Hey guys.
I have been losing for some time now and I decided to take a break, after this bet, win or lose.
I withdrew some of my funds and lost a lot, so I have only a few units left in my acct.
Now I know most of you like Bayern today, and let's be honest they should win. They probobly will win. But, so many times, when something should happen doesnt happen. Anyone betting for some time knows that.
First game many beleive Bayern deserved to win. It doesnt matter who YOU think should win, but who actually won. So regardless of whats on paper, there are momentums, judges, weather, player morales and sooo many factors that just an odd on a game cannot reflect.
That being said, I beleive Bayern takes this 6 matches from 10.
Draw happens 2 out of 10.
And Napoli wins 2 out of 10.
Bayern is at home, has a superb home record and can increase their lead in the group.
I think Bayern has a better squad and home team advantage and is rightfully a favorite.
But, sometimes, stats dont matter so much, because of so many unexpected things can happen. Tonight, I beleive Napoli shows everything they have, want it more, and pull the big upset.
I beleive Napoli will see this as an excellent opportunity to take the lead in the group.
The way I see this happening is Bayern giving them no respect at all, toying with them and not playing 100%.
Quick counter attack by Napoli to take the lead. Bayern struggling to get even.
After that, on of either 3 to happen:
1) Bayern scores for 1:1 and while putting pressure on Napoli they make another counter attack and finish 1:2
2) Bayern struggles but cannot score out of numerous opportunities, Napoli keeps it 1:0 OR
3) Napoli scores another for 2:0
Now I know most of the time my theory and prediction is off here, but I rather take a stab at a longshot that I beleive has higher chances of hitting then just take faves day in and out and lose.
I took faves so many times and you win win win and then poof you lose 1 and are either breakeven or in the red.
But taking a few chances like this per year means yes losing most of the time but upsets DO happen and if you manage to catch only one you should be in the green.
So, I hope tonigh IS the night when Bayern falls.
Score predictions:
1:0
2:0
2:1
all in favor of Napoli.
My play for tonight in the Champions League:
NAPOLI +1000 2 UNITS