1. 10-14-09 08:37 AM #1
    pavyracer
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    Pavy's Plays 10/14

    I am trying 5 draws today:

    Austria +379
    Armenia +464
    Cyprus +430
    Israel +253
    Liechtenstein +306

    I will pay them as single bets as well as round robins of 2.

    Good luck!
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  2. 10-14-09 08:40 AM #2
    RoagBettor
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    I'm tailing this.

    Any opinion on Slovakia and Ecuador to win?

    Thanks.
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  3. 10-14-09 08:51 AM #3
    Wilforth
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    Add:

    Germany/Finland
    Denmark/Hungary
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  4. 10-14-09 08:54 AM #4
    RoagBettor
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    A lot of people have Germany to win in parlays, you like the draw?
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  5. 10-14-09 09:02 AM #5
    Wilforth
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    Germany to win what? A Germany draw will kill a lot of parlays and the books always get what they want! Note that the L3 meetings between Germany and Finland have ended in draws and I expect more of the same today, more so that Germany have qualified.
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  6. 10-14-09 09:09 AM #6
    RoagBettor
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    LOL I'm just the messenger! I read a lot of other forums like at Covers and those guys are on Germany to win. But I like your play better!

    I played all 7 draws, if I go 4-3 it'll be a nice day.

    Thanks Pavy and Wil!
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  7. 10-14-09 09:15 AM #7
    BL
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    No matter who is playing for Germany today -> This will be a win for Germany!
    The draw they played in Finland made the newspapers post negative articles for weeks. Germany is looking for "revenge" in this game. Plus Finland isn't looking for anything in this game. With Pasanen out and some other players who will sitting on the bench it should be a easy win for Germany. Well, Germany will play with Trochowski and Schweinsteiger in the midflied, Özil probably won't show up. But expect them to fight hard to win this.
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  8. 10-14-09 09:18 AM #8
    Wilforth
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    No sensible player will take any meaningful risks in a game like today's. Their weekend league games are more important to them than this game. If the game ends in a draw, the press can write whatever they like.
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  9. 10-14-09 09:25 AM #9
    BL
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    With a coach like Jogi Löw a player can't be sure to play the upcoming WorldCup without showing in every game why he should be in the team. There are only 3 more matches this year to show Löw that you are ready to play for Germany in the upcoming tournament. So expect a motivated team, especially players like Cacau, Trochowski and Marin!
    Ballack will play the first half because he asked to play! He wants this win like everybody in the team so expect a strong team showing up.... at the very least strong enough to win this one
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  10. 10-14-09 09:33 AM #10
    Wilforth
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    I like your analysis. BOL to those who played Germany.
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  11. 10-14-09 09:34 AM #11
    smitch124
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    Lets root for a lot of sister kisses today Pavy!!
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  12. 10-14-09 10:20 AM #12
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I am trying 5 draws today:

    Austria +379
    Armenia +464
    Cyprus +430
    Israel +253
    Liechtenstein +306

    I will pay them as single bets as well as round robins of 2.

    Good luck!
    That is the one i will play for small. Paver good luck today
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  13. 10-14-09 11:23 AM #13
    RoagBettor
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    1-0 Finland. Interesting.
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  14. 10-14-09 11:24 AM #14
    BL
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    Ok, after watching first 25 minutes of germanys game I am really asking wtf are they doing ?
    FINLAND NOT TO LOSE IS A LOCK ! GERMANY WON'T WIN THIS !
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  15. 10-14-09 11:30 AM #15
    RoagBettor
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    Quote Originally Posted by BL View Post
    Ok, after watching first 25 minutes of germanys game I am really asking wtf are they doing ?
    FINLAND NOT TO LOSE IS A LOCK ! GERMANY WON'T WIN THIS !
    LOL are you trying the reverse jinx?
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  16. 10-14-09 11:37 AM #16
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by RoagBettor View Post
    1-0 Finland. Interesting.
    This is what will happen. Finland has scored in the 1H. Germany will score one in the 2H. Game ends 1-1. All these will end up as losing bets:

    Germany ML
    Germany -1.5
    Germany 1H
    Over 2.5
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  17. 10-14-09 11:40 AM #17
    BL
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    Letting Hitzlsperger play today was the key for this LOCK win/draw for Finland!
    adding: Finland not to lose is the LOCK OF THE CENTURY
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  18. 10-14-09 11:42 AM #18
    RoagBettor
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    Look at Croatia in a 1-1 game! So many people on Croatia 1H, ML, Parlay, -1.5, -2, etc. etc. etc.

    The books don't lose, that's why we need to be on their side!
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  19. 10-14-09 11:47 AM #19
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by RoagBettor View Post
    Look at Croatia in a 1-1 game! So many people on Croatia 1H, ML, Parlay, -1.5, -2, etc. etc. etc.

    The books don't lose, that's why we need to be on their side!

    Germany -1.5 was at -125. Imagine that. And some folks would have wasted their money on that.
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  20. 10-14-09 11:50 AM #20
    Wilforth
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    If one had the guts to post Finland 1H +900, people would have laughed at it.
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  21. 10-14-09 11:55 AM #21
    RoagBettor
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
    If one had the guts to post Finland 1H +900, people would have laughed at it.
    You should have been all over that one! That's a Wilforth Special!
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  22. 10-14-09 12:01 PM #22
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by RoagBettor View Post
    You should have been all over that one! That's a Wilforth Special!

    Roag,

    That was the idea behind Costa Rica 1H +800 yesterday. With careful selections, you can hit 30% of such plays!
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  23. 10-14-09 12:32 PM #23
    RoagBettor
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    Germany running out of time, they could lose this game outright. What a huge upset!
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  24. 10-14-09 12:33 PM #24
    BL
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    I really hope you cash your germany draw ! But they have 0 chances :S
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  25. 10-14-09 12:36 PM #25
    Wilforth
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    Germany won't lose. The goals that tie such games are normally scored in the last 5 minutes of the game. That's the norm.
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  26. 10-14-09 12:43 PM #26
    Wilforth
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    Azerbaijan may eventually hold Russia to a draw.
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  27. 10-14-09 12:44 PM #27
    RoagBettor
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    BL is right, Germany is going to lose. Wow.
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  28. 10-14-09 12:48 PM #28
    BL
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    1-1 Germany. Congrats Roag & Co.
    But what a goal looool
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  29. 10-14-09 12:48 PM #29
    Wilforth
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    What is this? Are we sure the German players didn't bet on Finland?
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  30. 10-14-09 12:49 PM #30
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
    Germany won't lose. The goals that tie such games are normally scored in the last 5 minutes of the game. That's the norm.

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  31. 10-14-09 12:49 PM #31
    tbill11
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    Jesus Wilforth, you're good. 90th minute goal for Germany to seal the draw.
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  32. 10-14-09 12:50 PM #32
    RoagBettor
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    WILFORTH IS THE MAN!
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  33. 10-14-09 12:50 PM #33
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
    What is this? Are we sure the German players didn't bet on Finland?
    If it ends up a draw it may have been a good fix. Maybe they bet 2-X 1H/FT.

    Nice call!
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  34. 10-14-09 12:51 PM #34
    RoagBettor
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    Now work some magic for Russia! Need that 2-1 win!
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  35. 10-14-09 12:53 PM #35
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
    This is what will happen. Finland has scored in the 1H. Germany will score one in the 2H. Game ends 1-1. All these will end up as losing bets:

    Germany ML
    Germany -1.5
    Germany 1H
    Over 2.5
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