1. 06-18-12 12:56 PM #1
    irlandais_noir
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    Croatia to qualify -110? Tempting for sure

    Think either Croatia or Ireland should manage a draw today, which would effectively eliminate Italy. But line has moved from -138 each to Italy now being heavily favored. Very worrying. Don't like to go against that sort of line movement....

    Thoughts?

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  2. 06-18-12 01:02 PM #2
    JT OZ
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    Don't see Italy drawing so Croatia needs a win or 2-2 draw to qualify.
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  3. 06-18-12 01:04 PM #3
    pattymayo
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    For Italy to advance they have to win ... So if you think Croatia will advance why not take Ireland PK much better odds
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  4. 06-18-12 01:09 PM #4
    irlandais_noir
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    Quote Originally Posted by pattymayo View Post
    For Italy to advance they have to win ... So if you think Croatia will advance why not take Ireland PK much better odds
    Because i dont think they will beat Italy. But they could tie. I would also not rule out a score draw b/w Croatia and Spain which would leave Italy having to win by multiple goals to go through.
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  5. 06-18-12 01:10 PM #5
    irlandais_noir
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    Quote Originally Posted by JT OZ View Post
    Don't see Italy drawing so Croatia needs a win or 2-2 draw to qualify.
    If Croatia/Spain tie 1-1, Italy would need goals to get through not just a 1-0 win
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  6. 06-18-12 01:14 PM #6
    irlandais_noir
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    The more I think about it, the more I think i should just take the draw in both. My least fav play
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  7. 06-18-12 01:15 PM #7
    JT OZ
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    Quote Originally Posted by irlandais_noir View Post
    The more I think about it, the more I think i should just take the draw in both. My least fav play
    Split and profit so its not a bad idea considering Spain/Italy both winning seems too easy.
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  8. 06-18-12 01:17 PM #8
    Monte
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    I dont see how -110 is tempting, if your team must avoid a loss to spain.
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  9. 06-18-12 01:23 PM #9
    irlandais_noir
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    Quote Originally Posted by Monte View Post
    I dont see how -110 is tempting, if your team must avoid a loss to spain.
    Italy avoided a loss to Spain and Croatia outplayed them. Moreover, Ireland could easily grind 1 - 1 against Italy.
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  10. 06-18-12 01:36 PM #10
    irlandais_noir
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    OK no play - afraid to pull the trigger.

    Playing Ireland -0.5 cards instead (3x). And Spain to not qualify +1300 (0.5x) for fun.

    Will keep an eye on both matches to see if anything is available.
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  11. 06-18-12 03:45 PM #11
    irlandais_noir
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    Won the cards bet, and easily could have won the second one if Rakitic could head.

    Happy with today, on to the next!
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