1. 10-14-13 12:13 AM #1
    theballsflop
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    Chile - Ecuador : Weird odds?

    bet365
    		 2.25 1.67 15.00

    why is draw @ 1.67?
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  2. 10-14-13 12:17 AM #2
    edabramov
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    Quote Originally Posted by theballsflop View Post
    bet365 2.25 1.67 15.00

    why is draw @ 1.67?

    Very fishy.. I'm amusing the teams maybe have an agreement so they both advance, that way Uruguay has no change of topping both of them.

    Or maybe books are just expecting both of them to play very cautiously...
    Last edited by edabramov; 10-14-13 at 12:26 AM.
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  3. 10-14-13 12:21 AM #3
    edabramov
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    3,000$ laid on a Draw at BetFair already and barely 20$ on any other results..
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  4. 10-14-13 01:02 AM #4
    lucasdawg
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    wew wth .....
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  5. 10-14-13 02:12 AM #5
    Vaughany
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    Its pretty standard. If two teams only need a point each to qualify so is mutually beneficial thn oddmakers always set the draw as likely result. Youll see it towards end of season in club leagues as well like serie a, serie b etc... And also Champs League. Sould bare in mind tht it isnt necesarily a lock tho. Its not like the bookies have inside info, majority of time they are basing it on assumptions such as gentleman's agreements between the two teams involved, and also pre-empting how the generel bettingpublic and the sharps are going to bet. An example of it not always working out is the Shakthar Juventus Champs League game last season. Both only needed a point to qualify and draw odds were set accordingly. And Juve went and won 1-0 in Donetsk
    Last edited by Vaughany; 10-14-13 at 02:16 AM.
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  6. 10-14-13 02:33 AM #6
    vasilli07
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    There is only a chance that draw won't hit, a goal for a team in the 1st half for the lead. If it's drawing at HT, I expect both teams coaches to play even more cautiously and lower the tempo in the 2nd half to just draw the game.
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  7. 10-14-13 04:10 AM #7
    theballsflop
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    Really shady match. I wanna see the market for ecuador +0.5 but its not out yet... only see +0.25 @ 2.05
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  8. 10-14-13 04:39 AM #8
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by theballsflop View Post
    Really shady match. I wanna see the market for ecuador +0.5 but its not out yet... only see +0.25 @ 2.05
    oddschecker is your friend!

    http://www.oddschecker.com/football/.../double-chance
    Points Awarded:

    theballsflop gave Vaughany 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

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  9. 10-14-13 05:14 AM #9
    vasilli07
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    After looking at the table, I have changed my opinion. Ecuador has a +5 GD, Chile +3 and Uruguay -1. As long as both teams don't lose by 3 goals or more, they should both still go through even if there is a winner in their game. Uruguay will have to beat Argentina by at least 2 goals to overtake Chile(if they lose by 3 goals) and Ecuador(if they lose by 5 goals). Do I see that happening? Very slim chance.
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  10. 10-14-13 11:18 AM #10
    edabramov
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    I think an under is a good bet here.
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  11. 10-14-13 11:37 AM #11
    Vaughany
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    Yee id be more inclined to play under in case of a 1-0
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