spain (4) -- advance with win or draw (draw would likely clinch group winner). advance with loss and italy not winning, would be eliminated with loss and italy win.
croatia (4) -- advance with win. advance with draw and italy nonwin. also advance on a draw if italy do not win by at least 2 goals or overcome them in total goals (croatia currently leads 4-2). advance on a loss if italy doesnt win as well.
italy (2) -- advance with win and nondraw in the other game. advance over croatia with a win of over 3 goals or more and a croatia draw or a 2 goal win in which they surpass them in goals scored (currently a minus 2 in that category). eliminated with anything besides a win.
ireland are out.