1. #1
    Valand
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    Valands World Soccer Chase System

    Hi, I'm going to start to post my soccer system here instead of just writing it down in my sportbook. The system is a chase system were I scan the games of Europe soccer leagues and look at results with a zero in it a shutout. So a example if Tottenham wins 1-0 and then plays D,L and L I then check the stats of how the team performs after a 1-0 win and see that they W the worst time 2004-5 after 6 games between the 1-0 result. So that means a D bet at worst. I followed a shut out system with similar idea for baseball but here I have taken the filter of three matches as a safe barrier.

    so here is the recent win I had with Tottenham a B bet beating Fulham 4.12. As you can see the lost 6-0 against Man C. So let's check just saw this the three game filter is their. From 3-0, 4-0 L the always loose at a D maximum and that is only one L on 3-0 the have never lost by this much the last ten years in premier league.

    Game:
    A: Tottenham L vs Liverpool waiting on line 15.12

    post more games tomorrow Lorient and more
    Last edited by Valand; 12-10-13 at 06:08 AM.

  2. #2
    Valand
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    I have had 10 wins starting the 4.12:
    Man U L, 1,5 units
    Man C W (A) 1,5 u
    Spurs W 1,5 u
    Genclerbigli D, 1,5
    Roma W, 1,5
    Fc gröningen L, 1 u
    Lille L, 1,1 u
    Udinese D, 3,22 u
    Genoa L, 1 u


  3. #3
    Valand
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    A Inter, W, 1.5 u +322
    C Inter, L, 2,02 u -104
    C Roma,L, 3,47 u +135
    B Real Valladolid W, 0,95 u +146
    B Osasuna, D, 2,1 u +560
    B Villareal, L, 0,8 u -327
    B Levante, W, 1 u +133
    C Nacional de Madeira ,W, 4,07 u +107
    C Frieburg ,W, 1,83 u +746
    C Levadiakos,D, 2,02 u no line
    B Man U, W, 5,92 u -131
    B Everton,L, 2,77 u +926
    B Arsenal,L, 1,45 u +158 (Against Napoli all other league games)
    C Nice, W, 1,73 u no line
    A Lorient, L , 1,8 + 297

  4. #4
    Valand
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    C Frieburg should be a Draw ,D, no line

  5. #5
    Valand
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    B Arsenal,L, W 1,2 u up

  6. #6
    Valand
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    More plays that I have found:

    A Inter, W, 1.5 u +322
    C Inter, L, 2,02 u -104
    C Roma,L, 3,47 u +135
    B Real Valladolid W, 0,95 u +146
    B Osasuna, D, 2,1 u +560
    B Villareal, L, 0,8 u -327
    B Levante, W, 1 u +133
    A Athletic Bilbao, L , 1,1 u + 100
    A Betis, W , 1,8 u + 374
    A Celta Vigo, D , 1,5 u + 243
    A Espanyol ,D , 1,0 u + 232
    A Real sociedad, D , 1,0 u + 305
    A Sevilla, L , 1,2 u + 184 (12.12 vs Frieburg )
    C Nacional de Madeira ,W, 4,07 u +107
    A Sporting Braga, D , 3,5 u +403
    C Levadiakos,D, 2,02 u +277
    A Tottenham, L, 1,1 u no line
    B Man U, W, 5,92 u -131
    B Everton,L, 2,77 u +926
    B Arsenal,L, 1,45 u +158 (vs Napoli CL) W
    A Wolfsburg, L , 1,0 u + 386
    C Frieburg, D , 1,83 u + 248 (12.12 vs Sevilla)
    C Nice, W , 1,73 u -128
    A Lorient, L , 1,8 u + 297
    A PSV, W , 1,2 u -138 (12.12 vs Chornomorets Odessa)
    Last edited by Valand; 12-12-13 at 08:29 AM.

  7. #7
    Valand
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    OK,

    A PSV, W , 1,2 u -138 (12.12 vs Chornomorets Odessa) L
    C Frieburg, D , 1,83 u + 248 (12.12 vs Sevilla) L
    A Sevilla, L , 1,2 u + 184 (12.12 vs Frieburg ) L


    B PSV, W ,2,85 u +115 vs Utrecht
    DFrieburg, D , 2,56 u + 398 vs Shalke 04 (still only 2,56 u, Draw series is less juice and can go longer then D bet)
    B Sevilla, L , 1.85 u + 296 vs Athletic Bilbao

    A Tottenham, L, 1,1 u +204 vs Liverpool

    Have a great Weekend!

  8. #8
    Valand
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    A Inter, W, 1.5 u +322 L
    C Inter, L, 2,02 u -104 W
    C Roma,L, 3,47 u +135 L
    B Real Valladolid W, 0,95 u +146 W
    B Osasuna, D, 2,1 u +560 W
    B Villareal, L, 0,8 u -327 W
    B Levante, W, 1 u +133 W
    A Athletic Bilbao, L , 1,1 u + 100 L
    A Betis, W , 1,8 u + 374 L
    A Celta Vigo, D , 1,5 u + 243 L
    A Espanyol ,D , 1,0 u + 232 W
    A Real sociedad, D , 1,0 u + 305 L
    B Sevilla, L , 1.85 u + 296 L
    C Nacional de Madeira ,W, 4,07 u +107 W
    A Sporting Braga, D , 3,5 u +403 L
    C Levadiakos,D, 2,02 u +277 L
    A Tottenham, L, 1,1 u +204 W
    B Man U, W, 5,92 u -131 W
    B Everton,L, 2,77 u +926 L
    A Tottenham, L, 1,1 u +204 W
    B Arsenal,L, 1,45 u +158 (vs Napoli CL) W
    A Wolfsburg, L , 1,0 u + 386 L
    DFrieburg, D , 2,56 u + 398 L
    C Nice, W , 1,73 u -128 W
    A Lorient, L , 1,8 u + 297 L
    B PSV, W ,2,85 u +115 W

    Good weekend! System + 29.89 since 04.12.2013
    Last edited by Valand; 12-17-13 at 08:31 AM.

  9. #9
    Valand
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    B Inter, W, 1.96 u no line 22.12
    D Roma,L, 6.04 u no line 22.12

    B Athletic Bilbao, L , 2.2 u no line 22.12
    B Betis, W , 2.28 u no line 21.12
    BCelta Vigo, D , 2.12 u no line 22.12
    B Real sociedad, D , 1.32 u no line 21.12
    C Sevilla, L , 2.475 u no line 21.12

    B Sporting Braga, D , 4,37 u no line 19.12

    D Levadiakos,D, 2,75 u no line 18.12 (E 22.12)

    C Everton,L, 3.07 u no line 22.12 (D 26.12)

    B Wolfsburg, L , 1.26 u no line 22.12
    E Frieburg, D , 3.20 u no line 21.12

    B Lorient, L , 2.41 u no line 22.12

    Last edited by Valand; 12-17-13 at 09:10 AM.

  10. #10
    Valand
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    B Inter, W, 1.96 u +175 22.12
    D Roma,L, 6.04 u +1450 22.12

    B Athletic Bilbao, L , 2.2 u +649 22.12
    B Betis, W , 2.28 u -133 21.12
    BCelta Vigo, D , 2.12 u +270 22.12
    B Real sociedad, D , 1.32 u +236 21.12
    C Sevilla, L , 2.475 u -111 21.12

    B Sporting Braga, D , 4,37 u no line 19.12 W

    D Levadiakos,D, 2,75 u no line 18.12 L/// E Levadiakos,D, 3,86 u no line 22.12

    C Everton,L, 3.07 u +208 22.12 (D 26.12)

    B Wolfsburg, L , 1.26 u +121 22.12
    E Frieburg, D , 3.20 u +237 21.12
    A Augburg. L . 1.5 u +115 20.12 L
    A Nuremberg. W. 2.0 u +251 21.12
    A Hoffenheim.L. 1,3. u +317 21.12
    A Stuttgart , D, 1,0 u no line 25.12

    A Zwolle ,W, 1,1 u +778 21.12
    A Az Alkmar W. 3.0 u -128 21.12
    A Fc Gröningen, W, 1,25 u -142 22.12

    A Gaziantepspor,L, 1,2 u -127 21.12

    B Lorient, L , 2.41 u +204 22.12
    Last edited by Valand; 12-21-13 at 02:13 AM.

  11. #11
    Valand
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    B Inter, W, 1.96 u +175 22.12 W
    D Roma,L, 6.04 u +1450 22.12 L

    B Athletic Bilbao, L , 2.2 u +649 22.12 L
    B Betis, W , 2.28 u -133 21.12 L
    BCelta Vigo, D , 2.12 u +270 22.12 W
    B Real sociedad, D , 1.32 u +236 21.12 L
    C Sevilla, L , 2.475 u -111 21.12 L

    B Sporting Braga, D , 4,37 u no line 19.12 W

    D Levadiakos,D, 2,75 u no line 18.12 L/// E Levadiakos,D, 3,86 u no line 22.12 L

    C Everton,L, 3.07 u +208 22.12 (D 26.12) L

    B Wolfsburg, L , 1.26 u +121 22.12 L
    E Frieburg, D , 3.20 u +237 21.12 L
    A Augburg. L . 1.5 u +115 20.12 L
    A Nuremberg. W. 2.0 u +251 21.12 L
    A Hoffenheim.L. 1,3. u +317 21.12 W
    A Stuttgart , D, 1,0 u no line 25.12

    A Zwolle ,W, 1,1 u +778 21.12 L
    A Az Alkmar W. 3.0 u -128 21.12 L
    A Fc Gröningen, W, 1,25 u -142 22.12 W

    A Gaziantepspor,L, 1,2 u -127 22.12 W

    B Lorient, L , 2.41 u +204 22.12 L

  12. #12
    Valand
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    B Inter, W, 1.96 u +175 22.12 W
    D Roma,L, 6.04 u +1450 22.12 L

    B Athletic Bilbao, L , 2.2 u +649 22.12 L
    B Betis, W , 2.28 u -133 21.12 L
    BCelta Vigo, D , 2.12 u +270 22.12 W
    B Real sociedad, D , 1.32 u +236 21.12 L
    C Sevilla, L , 2.475 u -111 21.12 L

    B Sporting Braga, D , 4,37 u no line 19.12 W

    D Levadiakos,D, 2,75 u no line 18.12 L/// E Levadiakos,D, 3,86 u no line 22.12 L

    C Everton,L, 3.07 u +208 22.12 (D 26.12) L

    B Wolfsburg, L , 1.26 u +121 22.12 L
    E Frieburg, D , 3.20 u +237 21.12 L
    A Augburg. L . 1.5 u +115 20.12 L
    A Nuremberg. W. 2.0 u +251 21.12 L
    A Hoffenheim.L. 1,3. u +317 21.12 W
    A Stuttgart , D, 1,0 u no line 25.12

    A Zwolle ,W, 1,1 u +778 21.12 L
    A Az Alkmar W. 3.0 u -128 21.12 L
    A Fc Gröningen, W, 1,25 u -142 22.12 W

    A Gaziantepspor,L, 1,2 u -127 22.12 W

    B Lorient, L , 2.41 u +204 22.12 L


    - 3.65 u Frieburg
    - 3.49 u Levadiakos System + 33.00 since 04.12.2013
    Last edited by Valand; 12-22-13 at 04:58 PM.

  13. #13
    Valand
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    A Arsenal. W. 2.0 u 23.12
    D Everton,L, 4.54 u 26.12
    A Southampton ,W, 3.17 u 26.12 ( I'm on B )


    A Stuttgart , D, 1,0 u 25.12
    C Wolfsburg, L , 2.3 u 25.12
    B Augburg. L . 2.80 u 25.12
    B Nuremberg. W. 2.80 u 25.12

    E Roma,L, 6.45 u 4.1 and all the other plays are coming 2014
    Last edited by Valand; 12-23-13 at 06:25 AM.

  14. #14
    new era
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    y are u editing?

  15. #15
    Valand
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    Hi, Do you mean the southampton play or that I haven't the dutch play's and so on? It's because the are after 2013 so i'm going to add them later.

  16. #16
    Valand
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    A Man C. L. 1.3 u 26.12 New
    A Arsenal. W. 2.0 u 23.12 L / B Arsenal. W. 3.38 u 26.12
    D Everton,L, 4.54 u 26.12
    A Southampton ,W, 3.17 u 26.12 ( I'm on B )

    and all the other plays are coming 2014
    E Roma,L, 6.45 u 4.1

    Didn't see that Bundesliga were in Jan, my mistake!
    A Stuttgart , D, 1,0 u 25.1
    C Wolfsburg, L , 2.3 u 25.1
    B Augburg. L . 2.80 u 25.1
    B Nuremberg. W. 2.80 u 25.1
    ..............
    Last edited by Valand; 12-25-13 at 03:01 AM.

  17. #17
    Valand
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    A Man C. L. 1.3 u 26.12 L
    B Arsenal. W. 3.38 u 26.12 W
    D Everton,L, 4.54 u 26.12 W +1008 but the still lost
    A Southampton ,W, 3.17 u 26.12 W

    4.9 units up got to love boxing day!

    System + 37.9 since 04.12.2013

    - 3.65 u Frieburg
    - 3.49 u Levadiakos

  18. #18
    Valand
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    B Man C.L .1.66 u 28.1
    A West Ham.W. 1.15 u 28.1
    A W.B.A.W, 1.7 u 28.1
    A NewCastle.L .1.2 u 29.12

    A Antalyaspor.W. 1.15 u 29.12

    A Olympiakos.D . 1.25 u 04.1

    C Athletic Bilbao, L , 2.6 u 05.1
    C Betis, W , 5.31 u 04.1
    C Real sociedad, D , 2.17 u 05.1
    D Sevilla, L , 5.84 u 05.1

    A Parma,L, 1.4 u 06.1
    A Parma,W, 1.4 u 06.1
    A A.C Milan(H).W. 2.6 u 06.1
    E Roma,L, 6.45 u 05.1

    C Lorient, L , 3.63 u 12.1
    A Reims.L . 1.35 u 12.1
    A Marsielle.W . 1.88 u 12.1
    A Saint etienne.D . 1.88 u 08.1

    B Zwolle ,W, 1,.24 u 18.1
    B Az Alkmar W. 6.84 u 18.1

    C Wolfsburg, L , 2.71 u 25.1
    B Augburg. L . 2.65 u +1.4 u (Passes on to Dortmund) 25.1
    B Nuremberg. W. 2.79 u 25.1
    A Stuttgart , D, 1,0 u 25.1
    Last edited by Valand; 12-27-13 at 12:57 PM.

  19. #19
    onemoregoal
    twentysixblack
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    Im trying to understand, i just cant.

  20. #20
    Valand
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    Every play has a shutout where the team has had a zero in their result. W.B.A for example won 2-0. Since then the haven't won a game just played draws and lost. If I go back to their previous track record of 2-0 wins the always manage to win again if the won 2-0. Every game I put out I have gone threw the statistic of how the team react after 2-0, 0-0 , 5-0 and so on.


    U=units 29.12 is 29th of dec when the match is played

    A bet B bet C bet D bet is how far the bet has gone

    I don't have a fixed unit size as you can see because of the large number of leagues and teams. I sometime see plays that could have been a C bet if I had followed it from the start. That's why some A bets are 1.8 and some 1.15

    The play Ac milan (h) stands for home match the haven't won a home match since beating Udinese with 1-0


    Last edited by Valand; 12-27-13 at 12:58 PM.

  21. #21
    Valand
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    New
    1 hour and 40 min left

    A Birmingham city, L, 2.2. u 29.12
    A Leeds united, L, 1.6 u 29.12
    A Blackpool, W, 1.5 u 29.12

  22. #22
    Valand
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    B Man C.L .1.66 u 28.1 L
    A West Ham.W. 1.15 u 28.1 L
    A W.B.A.W, 1.7 u 28.1 L
    A NewCastle.L .1.2 u 29.12 W

    A Antalyaspor.W. 1.15 u 29.12 L / B: 25.1 1.36 u

    A Birmingham city, L, 2.2. u 29.12 L
    A Leeds united, L, 1.6 u 29.12 W
    A Blackpool, W, 1.5 u 29.12 L


    System + 40.7 since 04.12.2013

    - 3.65 u Frieburg
    - 3.49 u Levadiakos
    Last edited by Valand; 12-29-13 at 01:45 PM.

  23. #23
    Valand
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    Next game day 1th of Jan

    C Man C.L .1.72 u 1.1
    B West Ham.W. 1.90 u 1.1
    B W.B.A.W, 2.51 u 1.1

    B Birmingham city, L, 4.31 u 1.1
    B Blackpool, W, 2.25 u 1.1

  24. #24
    steevio_uk
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    Yeah, this is going over my head a bit too!

    Sounds interesting though!

  25. #25
    edabramov
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    Quote Originally Posted by onemoregoal View Post
    Im trying to understand, i just cant.
    Lmao you just described everyone who goes on this post, including me.

  26. #26
    Valand
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    C Man C.L .1.72 u 1.1
    B West Ham.W. 1.90 u 1.1
    B W.B.A.W, 2.51 u 1.1

    A Birmingham city, W,(H) 1.4 u 1.1
    B Birmingham city, L, 4.31 u 1.1
    B Blackpool, W, 2.25 u 1.1

    A Wellington Phoenix, D, 0.9 u 1.1

    Example:
    Why I picked Birmingham city is because from this season to 2006-2007 in championship at most have had 11 matches between a lost if they have been beaten with 1-0 previously. That were season. T he home Win is because the won 4-0 02.11.13 and have played 6 home matches without a win since.
    Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 08-05-14 at 11:48 AM.

  27. #27
    Valand
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    C Man C.L .1.72 u 1.1 L
    B West Ham.W. 1.90 u 1.1 L
    B W.B.A.W, 2.51 u 1.1 W

    A Birmingham city, W,(H) 1.4 u 1.1 L
    B Birmingham city, L, 4.31 u 1.1 L
    B Blackpool, W, 2.25 u 1.1 L

    A Wellington Phoenix, D, 0.9 u 1.1 L

  28. #28
    Valand
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    A Sydney,D, 2.55 u 03.1

    D Man C, L. 2.06 u 04.1 (FA-Cup)
    C West Ham.W. 2.78 u 05.1 (FA-Cup)
    B Blackpool, W, 3.75 u 04.1 (FA-Cup)
    A Charlton Athletic, W. 1.3 u 04.1 (FA-Cup)

    A Olympiakos.D . 1.25 u 04.1

    C Athletic Bilbao, L , 2.6 u 05.1
    C Betis, W , 5.31 u 04.1
    C Real sociedad, D , 2.17 u 05.1
    D Sevilla, L , 5.84 u 05.1
    A Osasuna, W , 1.3 u 05.1
    A Valencia, W , 1.1 u 04.1

    A Parma,L, 1.4 u 06.1
    A Parma,W, 1.4 u 06.1
    A A.C Milan(H).W. 2.6 u 06.1
    E Roma,L, 6.45 u 05.1
    A Genoa, W, 1.2 u 06.1
    Last edited by Valand; 01-02-14 at 01:01 PM.

  29. #29
    Valand
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    I Hope 2014 will be as good as 2013. Forgot to post Sunderland game yesterday. Totally forgot about it took a live bet on it after Aston villa scored. Not going to include it in this system, Man u could have been a play as well but I didn't play them because I already won when Everton defeated them. Thought the couldn't loose more at Old trafford this season. Man C I'm just going to hunt them until the get defeated very tempted to play +2 on them vs palace. Well the get grinded now Fa, league cup and Newcastle away.

  30. #30
    AussiePunter123
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    Very interesting system.

    I think I understand, basically - you are trying to predict whether a team is going to win, lose or draw depending on their recent results and how this corresponds to that team's historical win loss record.

    For example, if one team losses in embarrassing fashion, then perhaps they are more likely to win the next week as they will, in theory, be more up for the game. Especially if historically, that team seems to bounce back after an unexpected or humiliating loss.

    Alternatively, some people argue that when a team changes coach, they are more likely to win the first game with their new coach.

    Am I on the right track?

    Seems a very interesting system.

  31. #31
    Valand
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    Yes correct!

    Like if Sampdoria has
    0-4
    1-1 Filter of 3 games
    3-3

    2-4

    I check previous records of 0-4 and if the can manage a win with in 6-7 games from the big loss. I let the team play 3 games it works as a filter. So If a team gets zero resultat I wait three games before I bet. I'm thinking of adding Genoa they have 2-0 and have not won in 5 games. Only problem is that if the lo
    Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-20-14 at 10:24 AM.

  32. #32
    Valand
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    Quote Originally Posted by AussiePunter123 View Post
    Very interesting system.

    I think I understand, basically - you are trying to predict whether a team is going to win, lose or draw depending on their recent results and how this corresponds to that team's historical win loss record.

    For example, if one team losses in embarrassing fashion, then perhaps they are more likely to win the next week as they will, in theory, be more up for the game. Especially if historically, that team seems to bounce back after an unexpected or humiliating loss.

    Alternatively, some people argue that when a team changes coach, they are more likely to win the first game with their new coach.

    Am I on the right track?

    Seems a very interesting system.
    Thanks!
    System + 42.4 since 04.12.2013

    - 3.65 u Frieburg
    - 3.49 u Levadiakos

  33. #33
    Giz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Valand View Post
    System + 42.4 since 04.12.2013
    whats the system + since 09.12.2013

    ?

  34. #34
    Valand
    Valand's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-25-11
    Posts: 238
    Betpoints: 4430

    Quote Originally Posted by Giz View Post
    whats the system + since 09.12.2013

    ?
    I started in September with this system but didn't start posting in this forum until Dec. So I have more then + 42.4 units.

  35. #35
    Giz
    Giz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-06-13
    Posts: 1,703

    Quote Originally Posted by Valand View Post
    I started in September with this system but didn't start posting in this forum until Dec. So I have more then + 42.4 units.
    whats the system + since posting on the forum since 09.12.2013

    ?

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