1. #1
    i_pick_winners1
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    Newcastle (+260) will win today against Fulham, here's why.

    First and foremost, Fulham are in horrible form. Two losses and one tie in their last three matches, the side looks uninspired and downright apathetic. The team lacks depth and Craven Cottage, holding only 20k+ supporters, is not one of the best places in the Premier League to get a "home field advantage" -- which is why I think this +260 line is WAY out of whack and a great value for a team like Newcastle.

    Newcastle are not only the better side and above Fulham in the table, but they're welcoming back Demba Ba, who has ten goals this season and cannot stop scoring lately. Demba Ba has found something special of late, scoring a majority of Newcastle's goals. He will definitely be the difference maker today, as Newcastle also looks to welcome back Ben Arfa, a massive workhorse for the side. Newcastle has the momentum going in and are going to handily win this match.

    Massive play on Newcastle +260.

  2. #2
    Vaughany
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    Ben Arfa isnt really a workhorse - he's a creative flair player that drifts in and out of games but is crucial to their creative threat. Part of the reason Fulham have been poor recently was due to Hangeland being out suspended...think it will be a draw

  3. #3
    i_pick_winners1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Ben Arfa isnt really a workhorse - he's a creative flair player that drifts in and out of games but is crucial to their creative threat. Part of the reason Fulham have been poor recently was due to Hangeland being out suspended...think it will be a draw
    Ben Arfa reminds me of Benayoun -- like you say, he's a creative player, but he does usually cover a lot of ground.

  4. #4
    16johnnymac
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    Everyone is saying New Castle
    Will win but you are stating a Draw can you tell why a draw?

    Thank you

    Johnny


    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Ben Arfa isnt really a workhorse - he's a creative flair player that drifts in and out of games but is crucial to their creative threat. Part of the reason Fulham have been poor recently was due to Hangeland being out suspended...think it will be a draw

  5. #5
    Vaughany
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    Who is everyone?! If everyone was saying Newcastle win then the odds wouldnt be like they are. I certainly wouldnt bet on Fulham to win but I just wouldnt be confident in NEwcastle straight up either. Would be draw or Newcastle DNB if I did play

  6. #6
    16johnnymac
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    Oh OK it seemed like other threads are all on N.C. but are say it would be good to do 1 play on NC to win and one on a draw?

    Thank you

    Johnny


    UOTE=Vaughany;17073896]Who is everyone?! If everyone was saying Newcastle win then the odds wouldnt be like they are. I certainly wouldnt bet on Fulham to win but I just wouldnt be confident in NEwcastle straight up either. Would be draw or Newcastle DNB if I did play[/QUOTE]

  7. #7
    PuckIt
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    Over!

  8. #8
    PuckIt
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    Quote Originally Posted by 16johnnymac View Post
    Oh OK it seemed like other threads are all on N.C. but are say it would be good to do 1 play on NC to win and one on a draw?

    Thank you

    Johnny


    UOTE=Vaughany;17073896]Who is everyone?! If everyone was saying Newcastle win then the odds wouldnt be like they are. I certainly wouldnt bet on Fulham to win but I just wouldnt be confident in NEwcastle straight up either. Would be draw or Newcastle DNB if I did play
    [/QUOTE]

    Newcastle +0.5 could be a good play at -120 if you want.

  9. #9
    i_pick_winners1
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    Agreed

  10. #10
    16johnnymac
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    Hay bro so u like the over ??$$$$$
    My o/u is 2 1/2 thoughts over?


    OTE=PuckIt;17074092]Over![/QUOTE]

  11. #11
    Bluedragon
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    Not sure who I'm rolling with here but Newcastle form ain't all that much to lay stake in...

    L5 League Play:

    W New-Wig 3-0
    L Stoke-New 2-1
    L South-New 2-0
    L New-Swan 1-2
    L New-West Ham 0-1


    Those aren't exactly the powerhouse teams of the league.

    GL, still looking into this.

  12. #12
    i_pick_winners1
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    I agree, but Ba and Ben Arfa coming back should get them riled up and inject enough talent into the side today, IMO.

  13. #13
    PuckIt
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    I like both the O2.5 and the Newcastle +0.5. I expect Newcastle +0.5 to hit approx 58% (Win 32% / Draw 26%) of the time with the O2.5 at approx 63% of the time.

  14. #14
    Leo818
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    1u on Newcastle PK +220. BOL.

  15. #15
    chino_09
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    I like Newcastle today too. Safer bet probably would be Newcastle +1/2 but I really get a feeling that they'll pick up their first road victory today. Cisse and Ba are rested as well which should make for a fast paced match.

    2u on Newcastle ML and Over
    1u on Draw

  16. #16
    i_pick_winners1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Leo818 View Post
    1u on Newcastle PK +220. BOL.
    Where did you get them +220 as a PK. That's a great line, I would pound the living shit out of that.

  17. #17
    PuckIt
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    Quote Originally Posted by i_pick_winners1 View Post
    Where did you get them +220 as a PK. That's a great line, I would pound the living shit out of that.
    I see it as +175

  18. #18
    tcarn01
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    that is what i have it at puckit

  19. #19
    thetrinity
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    neither team really in that good of form, newcastle is awful on the road only have 4 points in 7 games (all draws), tough game to call.

  20. #20
    hugh613
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    Hopefully Demba Ba goes off, otherwise you can pretty much forget about Newcastle or the over - unless Cisse manages to show up for a change, but that's just crazy talk.

  21. #21
    i_pick_winners1
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    Man, I forgot how big of a dump Craven Cottage is.

  22. #22
    chino_09
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    Fulham up 1-0 now. Helps my Over I suppose. Newcastle better start controlling the ball better.

  23. #23
    hugh613
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    Quote Originally Posted by i_pick_winners1 View Post
    Man, I forgot how big of a dump Craven Cottage is.
    They've got a statue of Michael Jackson though...


  24. #24
    hotelis
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    first and foremost they are up 1-0 at the half

  25. #25
    i_pick_winners1
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    Hmmmm....I remember SOMEONE saying Ben Arfa would be a difference maker in this match.

    1-1

    Let's go Geordies!

  26. #26
    chino_09
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    Ben Arfa with the equalizer! Nice strike!

  27. #27
    chino_09
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    Newcastle isn't typically a 2H team either. Let's see how shitty Fulham is.....not one win in their last 7 EPL matches......let's go for 8!!!

  28. #28
    jules11
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    sooo... is the OP from the the mma forum? real football ain't easy.

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