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Value Thread - No favourites, just value for money. GTFIH.
Hi there,
A lot of people in betting make the mistake of following favourites. I don't like that approach, because there is value to be had.
I have a strong system that I use to decide on plays that are good value, and that have a very strong chance of winning. However, I give no guarantees.
Plays 24/2/2014
Espanyol v Villareal pk @ $2.05
Parma v Fiorentina pk @ $2.10
Odds are obviously in decimal format, and the currency is Australian dollars.
BOL to all and sex to all.
I like your strategy but I dont like either of the two games you choose for today. Fiorentina is missing few starters and Espanyol is solid at home. Spanish teams in general do poor away from home. I know that espanyol has beaten atletico madrid at home when atleti were on top of their game. But BOL anyways, I will just wait for champs league matches tommorow
Villareal win and a push for fiorentina.
Record
1-0-1
+ 1.05
No official plays today, but if you need a bet to get your fix, than going a multi-bet of AZ (v Liberec) and Salzburg (v Ajax) to win their respective games on Thursday is a decent bet @ $2.5.
As always, BOL to all and sex to all.
Can definitely see what you are saying, but I don't like to apply generalisations to my betting. I feel that some teams match up better against other teams, and vice versa. If you can identify these factors you can isolate the games where you feel that the books have made a mistake in assigning odds.Originally Posted by barca12
Odds are essentially a form of probability - take for example, Espanyol v Villareal. Espanyol were favourites yet they haven't beaten Villareal in 10 or 11 matches between the pair, stretching back to 2008.
They had managed some draws, but still, for Villarreal to be placed at 2.05 (draw no bet) was a mistake on the bookies part and one that us punters need to exploit.
As always, best of luck to all and sex to all.
Last edited by AussiePunter123; 02-25-14 at 10:35 PM.
Have locked in some early plays for France Ligue 1.
Over 2.5 goals
Lorient v Bastia @ $2.05 (Australian dollars)
Lyon v Montpellier @ $2.10 (Australian dollars)
As always, BOL and sex to all.
Some more plays locked in early, none of this 30 mins before kick-off stuff.
Valenciennes pk @ $2.25
Also, having a 3 way multi-bet:
1) Nice or draw @ $1.42 *
2) Draw or Valenciennes @ $1.70*
3) Draw or Guingamp @ $1.85
Total Odds: $4.5
Odds are in Australian dollars.
As always, BOL and sex to all.
For those who only want a sure thing with a bit of value. Here it is:
Nice pk $1.72
As always, best of luck, and sex to all.
Here is a nice multibet for those who only like to dabble at combos with decent odds.
Angers V Troyes Over 2.5 @ 2.30*
Caen H2H WIN @ 1.65*
Nimes V Niort BTTS @ 1.95
Total odds: 7.4 (AUS dollars)
As always, BOL to all and sex to all.
Multibet failed. Missed out on the Angers V Troyes over 2.5 match which finished at 1-1. Nevermind. As always, best of luck to all and sex to all.
Last edited by AussiePunter123; 02-28-14 at 08:37 PM.
Not a fan of sex?
im short and ugly and have never kissed a girl
Find a short and ugly girl?
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Dont get the thread off topic please gents. Lets all make some money and get laid.
Alright boys, Im back with some more plays to help us make some money.
A strong bet is coming up in France Ligue 1 in the next few days.
Nantes @ 1.66
Free money right there.
As always, BOL and sex to all.
record
1 - 6 - 1
-4.95
Another play from France Ligue 1.
Lorient pk @ 2.00
As always, BOL and sex to all.
Plays for Friday
Fortuna Sittard pk 1.90
Willem II v Oss Under 3.5 goals @ 1.73
Clermont Foot pk 1.73
Auxerre pk 1.83
Empoli v Avellino Under 2.5 @ 1.62
As always, BOL and sex to all.
France Ligue 2 Plays
Arles v Nancy: Draw or Nancy @ 1.75
Clermont @ 2.55
Le Havre v Caen BTTS @ 1.90
Troyes V Istres: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80
Troyes V Istres: Only one team scores @ 1.80
As always, BOL and sex to all.
Went quite well on Friday with the plays.
Record
7-8-3
-1.67
Went +3.28 units on Friday.
As always, BOL and sex to all.
Plays for Saturday
Doncaster pk @ $2.25
Yeovil v Sheffield Wed BTTS @ $1.90
Coventry pk @ 1.83
Atl.Madrid @ $1.91
Granada pk @ 2.20
Cordoba @ 2.30
More picks for Saturday.
Hannover 96 pk @ 2.10
Nurnberg v Werder Brem BTTS @ 1.65
FC Union Berlin v FC Ingolstadt BTTS @ 1.90
Udinese v AC Milan BTTS @ 1.80
Nacional pk @ 3.75
More plays.
NAC pk @ 3.00
Not a good night last night gents.
Record
11-16-4
-5.41
Here are some more plays for Sunday.
Lille @ 2.05
Lorient pk @ 2.00
Blackburn pk @ 1.83
Valencia pk @ 1.57
Napoli pk @ 1.67
FSV Frankfurt pk @ 1.80
RKC pk @ 1.83
Groningen pk @ 2.75
As always, BOL and sex to all.
Updated record
16 - 17 - 6
-1.56
As always, BOL and sex to all.
Monday plays.
No official plays today, but for those looking to make some money and get laid, then I have put together a treat for you.
Going a 3 way parlay for those who are looking to have a bit of a speculator. No official play but am confident this can hit.
Real sociedad @ 1.44
Emmen v De Graafschap BTTS @ 1.50
Maritimo @ 2.38
TOTAL: 5.14
BOL and as always, sex to all.
Trust Real Sociedad to put a spanner in the works.
Some quick plays.
(Straight Bet) Inverness @ 1.44 Inverness vs Hibernian - Draw No Bet $0.25
As always, BOL and sex to all.
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