Twente should be a 1 goal favorite here , PK dropped from -140 to -130 overnight in my book. I understand they are on the road and maybe not a dominant team but AZ isnt anything special , and being at home doesnt seem to help their play all that much. I cant resist the PK because AZ winning seems like the least likely of the 3 outcomes.
I see this game playing out one of two ways, AZ scores early , Twente equalizes late or Twente wins 2-0 and AZ doesnt do shit.