. This makes me think they post a goal or two to help the over.

    Barca wins but I don't think by 3.. Seeing 3-1, 3-2, etc.

    Look for Neymar and Messi to light it up.
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  4. 09-17-14 11:23 AM #4
    AceChampion
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    I dont/cant trust any protected lineup...have to see it first. Also I believe the odds here may be telling a story as most shops have Apoel Nicosia at +$ to score. More worried about this landing 3-0 or 2-0 than I was yesterday with Real. Gl if you play but I think I will wait and have a go live in play....also I'm really looking hard at which match is the most likely for btts...am kind of leaning Ajax/Psg right now in that regard..thoughts?
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  5. 09-17-14 11:38 AM #5
    flabrah5
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    I get what youre saying - would be crushed with a 3-0 or 2-0 Barca win. Im gonna go with the gut and take the hit on the juice.

    I wish my book offered BTTS - I like the Ajax/Psg alot, but Ajax might get shutout.

    If youre looking for stats, then the Roma and CSKA Moscow game points to BTTS:

    - CSKA Moscow have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 7 matches in the Champions League (including qualifiers).
    - Roma have conceded at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches in the Champions League (including qualifiers).

    For some reason I think the game will be under 2.5, so 1-1 is my prediction.

    Let me know what you go with and GL - Id always stick with the gut if youre feeling Ajax/Psg, though. Would hate to mislead you because of the above reasons
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  6. 09-17-14 12:17 PM #6
    AceChampion
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    Will do, bud..still waiting on lineups as of now.
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  7. 09-17-14 12:27 PM #7
    flabrah5
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    Another fun fact:

    Last 8 Barcelona coaches won first CL game, with Barcelona scoring 3+ goals
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  8. 09-17-14 01:41 PM #8
    AceChampion
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    Alright sir, I've decided on over 1 first half between psg/ajax as my only play right now. I'm just going to hit something else live I think. Gl, goals early and often for us both!!
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  9. 09-17-14 01:44 PM #9
    flabrah5
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    Yes, yes - GL and lets all make some money!
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  10. 09-17-14 02:01 PM #10
    TwoWays
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    Apoel is playing everyone on defense. This could be hard to watch
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  11. 09-17-14 02:03 PM #11
    AceChampion
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    Live bet your way out if u can
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  12. 09-17-14 02:03 PM #12
    TwoWays
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    Quote Originally Posted by AceChampion View Post
    Live bet your way out if u can
    I didn't play. Just an observation for op
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  13. 09-17-14 02:04 PM #13
    flabrah5
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    Yeah - 4-4-2 - unreal. Playing no one up front. Lets just hope Barca squeezes one in then they have to play some offense.
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  14. 09-17-14 02:06 PM #14
    flabrah5
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    Quote Originally Posted by AceChampion View Post
    Live bet your way out if u can
    Book doesnt allow live bets - pretty much going for a miracle here. At least AS Roma is showing up for me.
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  15. 09-17-14 02:07 PM #15
    flabrah5
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    Speaking of that, 3-0 Roma now - I knew that over 2.5 was a better play.
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  16. 09-17-14 02:07 PM #16
    TwoWays
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    I think the best way for barca is to give Apoel the feeling they can score, then counter for better chance to score themselves
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  17. 09-17-14 02:08 PM #17
    flabrah5
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    If Barca scores they need to do something, no? Cant just sit back and play D down 1-0
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  18. 09-17-14 02:12 PM #18
    TwoWays
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    Usually. But I don't think in this case. I think they'd take a 1 or 2 goal loss to give themselves the slightest of chance at home
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  19. 09-17-14 02:13 PM #19
    flabrah5
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    And thats why they are Barca - huge goal. Still in it now.
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  20. 09-17-14 02:14 PM #20
    TwoWays
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    Yeah, only way to score for barca with them parking bus on goal is free kicks and counter
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  21. 09-17-14 02:25 PM #21
    flabrah5
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    Messi shouldve made that goal- damn
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