Going to start tracking this 'system' of playing Overs exclusively and trying to make some profit. The 'system' is simply looking at the current form of each team, the ML, the juice on the over, and how many goals each team has been scoring lately (and their league positions). I've been hitting more overs than not simply by doing this basic research. Plus, I love the feeling of having an Over 2.5 and seeing a couple first half goals, or following the games on flashscores.com and seeing that beautiful red GOAL light up.
First play:
Brazil Serie A
Gremio/Cortiba O2.5 -124
Cortiba has won four straight and are climbing up the standings, while Gremio sits in third place and have scored at least 1 goal in their last 12 straight home games. Cortiba seems to have trouble scoring on the road, but their current form trumps that, at least for this game. Gremio is -200 for obvious reasons, but I think if Cortiba can net at least one goal we should have an easy over.
Looking over card for later games, will add plays if I see any.