That's a stupid question for some of us, but I was surprised to see the Valencia's odd dropping significantly! I was about to go big on Barça, but it seems some people believe a miraculous winning of Valencia is possible! What do you think?
Valencia was ahead 1-0 and 2-1 and Barca needed a late goal to equalize 2-2 last time. And as said before, Barca knows that they can win 2-0 or 3-0 at home, so they may be fine with a close loss here. It's just basic sense with a return leg pending. DOn't be surprised to see a 1-1 draw or a close loss for either side.
The value bet is on Valencia +0,5, and if you have gut just take the Valencia ML.... I was about to bet on Barça as they almost never disappoint me... but I may not bet on this game... I can't see Barça losing here... because Valencia disappointed me many times... but who knows?
With Barcelona you are betting on them not performing if you take the other side, sure anything can happen but this barcelona can beat almost any team in the world home or away. Midweek 2 legged road cup game, I would just stay away.
The biggest problem betting against Barca the last few seasons is the fact their bench players know how to play the "Barca" way, so even though the bench is weaker than the starters they dont change their style, which is very rare in the sport. But looking at that lineup Valencia def may have a shot tonight.