1. 06-22-14 04:54 PM #36
    Jikos
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    You guys are overlooking something about World Cup soccer lines. The line factors in all the action from the entire world. The public in this case is a different public than just the American public. So in this spot you gotta ask yourself, who would the international betting public back in a spot like this? Cheeseburger eating Americans, or Cristiano Ronaldo, player of the year, who is as popular in the soccer world as Lebron James is in the basketball world. He very well is among the top few players in the world, but soccer is more of a team sport than any other sport. If the rest of the team doesn't play as well together as the other team it is a coin flip game.
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  2. 06-22-14 04:57 PM #37
    easyliving
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    Ronaldo playing with a major injury, he might be non facto, we find a way to get at least a point
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  3. 06-22-14 05:14 PM #38
    thechaoz
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    I watched a little soccer but not much for that was the worst goal I've ever seen in my life .

    My little league team wouldn't of failed that bad
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  4. 06-22-14 05:19 PM #39
    tipsadontlikehim
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    They certainly lose when over 70% of the money is on a +320 (at least) that wins
    if 70% of the money was on US the line would have dropped hard but it didn't, so yeah obviously 70% of the money is not on US
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  5. 06-22-14 05:20 PM #40
    tipsadontlikehim
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jikos View Post
    You guys are overlooking something about World Cup soccer lines. The line factors in all the action from the entire world. The public in this case is a different public than just the American public. So in this spot you gotta ask yourself, who would the international betting public back in a spot like this? Cheeseburger eating Americans, or Cristiano Ronaldo, player of the year, who is as popular in the soccer world as Lebron James is in the basketball world. He very well is among the top few players in the world, but soccer is more of a team sport than any other sport. If the rest of the team doesn't play as well together as the other team it is a coin flip game.
    + 1
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  6. 06-22-14 05:25 PM #41
    mcdonae101
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    Line went from over +400 to around +300. I'd say that's a drop
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  7. 06-22-14 05:26 PM #42
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by tipsadontlikehim View Post
    if 70% of the money was on US the line would have dropped hard but it didn't, so yeah obviously 70% of the money is not on US
    IT DID. USA odds fell a LOT until around 5:00 ET, only in last hour before match did Portugal odds drift back up. But still, USA closed at +293 at Pinnacle after opening at +426. And that's not to mention the comments from Vegas in Post #1.
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  8. 06-22-14 05:29 PM #43
    tipsadontlikehim
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    high odds don't need that much money to drop hard actually, that's why i say i don't believe 70% of the money was on USA

    if odds drops from 5.00 to 4.00 that's not the same as a movement from 2.50 to 1.50...

    5.00 to 4.00 is very common, 2.50 to 1.50 = very rare = something fishy
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  9. 06-22-14 05:30 PM #44
    tipsadontlikehim
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    anyway, USA not looking like they will win , so ...
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  10. 06-22-14 05:42 PM #45
    DaProfessor23
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    1-1 draw watch !
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  11. 06-22-14 05:49 PM #46
    k13
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    Books going to clean up..
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  12. 06-22-14 06:31 PM #47
    pavyracer
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    If you believe that 70% of the bets are on US in 3 way betting you need to re-evalute your gambling skills.
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  13. 06-22-14 06:39 PM #48
    easyliving
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    Usa usa usa usa!
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  14. 06-22-14 06:39 PM #49
    KRIT
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    Looks like Vegas will get killed
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  15. 06-22-14 06:41 PM #50
    Cuse0323
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Books going to clean up..


    USA! USA! USA!
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  16. 06-22-14 06:45 PM #51
    Cappinpicks
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    luckily portgual is the shittiest team in the WC, pussy as a leader
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  17. 06-22-14 06:45 PM #52
    pavyracer
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    Vegas out of business starting tonight boys!
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  18. 06-22-14 06:53 PM #53
    Darkside Magick
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    Vegas back in business
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  19. 06-22-14 06:56 PM #54
    bolek
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    Thank you for the cashout option. Glad I could cash all my USA parlays and bets before this bonanza happened.....omg
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  20. 06-22-14 09:54 PM #55
    Cookie Monster
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    I had this game as the best +EV bet of the World Cup up to date. I had to decide between USA win +395 or USA +0.5 +120 at Matchbook. At the end I went with the spread, as it had slightly better +EG. And I am glad I did

    OTOH, Russia +0.5 -104 was crushed on a very late goal. And S Korea +0.5 -215 was a disaster. So, I have been about neutral for the cup, so do not take me leans too seriously. Tomorrow small leans on Brazil win -570 if someone takes my offer (Brazil not to lose -2400 is also tempting) and Chile +0.5 -164.
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  21. 06-22-14 10:21 PM #56
    James Marques
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    luckily portgual is the shittiest team in the WC, pussy as a leader
    LOL biggest MUSH of all time!
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  22. 06-22-14 10:30 PM #57
    survive
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    It's the books own fault for making USA such big dogs. Who wouldn't take USA at 3 to 1 odds vs an average opponent?
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  23. 06-25-14 10:27 AM #58
    bruins35
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    usa!
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