West Brom-Southampton Over 2.5 + AAB-Midtjylland Over 2.5 [+180] Southampton has been an overs pleasure center all season in the EPL. Eight of nine overall have hit for at least three goals, all four of their road matches hitting for FOUR or more. Southampton has scored in all but one match this season & conceded in every match. West Brom has scored & conceded in four straight in EPL play. This is also a side that has only been kept off the score sheet once in nine tries. At home, they have multiple goals in three of five and have now given up four goals in their last two after starting off with three clean sheets. In Denmark, AAB has played to three goals or more in four of six @ home. Not surprisingly, they scored multiple times when those Overs hit. For the visitors, they have scored & conceded in five of six on the road - giving up multiple goals in all six. All six have hit for at least three goals.
[Czech Gambrinus] Slovacko +1 [-135] *0.5 unit These odds look respectable for the visiting side, considering the form of both as Slovacko visits Slovan Liberec. The home side has lost two of three and has failed to take the full three points in six of their last seven in league play. Meanwhile, Slovacko has managed the opposite with points taken in seven of eight after a poor start. On the road, Slovacko has worked a positive result in four of five with the lone blemish a 2-0 loss to league leaders Sigma Olomouc. At home, Slovan Liberec is unbeaten in five matches - but has only won twice and just once did they win by more than a single goal. Slovacko lost by multiple goals early in the season, but has not fallen by more than a single goal in their last nine - and as mentioned earlier, only once in that stretch did they lose at all. Just half a unit because this isn't a league I know the most about, but the numbers add up to the visitors at least not suffering a heavy defeat - so hopefully worst case is a push.
Caught a break with Slovacko. Went down a man with a red card down 2-1. Liberec scored to go 3-1 but Slovacko got the push shortly after. I'll happily take that push. On to the next...
Wow can't believe that's 2 times in a row all of SBR is on a play and it loses. I'm not one to say just because everyone is on the same side means it's a sure-fire loser but twice in a row? Either BTTS or the over was heavily played in the MLS match last night and everywhere I read today people were on this over, at least we can share in the misery together I suppose.
Yeah that's always a troublesome thing when SBR is all on one pick. I'd play Southampton Overs almost every time though. Their D is atrocious. Surprise was they didn't get more done offensively because they usually threaten more than they did today. Oh well. Shit happens. Party on.
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