Pick #1 Spanish 2nd Division -> Villarreal B - FC Barcelona B over 2,5 goals
My first play in this forum will be a very common one, going with the over in Barcelona B matches is a consistent way to make money in this league. It's a team made to try players in a proffesional level, they cannot advance to 1st Division and they are way too good to be in relegation problems. When they have a bad streak of results, they just stop playing for fun and fight the games and always the bad streak ends.
In this particular game both teams have to make a lot of changes from their preferred lineups, home team because they lost more than 10 players this week due to market movements and visitors because some players are with the A team (Tello, Dos Santos, Sergi Roberto) This players missing the game takes some value from the picks but I think that after the last two wins in a row, Barcelona B will be in the "comfort" spot I said before whilst Villarreal B is fighting to avoid relegation zone, so I can see an open game with lots of alternatives in the score.
I will play this at -135 for 1x (I'd rather use decimal
odds, if someone reads this I would like to know your preferences about which odds system you like the most)
Good luck to everyone. I'll post some picks for the weekend