Leaning to Watford +0.5 tonight. Watford haven't been great in the last few games, particularly away, but did have a confidence boosting win last weekend at home to Blackburn. Watford have lost 36% of away games, so a pretty good away record.
Leicester have only won 1 of the last 11 home and away. The bookies currently have them around even money to win tonight and I make them around 35% chance to win tonight.
Value to Watford +0.5 on the handicap therefore. Probably worth risking to win 1 unit? Pinny currently has this @ 1.826.