[alamo]

sick beat.

[MakePwithMe]

Yup, not getting carried away bad beat take it on the chin and move on.

Les Bleu! Lets do this!

[kremdekrem]

so close.....damn!
Still no draws in this tourney.

Let's go France!!!

[juanego]

Tough last 20 sec! Great analysis, Here we go Les Blue!

[kremdekrem]

Thank you Honduran defender. Blatantly, obvious foul.
Benzema scores and a red card to give France more opportunities.
1 bet won. Flood gates are gonna open in the Honduran net now.

[Jakenv21]

Awesome stuff man. I've been picking and choosing my picks based off yours. 5-1 so far and about to be 6-1 with my France wager of -1.5. Will probably pull the trigger on Bosnia as my ancestors are from there. Taking the over in that game as well. BOL to all of your picks

[MakePwithMe]

Thanks guys, appreciate the warm reception.

20 seconds away from 6-0 for today

Still can't get over the first game, already had the dollar signs for the draw.

[Jakenv21]

Tough tough beat man. How strong is your feeling on Bosnia +1.5 My friend has already bet Argentina -350 and I've been having an argument with him

[Dfjay9]

Tough tough beat man. How strong is your feeling on Bosnia +1.5 My friend has already bet Argentina -350 and I've been having an argument with him

1) Your friend got a shit line at -350
2) Why ever lay that much juice?

[Jakenv21]

1) Your friend got a shit line at -350
2) Why ever lay that much juice?

I would never do it either. I'm looking for value plays as in my play of France -1.5 instead of -400. I see some value in Bosnia +1.5 and the over 2.5. Only way I get totally screwed is if Argentina wins 2-0

[MakePwithMe]

Tough tough beat man. How strong is your feeling on Bosnia +1.5 My friend has already bet Argentina -350 and I've been having an argument with him

Well its 2U standard play for me, I like the dead ball technical players of Bosnia, I match this up with Argentina struggling to defend set pieces, Pjanic, Salihovic (even though hes not starting) strike the ball perfect and with the strong Bosnian defenders along with Dzeko & Ibisevic whos on the bench they can be very dangerous especially on the counter, the way they have lined up it should be parking the bus absorbing the attack then going on the counter similar to Athletico Madrid, I like them to score the edge is with Bosnia my opinion, Argentina being Argentina you either hate them or love them can either blow them away or flop completely.

-133 for +1.5 is value in my eyes.

BOL

See you after the game chaps.

[Dfjay9]

I do think there is value in Arg HT/Arg FT at -110. Maybe put .75u there and .25 on Draw/Arg FT at +345 if you want to bet Argentina for cheaper.

[Jakenv21]

Shit my book has the over 2.5 at -200 I dont know if I can take it at that juice

[Jakenv21]

Now at 3 with -120 juice

[Dfjay9]

Shit my book has the over 2.5 at -200 I dont know if I can take it at that juice

Thats absolutely terrible. Get a new book.

[Jakenv21]

@Dfjay9

I have a local who uses Bovada's lines

[Dfjay9]

@Dfjay9

I have a local who uses Bovada's lines

Sign up for a 5dimes acct. Solid lines across the board typically.

[Jakenv21]

I've heard good things about 5 dimes I just like dealing with locals more than funding an account.

[jed81]

I been Riding with you Keep up the Great Capping !!! And thanks for sharing your hard work !!! the book

[MakePwithMe]

6/15

Switzerland vs Ecuador:-
Full Time Result (Draw) +210 Wager 2U LOSE
Under 2.5 Goals -175 Wager to Win 1U LOSE

France vs Honduras:-
Full Time Result (France) -300 Wager to Win 2U *Going beyond max bet limit 5U WIN
Asian Handicap (France -1.5) +105 Wager 2U WIN
Over 2.5 Goals +105 Wager 1U WIN
Goalscorer Anytime (Karim Benzema) -110 Wager to Win 1U WIN

Argentina vs Bosnia-Herzegovina:-
Asian Handicap (Bosnia-Herzegovina +1.5) -133 Wager to Win 2U WIN
Over 2.5 Goals -138 Wager to Win 1U WIN

= +5.40U

WC REC:-
24W-9L-0P +25.74U 73%

20 seconds away from going 8-0 today, I know I've already mentioned this bad beat but would of loved to hit that draw because I felt I had a certain grip on how this competition will pan out. With that being said no draws yet the competition is still widely unpredictable 3-0 overs again today glad I took the over for the last two neglected my system of not taking the overs for the Swiss cheese but nearly had the under there.

Ecuador defenders were a little suspect at the end there, congrats any tailers will post tomorrows card soon.

BOL

[Fox-hound86]

tomorrows predictions. Lets go.. I'm all ears.

[kremdekrem]

Congrats to you. Unfortunately I couldn't get the over 2.5 at a decent price, so I had to take over 3, which resulted in a push. That's ok with me since I still won the Bosnia-Herzegovina +1.5, thanks again to you.
I'm a HUGE Germany fan so I am looking forward to your predictions for tomorrow's games.

Cheers

[alamo]

Whilst the Swiss game was a bad beat actually a really really bad beat I feel we got some redemption with that Bosnian goal with 4' to go. That was a big 6.5x swing in the roll. Keep up the good work dude !

[MakePwithMe]

fox, krem, alamo

[Jakenv21]

Yea i pushed on the over 3 as well. Great thread. looking forward to tomorrow. Thanks OP

[MakePwithMe]

6/15

Germany vs Portugal:-
Full Time Result (Germany) +110 Wager 2U
Goalscorer Anytime (Thomas Muller) +163 Wager 1U

Iran vs Nigeria:-
Full Time Result (Nigeria) +110 Wager 2U
Under 2.5 Goals -150 Wager to Win 1U

Ghana vs USA:-
Full Time Result (Draw) +220 Wager 2U

Analysis:-
Nigeria should wrap this match up with a win, Iran will try to slow things down men behind the ball with zero creativity, all in all Nigeria have the right blend offensively to win this match up.

Germany are a lot better than Portugal regardless what the line indicates, Ronaldo has fitness doubts...from goalkeeper to defense to attack Germans outnumber the Portuguese in terms of squad strength, Portugals defense will let a few goals in if the Germans turn up.

Have no idea which side has the edge in the last game of the day, both defenses are good Ghana have the better attacking line up...but the Americans know how important it is to get a result against the former quarter finalists so I expect them to be physical and nick one on the counter and grind out the draw, there has to be a draw here.

BOL

[Joe Sharp]

I'm hoping that Germany underestimate Portugal as much as you do! Good luck. I'm on the others.

Cheers.

[kremdekrem]

I'm curious why you didn't bet the Germany/Portugal game over. Based on your analysis, it seems like it should go over. Can you explain your reasoning as to why you didn't?

[MakePwithMe]

jak, bill, joe

[MakePwithMe]

I'm curious why you didn't bet the Germany/Portugal game over. Based on your analysis, it seems like it should go over. Can you explain your reasoning as to why you didn't?

Sure.

I don't have confidence in Portugal scoring, Ronaldo is recovering/recovered from injury who else is there? Besides Portugal need the ball to score & Germans are one of the few sides who can dictate how long they want to keep the ball.

Germany only took 2 strikers, Klose is old has the legs...Volland is unproven unlike Benzema for France or RVP for Holland I see 2-0 Germany, I see them having many chances but not taking them as much Muller will score Germany will win over 2.5 goals? Maybe Portugal can score but this may be silly but I have this inner feeling that we could see a under I don't really care aslong as Germany take care of Ronaldo & co and Muller bags one.

BOL

[korki]

Nice thread, SIRR ,agree today Germany

[kremdekrem]

Hard to argue with your answer. You've convinced me. However, I bet the over before I saw your reply. Line was dropping so I jumped on it. Hope your mistaken but considering your track record, I'm not holding too much hope.



Thanks again for the thorough explanation,



Go Germany!!!

[true blue 26]

Do u think its worth putting some on Germany to win by 1 exactly? before i saw ur post i had a 1-0 2-1 type of game in my mind

[dirtycash66]

with you on nigeria

[dj91693]

Should I hedge on draw with ghana bet with pk -138 ghana ?