1. #1
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    Ralfberg's tips and predictions

    Hi everyone!

    Decided to share with my football predictions. Mainly covering top leagues like premier league, serie a, la liga, bundesliga and ligue 1.

    All bets will be posted with units assigned, 10units being the most bet, and 1 unit the least. So if a bet is a 10/10 I really can't see it losing, while if it is a 1/10 it's more of a feeling than tip.

    I will update my stats just like I do it here, where you can see my premier league betting history: http://www.fiso.co.uk/forum/my-weeke...t90238-90.html . Also , if someone don't understand what my units mean. For example, if you always bet like maximum 100 $ on a game, betting 1 unit would be 10$, 10units=100$. So if I have total of +23units it means that if you decide to bet my picks, you have +230$ (just if someone doesn't get the point )

    Remember, I don't guarantee that all my picks will always win or something, that's why always think before if you want to bet what I predict. That is, never bet blindly what I post here.

    Also if anyone wants a faster update about what I am betting you can follow me @ https://twitter.com/#!/xralfbergx

  2. #2
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So just to get things started, some picks for today, even though not my best leagues to predict , but these seems good (odds taken from betfair):

    1. GKS Belchatov vs Gornik Zabrze (POLAND Ekstraklasa) over 1,5 goals in game @ 1.51 - 5units

    2. Reims vs Sedan (FRANCE Ligue 2) - Draw no bet on Reims @ 1.56 - 2units (draw no bet also called handicap 0 for those who don't know means that if the game ends in draw, it is voided, if Reims win, I win 1.12 units, if loses I lose 2 units.

    3. Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Alemannia Aachen (GERMANY 2nd Bundesliga) - Both teams to score @ 2.00 - 2units
    Last edited by Ralfbergs; 02-27-12 at 02:13 AM.

  3. #3
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So ending the first day with a little minus, even though I really am surprised that Reims lost at home even scoring first. Also should've probably picked Braga to win, after 70min 2;0 ahead and other team has a red card.
    Anyway:

    Bets won:
    GKS Belchatov vs Gornik Zabrze (POLAND Ekstraklasa) over 1,5 goals in game @ 1.51 - 5units = +2.55

    WON: +2.55

    Bets lost:
    Reims vs Sedan (FRANCE Ligue 2) - Draw no bet on Reims @ 1.56 - 2units = -2
    Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Alemannia Aachen (GERMANY 2nd Bundesliga) - Both teams to score @ 2.00 - 2units = -2

    LOST: -4

    TOTAL: -1.45 units

    Even though I prefer to calculate +/- by type of the bet, let's try this here - just want to see how my stats look about different leagues after a while:
    Poland ekstraklasa: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: -2units
    TOTAL: -1.45units

  4. #4
    OGUCCI-SBR
    Bizness
    OGUCCI-SBR's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-11-10
    Posts: 4,663
    Betpoints: 557

    Best of luck on your bets !

  5. #5
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    Quote Originally Posted by OGUCCI-SBR View Post
    Best of luck on your bets !
    Thanks!!!!

    Bets for 28th february:
    1. Serbia vs Armenia (Friendly) Serbia to win @ 1.69 - 7units

    2. Chesterfield vs Charlton (English League One) - Draw no bet(also called handicap 0 - if ends in draw bet is voided) on Charlton @ 1.41 - 10units

    That's it! A little better picks than yesterday I think, even though friendlies are always harder to predict. Anyway, let's see what happens!

    You can follow me @ twitter @ https://twitter.com/#!/xralfbergx

    My stats:
    Poland ekstraklasa: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: -2units
    TOTAL: -1.45units
    Last edited by Ralfbergs; 02-27-12 at 04:41 PM.

  6. #6
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So after pretty nice tuesday:

    Bets won:
    Serbia vs Armenia (Friendly) Serbia to win @ 1.69 - 7units = +4.83 units
    Chesterfield vs Charlton (English League One) - Draw no bet(also called handicap 0 - if ends in draw bet is voided) on Charlton @ 1.41 - 10units = + 4.1 units

    WON: +8.93



    TOTAL TODAY: +8.93 units


    Stats(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 0-0-1 -2units
    International friendlies: 1-0-0 :+4.83units
    England League 1: 1-0-0 +4.1units
    TOTAL:3-0-2 +7.48units

  7. #7
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    Bets for 29th february:

    Tajikistan vs North Korea(Asian WC Qualifying) under 2,5 @ 1.73 - 5 units
    Japan vs Uzbekistan (Asian WC Qualifying) asian handicap +1.5 on Uzbekistan @ 2.08 - 2 units
    Latvia vs Kazakhstan (International friendly) Latvia to win @ 1.82 - 2units
    Israel vs Ukraine (International friendly) both teams to score @ 1.83 - 2units
    Croatia vs Sweden (International friendly) both teams to score @ 2.04 -2units

    Looks good , even though some are riskier than other. Going with 2 units for most, because these are friendlies mostly, and Uzbekistan don't need much anymore in that game, so let's see.




    Stats(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 0-0-1 -2units
    International friendlies: 1-0-0 :+4.83units
    England League 1: 1-0-0 +4.1units
    TOTAL:3-0-2 +7.48units

  8. #8
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    One bet already won (Tajikistan vs North Korea under), second one lookes great after 60min of play, Uzbekistan 1-0 at Japan!!

    What are your thoughts about England-Netherlands friendly? (if someone here has any) Thinking about England draw no bet in that game, but really dont know, hard to predict.

  9. #9
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    After thursday:

    Bets won:
    Tajikistan vs North Korea(Asian WC Qualifying) under 2,5 @ 1.73 - 5 units = +3.65
    Japan vs Uzbekistan (Asian WC Qualifying) asian handicap +1.5 on Uzbekistan @ 2.08 - 2 units = +2.16
    Israel vs Ukraine (International friendly) both teams to score @ 1.83 - 2units = +1.66
    Croatia vs Sweden (International friendly) both teams to score @ 2.04 -2units = +2.08

    WON: +9.55


    Bets lost:
    Latvia vs Kazakhstan (International friendly) Latvia to win @ 1.82 - 2units = -2 units

    LOST: -2.00


    TOTAL TODAY: +7.55 units


    Stats(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 0-0-1 -2units
    International friendlies: 3-0-1 :+6.57units
    England League 1: 1-0-0 +4.1units
    Asian WC Qualifying: 2-0-0 +5.81units
    TOTAL:7-0-3 +15.03units

  10. #10
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So for thursday (at least it's thursday game in my region):
    Mexico vs Colombia(International Friendly) - draw no bet on Mexico @ 1.5 - 2units

    Nothing really good, not many matches, so this will be only bet for tomorrow!

    Follow me @ twitter @ http://www.twitter.com/xralfbergx
    Stats(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 0-0-1 -2units
    International friendlies: 3-0-1 :+6.57units
    England League 1: 1-0-0 +4.1units
    Asian WC Qualifying: 2-0-0 +5.81units
    TOTAL:7-0-3 +15.03units

  11. #11
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So after thursday:

    Bets lost:
    Mexico vs Colombia(International Friendly) - draw no bet on Mexico @ 1.5 - 2units = -2

    LOST: -2.00

    TOTAL TODAY: - 2units

    I guess it would be better if I had chosen Estonia +0.5 in their game, my second choice, but it is what it is. Later will post my friday bets, nothing great there, but better bets than today I think.

    Follow me @ twitter @ http://www.twitter.com/xralfbergx
    Stats(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 0-0-1 -2units
    International friendlies: 3-0-2 :+4.57units
    England League 1: 1-0-0 +4.1units
    Asian WC Qualifying: 2-0-0 +5.81units
    TOTAL:7-0-4 +13.03units

  12. #12
    Nova99
    Nova99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 428
    Betpoints: 93

    Didnt see Mexico losing that one! They usually do well in their friendlies... keep on rolling dude, doing great so far!

  13. #13
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So bets for friday:

    Bochum vs Dynamo Dresden (Germany 2nd bundesliga) over 2.5 @ 1.75 - 4 units
    Benfica vs Porto (Portugal Superleague) over 1,5 @ 1,37 - 2units

    I really hope that first bet won't end just with 2 goals, because it's 2 goals guaranteed in my opinion, but should be 3 at least, as Dynamo is a big over team. Benfica vs Porto is a bit riskier, but I think it will end with 1-1 or 2-0 or something higher. I remind, don't bet blindly , check stats for yourself, if you agree with me, so go on

    And thanks Nova99, after that game I really thought maybe it wasn't that good of a bet. Should have thought about under 2,5 in that night.But I thought 2 teams like that, with good scorers, won't happen, so chose Mexico. Anyway, that's why it was 2 units, not higher. Good luck tomorrow! The most bets will come saturday
    P.S. Really like the new sbrforum, easier to post

    Follow me @ twitter @ http://www.twitter.com/xralfbergx
    Stats(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 0-0-1 -2units
    International friendlies: 3-0-2 :+4.57units
    England League 1: 1-0-0 +4.1units
    Asian WC Qualifying: 2-0-0 +5.81units
    TOTAL:7-0-4 +13.03units

  14. #14
    elTiezo
    Used To Be
    elTiezo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-08-12
    Posts: 100
    Betpoints: 618

    Bochum vs Dynamo

  15. #15
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So I'm already posting my bets for saturday, as there are many and won't have time later (remember, the least unit bets I bet more on hunch or some just stats prediction, while 5 or more unit bets I hardly see losing, and 10 unit bet for me is a certain(of course as certain it can be) winner:

    Aachen vs Paderborn (German 2nd Bundesliga) Asian handicap 0 & +0.5 on Paderborn @ 1.84 - 5units
    Hannover vs Augsburg (German Bundesliga) Hannover to win @ 1.79 - 3units
    Hamburg vs Stuttgart (German BUndesliga) Hamburg clean sheet:NO @ 1.38 - 3units
    Freiburg vs Schalke(German Bundesliga) over 2,5 goals in game @ 1.79 - 7units
    Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid (Spanish Primera) DRAW NO BET on Sevilla @ 1.73 - 3units
    Barcelona vs Gijon (Spanish Primera) Barcelona Clean sheet?:YES @ 1.66 - 5units
    Getafe vs Malaga (Spanish Primera) DRAW NO BET on Getafe @ 1.81 - 3units
    Glasgow Rangers vs Hearts (Scottish Premier league) Rangers to win @ 1.78 - 3units
    ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen (Dutch Eredivisie) over 2,5 goals @ 1.56 - 2units
    Juventus vs Chievo (Serie A) under 3,5 goals @ 1.42 - 3units
    Palermo vs AC Milan (Serie A) both teams to score @ 1.72 - 3units
    Bordeaux vs Nice (French Ligue 1) under 2,5 goals @ 1.62 - 7units
    Nancy vs Lyon (French Ligue 1) DRAW NO BET on Lyon @ 1.53 - 5units
    St ettiene vs Evian (French Ligue 1) over 1,5 goals @ 1.36 - 3units
    Leyton Orient vs Walsall (English League 1) under 3,5 goals @ 1.32 - 5units
    Ipswich vs Bristol city (English Championship) over 2.5 @ 1.8 - 5units
    Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough (English Championship) under 2,5 goals@ 1.69 - 3units
    WBA vs Chelsea (English Premier league) DRAW NO BET on Chelsea @ 1.45 - 7units
    Man city vs Bolton (English Premier league) Man city Clean sheet:YES @ 1.83 - 3units
    QPR vs Everton (English Premier league) Asian handicap 0&+0.5 on QPR @ 1.9 - 2units
    QPR vs Everton (English Premier league) Next Goal(first goal) QPR @ 2.14 - 2units
    Blackburn vs ASton villa (English Premier league) over 2 goals(if 2 goals, money back) @ 1.48 - 5units (not in betfair(there it is 1,5 with smaller odds), my local bookie has it, also bet 365, probably some others too)
    Blackburn vs Aston villa (English Premier league) both teams to score @ 1.68 - 5units

    Any questions, predictions,comments on my tips, please post them!Remember I think all of these picks are good, but 7units pick I don't see losing while 2-3unit picks are based mostly on my hunch, of course stats too, but it is more risky in my opinion to bet much.
    Remember, you don't have to bet all my picks here or something, just choose the ones you agree with

    Follow me @ twitter @ http://www.twitter.com/xralfbergx
    Stats(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 0-0-1 -2units
    International friendlies: 3-0-2 :+4.57units
    England League 1: 1-0-0 +4.1units
    Asian WC Qualifying: 2-0-0 +5.81units
    TOTAL:7-0-4 +13.03units
    Last edited by Ralfbergs; 03-02-12 at 06:59 AM.

  16. #16
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So results for friday:

    WON:
    Benfica vs Porto (Portugal Superleague) over 1,5 @ 1,37 - 2units = +0.74

    WON = +0.74

    LOST:
    Bochum vs Dynamo Dresden (Germany 2nd bundesliga) over 2.5 @ 1.75 - 4 units = -4

    LOST: -4

    TOTAL FRIDAY: -3.26 units
    Should have bet on over 1,5 in bundesliga game and on over 2,5 in benfica-porto I guess. Really bugged about that Dynamo game ending with just two goals even though they had like 40minutes after second goal to score third, eh, anyway, hopefully today it will be better.
    Follow me @ twitter @ http://www.twitter.com/xralfbergx
    Stats(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 0-0-2 -6units
    International friendlies: 3-0-2 :+4.57units
    England League 1: 1-0-0 +4.1units
    Asian WC Qualifying: 2-0-0 +5.81units
    Portuguese Superliga: 1-0-0 +0.74units
    TOTAL:8-0-5 +9.77units

  17. #17
    tullamore21
    Update your status
    tullamore21's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-12-09
    Posts: 1,929
    Betpoints: 3213

    where are you from?

  18. #18
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    Quote Originally Posted by tullamore21 View Post
    where are you from?
    I'm from Latvia.
    So just went trough my bets to see why so much minus, I guess I found what type of bets I should try to stay away from or bet less:

    Asian handicap:
    Aachen vs Paderborn (German 2nd Bundesliga) Asian handicap 0 & +0.5 on Paderborn @ 1.84 - 5units
    QPR vs Everton (English Premier league) Asian handicap 0&+0.5 on QPR @ 1.9 - 2units
    = 2W 0L +5.1


    Team to win:
    Hannover vs Augsburg (German Bundesliga) Hannover to win @ 1.79 - 3units
    Glasgow Rangers vs Hearts (Scottish Premier league) Rangers to win @ 1.78 - 3units
    = 0W 2L -6


    CS:
    Hamburg vs Stuttgart (German BUndesliga) Hamburg clean sheet:NO @ 1.38 - 3units
    Barcelona vs Gijon (Spanish Primera) Barcelona Clean sheet?:YES @ 1.66 - 5units
    Man city vs Bolton (English Premier league) Man city Clean sheet:YES @ 1.83 - 3units
    = 2W 1L = = -1.37


    OVER/UNDER 2,5
    Freiburg vs Schalke(German Bundesliga) over 2,5 goals in game @ 1.79 - 7units
    ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen (Dutch Eredivisie) over 2,5 goals @ 1.56 - 2units
    Bordeaux vs Nice (French Ligue 1) under 2,5 goals @ 1.62 - 7units
    Ipswich vs Bristol city (English Championship) over 2.5 @ 1.8 - 5units
    Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough (English Championship) under 2,5 goals@ 1.69 - 3units
    = 2W 3L -2.47


    DRAW NO BET:
    Getafe vs Malaga (Spanish Primera) DRAW NO BET on Getafe @ 1.81 - 3units
    Nancy vs Lyon (French Ligue 1) DRAW NO BET on Lyon @ 1.53 - 5units
    WBA vs Chelsea (English Premier league) DRAW NO BET on Chelsea @ 1.45 - 7units
    = 0W 3L -15


    OVER/UNDER 3,5 goals
    Juventus vs Chievo (Serie A) under 3,5 goals @ 1.42 - 3units
    Leyton Orient vs Walsall (English League 1) under 3,5 goals @ 1.32 - 5units
    = 2W 0 L +2.86


    Both teams to score:
    Palermo vs AC Milan (Serie A) both teams to score @ 1.72 - 3units
    Blackburn vs Aston villa (English Premier league) both teams to score @ 1.68 - 5units
    = 1W 1L +0.4


    OVER/UNDER 1,5 goals:
    St ettiene vs Evian (French Ligue 1) over 1,5 goals @ 1.36 - 3units
    = 1W 0L +1.08


    First goalscorer:
    QPR vs Everton (English Premier league) Next Goal(first goal) QPR @ 2.14 - 2units
    = 0W 1L -2


    Over 2goals:
    Blackburn vs ASton villa (English Premier league) over 2 goals(if 2 goals, money back) @ 1.48 - 5units (not in betfair(there it is 1,5 with smaller odds), my local bookie has it, also bet 365, probably some others too)
    = 0W 1D 0L 0units

    Other stats updated later(Sevilla game not included in these ones)- total minus, and stats by leagues

  19. #19
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So as you can see it's probably better without DRAW NO BET and team to win picks. Would be + if I would've stayed away from those. Also here are my stats by units for today:
    7units:
    Freiburg vs Schalke(German Bundesliga) over 2,5 goals in game @ 1.79 - 7units
    Bordeaux vs Nice (French Ligue 1) under 2,5 goals @ 1.62 - 7units
    WBA vs Chelsea (English Premier league) DRAW NO BET on Chelsea @ 1.45 - 7units




    = 1W 2L -8.47




    5units:
    Aachen vs Paderborn (German 2nd Bundesliga) Asian handicap 0 & +0.5 on Paderborn @ 1.84 - 5units
    Barcelona vs Gijon (Spanish Primera) Barcelona Clean sheet?:YES @ 1.66 - 5units
    Nancy vs Lyon (French Ligue 1) DRAW NO BET on Lyon @ 1.53 - 5units
    Leyton Orient vs Walsall (English League 1) under 3,5 goals @ 1.32 - 5units
    Ipswich vs Bristol city (English Championship) over 2.5 @ 1.8 - 5units
    Blackburn vs ASton villa (English Premier league) over 2 goals(if 2 goals, money back) @ 1.48 - 5units (not in betfair(there it is 1,5 with smaller odds), my local bookie has it, also bet 365, probably some others too)
    Blackburn vs Aston villa (English Premier league) both teams to score @ 1.68 - 5units


    = 4W 1D 2L +3.2


    3units:


    Hannover vs Augsburg (German Bundesliga) Hannover to win @ 1.79 - 3units
    Hamburg vs Stuttgart (German BUndesliga) Hamburg clean sheet:NO @ 1.38 - 3units
    Getafe vs Malaga (Spanish Primera) DRAW NO BET on Getafe @ 1.81 - 3units
    Glasgow Rangers vs Hearts (Scottish Premier league) Rangers to win @ 1.78 - 3units
    Juventus vs Chievo (Serie A) under 3,5 goals @ 1.42 - 3units
    Palermo vs AC Milan (Serie A) both teams to score @ 1.72 - 3units
    St ettiene vs Evian (French Ligue 1) over 1,5 goals @ 1.36 - 3units
    Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough (English Championship) under 2,5 goals@ 1.69 - 3units
    Man city vs Bolton (English Premier league) Man city Clean sheet:YES @ 1.83 - 3units


    = 4W 5L -9.23


    2units:
    ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen (Dutch Eredivisie) over 2,5 goals @ 1.56 - 2units
    QPR vs Everton (English Premier league) Asian handicap 0&+0.5 on QPR @ 1.9 - 2units
    QPR vs Everton (English Premier league) Next Goal(first goal) QPR @ 2.14 - 2units
    = 1W 2L -3.1

    Surprised about Chelsea losing that game, without that would've looked better. Anyways now I see some problems I have to deal with here, and hopefully results will improve

  20. #20
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    Bets won:
    Aachen vs Paderborn (German 2nd Bundesliga) Asian handicap 0 & +0.5 on Paderborn @ 1.84 - 5units +4.2
    Hamburg vs Stuttgart (German BUndesliga) Hamburg clean sheet:NO @ 1.38 - 3units = +1.14
    Freiburg vs Schalke(German Bundesliga) over 2,5 goals in game @ 1.79 - 7units = +5.53
    Juventus vs Chievo (Serie A) under 3,5 goals @ 1.42 - 3units = +1.26
    St ettiene vs Evian (French Ligue 1) over 1,5 goals @ 1.36 - 3units = +1.08
    Leyton Orient vs Walsall (English League 1) under 3,5 goals @ 1.32 - 5units = +1.6
    Ipswich vs Bristol city (English Championship) over 2.5 @ 1.8 - 5units = +4
    Man city vs Bolton (English Premier league) Man city Clean sheet:YES @ 1.83 - 3units = +2.49
    QPR vs Everton (English Premier league) Asian handicap 0&+0.5 on QPR @ 1.9 - 2units = +0.9
    Blackburn vs Aston villa (English Premier league) both teams to score @ 1.68 - 5units = +3.4


    WON = +25.60




    Bets lost:
    Hannover vs Augsburg (German Bundesliga) Hannover to win @ 1.79 - 3units = -3
    Barcelona vs Gijon (Spanish Primera) Barcelona Clean sheet?:YES @ 1.66 - 5units = -5
    Getafe vs Malaga (Spanish Primera) DRAW NO BET on Getafe @ 1.81 - 3units = -3
    Glasgow Rangers vs Hearts (Scottish Premier league) Rangers to win @ 1.78 - 3units = -3
    ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen (Dutch Eredivisie) over 2,5 goals @ 1.56 - 2units = -2
    Palermo vs AC Milan (Serie A) both teams to score @ 1.72 - 3units = -3
    Bordeaux vs Nice (French Ligue 1) under 2,5 goals @ 1.62 - 7units = -7
    Nancy vs Lyon (French Ligue 1) DRAW NO BET on Lyon @ 1.53 - 5units = -5
    Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough (English Championship) under 2,5 goals@ 1.69 - 3units = -3
    WBA vs Chelsea (English Premier league) DRAW NO BET on Chelsea @ 1.45 - 7units = -7
    QPR vs Everton (English Premier league) Next Goal(first goal) QPR @ 2.14 - 2units = -2


    LOST = -43.00




    Money back:
    Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid (Spanish Primera) DRAW NO BET on Sevilla @ 1.73 - 3units
    Blackburn vs ASton villa (English Premier league) over 2 goals(if 2 goals, money back) @ 1.48 - 5units (not in betfair(there it is 1,5 with smaller odds), my local bookie has it, also bet 365, probably some others too)


    TOTAL TODAY: -17.40


    Follow me @ twitter @ http://www.twitter.com/xralfbergx
    Stats(hopefully not wrong, but more or less it's correct)(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 1-0-2 -1.8units
    International friendlies: 3-0-2 :+4.57units
    England League 1: 2-0-0 +5.7units
    Asian WC Qualifying: 2-0-0 +5.81units
    Portuguese Superliga: 1-0-0 +0.74units
    German Bundesliga: 2-0-1 +3.67units
    Serie A: 1-0-1 -1.74units
    French Ligue 1: 1-0-2 -10.92units
    English Championship: 1-0-1 +1.00units
    English Premier League: 3-1-2 -2.21units
    Spanish Primera(La liga): 0-1-2 -8.00units
    Scottish Premier League: 0-0-1 -3.00units
    Dutch Eredivisie: 0-0-1 -2.00units
    TOTAL:18-2-16 -7.6units
    Last edited by Ralfbergs; 03-03-12 at 05:32 PM.

  21. #21
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    As you see minus makers are: Spanish La liga and French Ligue 1. Also DRAW NO BET type bets and team to win. Anyway here comes sunday's bets:

    Nurnberg vs Borrusia M'gladbach (German 2nd Bundesliga) under 3 goals @ 1.43(if 3 goals total-money back) - 5units
    Real Madrid vs Espanyol (Spanish Primera) over 3 goals(if 3 exact, money back) @ 1.47 - 4units
    Real Madrid vs Espanyol (Spanish Primera) Real Madrid clean sheet?:NO @ 2.02 - 3units
    PSV vs Twente (Dutch Eredivisie) over 2,5 goals @ 1.76 - 3units
    Inter vs Catania (Serie A) Inter to win @ 1.79 - 3units
    Siena vs Cagliari (Serie A) under 3 goals(if 3 total, money back) @ 1.42 - 5units
    AS Roma vs Lazio (Serie A) Both teams to score @ 1.68 - 5units
    Lecce vs Genoa (Serie A) over 2 goals(if 2 total, money back) @ 1.48 - 5units
    Tottenham vs MU (English premier league) over 2 goals @ 1.42 - 10units
    Fulham vs Wolves (English Premier league) over 2 goals @ 1.42 - 7units
    Newcastle vs Sunderland (English Premier league) Next goal(first goalscorer) Newcastle @ 1.68 - 5units
    Newcastle vs Sunderland (English Premier league) DRAW NO BET on Newcastle @ 1.56 - 3units


    over/under 2 goals and over/under 3 goals type of bets can be found in betsafe,bet 365 (probably others-search for additional goal lines or something like that, I bet this with my local bookie)

    Good luck! Remember don't bet everything I write here, choose wisely!

  22. #22
    JOHON8
    gambling fallacy
    JOHON8's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-10
    Posts: 7,712
    Betpoints: 338

    That's a hell of a lot of bets, good luck though.

    Personally so far I'm leaning Udinese ml, Tottenham +0.5 and Real Madrid under 3.5 for Sunday.

  23. #23
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    Quote Originally Posted by JOHON8 View Post
    That's a hell of a lot of bets, good luck though.

    Personally so far I'm leaning Udinese ml, Tottenham +0.5 and Real Madrid under 3.5 for Sunday.
    Why do you think Real will end under 3,5 goals? Tottenham i could see winning, even though for me it's a long shot. Udinese winning looks great though, but staying away from too much straight winner picks, because of yesterday (maybe not my type of bets, better like over/under and things like that). And yeah I pick many bets, saturday was too much though, but today I really minimized them to what I think is the best.
    Btw in my last post it is German Bundesliga not German 2nd Bundesliga, just to correct that, without editing the post.

  24. #24
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So total after sunday:


    Bets won:
    Nurnberg vs Borrusia M'gladbach (German 2nd Bundesliga) under 3 goals @ 1.43(if 3 goals total-money back) - 5units = +2.15
    Real Madrid vs Espanyol (Spanish Primera) over 3 goals(if 3 exact, money back) @ 1.47 - 4units = +1.88
    PSV vs Twente (Dutch Eredivisie) over 2,5 goals @ 1.76 - 3units = + 2.38
    AS Roma vs Lazio (Serie A) Both teams to score @ 1.68 - 5units = +3.40
    Lecce vs Genoa (Serie A) over 2 goals(if 2 total, money back) @ 1.48 - 5units = +2.40
    Tottenham vs MU (English premier league) over 2 goals @ 1.42 - 10units = +4.20
    Fulham vs Wolves (English Premier league) over 2 goals @ 1.42 - 7units = + 2.94


    WON = +19.35



    Money back:
    Siena vs Cagliari (Serie A) under 3 goals(if 3 total, money back) @ 1.42 - 5units
    Newcastle vs Sunderland (English Premier league) DRAW NO BET on Newcastle @ 1.56 - 3units


    Bets lost:
    Real Madrid vs Espanyol (Spanish Primera) Real Madrid clean sheet?:NO @ 2.02 - 3units = -3.00
    Inter vs Catania (Serie A) Inter to win @ 1.79 - 3units = -3.00
    Newcastle vs Sunderland (English Premier league) Next goal(first goalscorer) Newcastle @ 1.68 - 5units = -5.00

    LOST = -11.00






    TOTAL TODAY: +8.35


    Follow me @ twitter @ http://www.twitter.com/xralfbergx
    Stats(hopefully not wrong, but more or less it's correct)(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 1-0-2: -1.8units
    International friendlies: 3-0-2 :+4.57units
    England League 1: 2-0-0: +5.7units
    Asian WC Qualifying: 2-0-0: +5.81units
    Portuguese Superliga: 1-0-0: +0.74units
    German Bundesliga: 3-0-1: +5.82units
    Serie A: 3-1-2: +1.06units
    French Ligue 1: 1-0-2: -10.92units
    English Championship: 1-0-1: +1.00units
    English Premier League: 5-2-3: -0.07units
    Spanish Primera(La liga): 1-1-3: -9.12units
    Scottish Premier League: 0-0-1: -3.00units
    Dutch Eredivisie: 1-0-1: +0.38units
    TOTAL:25-4-19: +0.75units

  25. #25
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So here are my bets for monday:

    1860 Munchen vs St Pauli(German 2nd Bundesliga) over 2,5 @ 1.74 - 5units
    Levante vs Real Betis (Spanish La liga) DRAW NO BET on Levante @ 1.82 - 3units
    Gubbio vs Brescia (Italy Serie B) Asian Handicap 0&+0.5 on Gubbio @ 1.8 - 2units
    Nantes vs Le Havre (French Ligue 2) Nantes to win @ 1.98 - 2units

    That's about it, not much to choose from, also not really great bets today. Remember, choose carefully if you want to bet something I predict here !

  26. #26
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So total after monday:


    Bets won:
    Levante vs Real Betis (Spanish La liga) DRAW NO BET on Levante @ 1.82 - 3units = +2.46
    Nantes vs Le Havre (French Ligue 2) Nantes to win @ 1.98 - 2units = +1.96


    WON = +4.42




    Bets lost:
    1860 Munchen vs St Pauli(German 2nd Bundesliga) over 2,5 @ 1.74 - 5units = -5.00
    Gubbio vs Brescia (Italy Serie B) Asian Handicap 0&+0.5 on Gubbio @ 1.8 - 2units = -2.00



    LOST = -7.00






    TOTAL TODAY: -2.58


    Follow me @ twitter @ http://www.twitter.com/xralfbergx
    Stats(hopefully not wrong, but more or less it's correct)(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 1-0-3: -6.8units
    International friendlies: 3-0-2 :+4.57units
    England League 1: 2-0-0: +5.7units
    Asian WC Qualifying: 2-0-0: +5.81units
    Portuguese Superliga: 1-0-0: +0.74units
    German Bundesliga: 3-0-1: +5.82units
    Serie A: 3-1-2: +1.06units
    French Ligue 1: 2-0-2: -8.96units
    English Championship: 1-0-1: +1.00units
    English Premier League: 5-2-3: -0.07units
    Spanish Primera(La liga): 2-1-3: -6.66units
    Scottish Premier League: 0-0-1: -3.00units
    Dutch Eredivisie: 1-0-1: +0.38units
    Italy Serie B: 0-0-1: -2.00units
    TOTAL:27-4-21: -1.83units

  27. #27
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So here are my bets for tuesday:

    Evian vs Marseille (French Ligue 1) over 1.5 goals @ 1.43 - 5units
    Southampton vs Ipswich (English Championship) over 2,5 goals @ 1.71 - 3units
    Reading vs Portsmouth (English Championship) under 3,5 goals @ 1.37 - 7units
    Coventry vs Crystal Palace (English Championship) under 2,5 goals @ 1.72 - 2units
    Arsenal vs AC Milan (Champions League) over 2,5 goals @ 1.65 - 6units
    Arsenal vs AC Milan (Champions League) Robin Van Persie to score @ 2.34 - 2units

    Good luck!

  28. #28
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So total after nice tuesday:


    Bets won:
    Evian vs Marseille (French Ligue 1) over 1.5 goals @ 1.43 - 5units = + 2.15
    Reading vs Portsmouth (English Championship) under 3,5 goals @ 1.37 - 7units = +2.59
    Coventry vs Crystal Palace (English Championship) under 2,5 goals @ 1.72 - 2units = + 1.44
    Arsenal vs AC Milan (Champions League) over 2,5 goals @ 1.65 - 6units = +3.9
    Arsenal vs AC Milan (Champions League) Robin Van Persie to score @ 2.34 - 2units = +2.68


    WON = +12.76




    Bets lost:
    Southampton vs Ipswich (English Championship) over 2,5 goals @ 1.71 - 3units = -3.00

    LOST = -3.00



    TOTAL TODAY: +9.76


    Follow me @ twitter @ http://www.twitter.com/xralfbergx
    Stats(hopefully not wrong, but more or less it's correct)(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 1-0-3: -6.8units
    International friendlies: 3-0-2 :+4.57units
    England League 1: 2-0-0: +5.7units
    Asian WC Qualifying: 2-0-0: +5.81units
    Portuguese Superliga: 1-0-0: +0.74units
    German Bundesliga: 3-0-1: +5.82units
    Serie A: 3-1-2: +1.06units
    French Ligue 1: 3-0-2: -6.81units
    English Championship: 2-0-1: +2.03units
    English Premier League: 5-2-3: -0.07units
    Spanish Primera(La liga): 2-1-3: -6.66units
    Scottish Premier League: 0-0-1: -3.00units
    Dutch Eredivisie: 1-0-1: +0.38units
    Italy Serie B: 0-0-1: -2.00units
    UEFA Champions League: 2-0-0: +6.58units
    TOTAL:32-4-22: +7.93units

  29. #29
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    So these are my bets for wednesday(nothing that great as it was yesterday, so these are more likely to win, but not totally sure, that's why 2 units mostly):

    Parma vs Fiorentina (Italian Serie A) DRAW NO BET on Parma @ 1.54 - 4units
    Cesena vs Catania (Italian Serie A) Catania Clean sheet?:NO @1.4 - 2units
    Bologna vs Juventus (Italian Serie A) under 2,5 goals @ 1.76 - 2units
    Tottenham vs Stevenage (FA Cup) under 4,5 goals @ 1.4 - 5units
    Barca vs Leverkusen (UEFA Champions League) Barca Clean sheet?:YES @ 1.77 - 2units

  30. #30
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    Results after crazy wednesday:

    Bets won:
    Bologna vs Juventus (Italian Serie A) under 2,5 goals @ 1.76 - 2units = +1.52
    Tottenham vs Stevenage (FA Cup) under 4,5 goals @ 1.4 - 5units = +2.00

    WON = +3.52

    Money back:

    Parma vs Fiorentina (Italian Serie A) DRAW NO BET on Parma @ 1.54 - 4units

    Bets lost:
    Cesena vs Catania (Italian Serie A) Catania Clean sheet?:NO @1.4 - 2units = -2.00
    Barca vs Leverkusen (UEFA Champions League) Barca Clean sheet?:YES @ 1.77 - 2units = -2.00

    LOST = -4.00



    TOTAL TODAY: -0.48

    I really think that all bets were good, even those that lost, but some unlucky happenings: Barca conceded at the very end of the game, Cesena got red carded at 20th or something minute, so it really worsened their attack, also Parma was ahead after first half and then conceded 2 goals(at least got 1 back so 2;2). If Barca hadn't conceded it would be all good, but ok small minus: -0.48.

    Follow me @ twitter @ http://www.twitter.com/xralfbergx
    Stats(hopefully not wrong, but more or less it's correct)(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 1-0-3: -6.8units
    International friendlies: 3-0-2 :+4.57units
    England League 1: 2-0-0: +5.7units
    Asian WC Qualifying: 2-0-0: +5.81units
    Portuguese Superliga: 1-0-0: +0.74units
    German Bundesliga: 3-0-1: +5.82units
    Serie A: 4-2-3: +0.58units
    French Ligue 1: 3-0-2: -6.81units
    English Championship: 2-0-1: +2.03units
    English Premier League: 5-2-3: -0.07units
    Spanish Primera(La liga): 2-1-3: -6.66units
    Scottish Premier League: 0-0-1: -3.00units
    Dutch Eredivisie: 1-0-1: +0.38units
    Italy Serie B: 0-0-1: -2.00units
    UEFA Champions League: 2-0-1: +4.58units
    FA Cup: 1-0-0: +2.00units
    TOTAL:34-5-24: +7.45units

  31. #31
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    Thursday bets:

    Twente vs Schalke (UEFA Europa League) over 2,5 goals @ 1.9 - 4units
    Metalist Kharkiv vs Olympiakos (UEFA Europa league) DRAW NO BET on Metalist @ 1.42 - 3units
    Manchester United vs Athletic Bilbao (UEFA Europa league) over 2,5 goals @ 1.67 - 2units
    Sporting vs Man city (UEFA Europa league) both teams will score @ 1.85 - 5units

    Just Europa League. Not much, nothing really great, even though I like these, but some could end with just 2 goals, could have gone for over 2 (if 2 goals money back), but really liked these odds.

  32. #32
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    Damn I hate Europa league, 3 out of 4 bets have already lost. Seems like I will need to be on my top level for weekend predictions
    Last edited by Ralfbergs; 03-08-12 at 02:40 PM.

  33. #33
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    Results after really bad thursday (sorry everyone, wasn't my day ! ) :

    Bets won:
    Manchester United vs Athletic Bilbao (UEFA Europa league) over 2,5 goals @ 1.67 - 2units

    WON = +1.34


    Bets lost:
    Twente vs Schalke (UEFA Europa League) over 2,5 goals @ 1.9 - 4units = -4.00
    Metalist Kharkiv vs Olympiakos (UEFA Europa league) DRAW NO BET on Metalist @ 1.42 - 3units = -3.00
    Sporting vs Man city (UEFA Europa league) both teams will score @ 1.85 - 5units = -5.00

    LOST = -12.00



    TOTAL TODAY: -10.66

    I guess UEFA Europa league just isn't my type of league, but yeah I don't have excuses, will try to get back in + in next days though

    Follow me @ twitter @ http://www.twitter.com/xralfbergx
    Stats(hopefully not wrong, but more or less it's correct)(league; wins(W), money back(D), losses(L),units won/lost:
    Poland ekstraklasa: 1-0-0: +2.55 units
    France ligue 2 : 0-0-1: -2units
    Germany 2nd bundesliga: 1-0-3: -6.8units
    International friendlies: 3-0-2 :+4.57units
    England League 1: 2-0-0: +5.7units
    Asian WC Qualifying: 2-0-0: +5.81units
    Portuguese Superliga: 1-0-0: +0.74units
    German Bundesliga: 3-0-1: +5.82units
    Serie A: 4-2-3: +0.58units
    French Ligue 1: 3-0-2: -6.81units
    English Championship: 2-0-1: +2.03units
    English Premier League: 5-2-3: -0.07units
    Spanish Primera(La liga): 2-1-3: -6.66units
    Scottish Premier League: 0-0-1: -3.00units
    Dutch Eredivisie: 1-0-1: +0.38units
    Italy Serie B: 0-0-1: -2.00units
    UEFA Champions League: 2-0-1: +4.58units
    UEFA Europa League: 1-0-3: -10.66unitsFA Cup: 1-0-0: +2.00units
    TOTAL:35-5-27: -3.21units

  34. #34
    Ralfbergs
    Ralfbergs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-11
    Posts: 39
    Betpoints: 276

    Friday bets (looks good, but be careful, choose wisely!):

    Union Berlin vs Duisburg (German 2nd Bundesliga) over 2,5 goals @ 1.83 - 6units
    Chievo vs Inter (Italian Serie A) Chievo Clean sheet?: NO @ 1.42 - 3units
    Ajaccio vs Marseille (French Ligue 1) over 1,5 goals @ 1.44 - 6units

  35. #35
    elTiezo
    Used To Be
    elTiezo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-08-12
    Posts: 100
    Betpoints: 618

    Twente v Shalke

12 Last
Top