View Poll Results: Germany vs. Portugal

Voters
7. You may not vote on this poll
  • Germany -127

    4 57.14%
  • Portugal +390

    1 14.29%
  • Draw +255

    1 14.29%
  • Germany -0.5 -120

    1 14.29%
  • Portugal +0.5 +114

    0 0%
  • Over 2.5 +127

    0 0%
  • Under 2.5 -137

    1 14.29%
Multiple Choice Poll.
  1. #1
    Tchocky
    Tchocky's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-14-06
    Posts: 2,371
    Betpoints: 1086

    Germany -127 vs. Portugal +390

    1. Under 2.5 -137
    2. Germany -0.5 -120

  2. #2
    Illusion
    Illusion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-09-05
    Posts: 25,166

    I see this one being a draw and going to penalty kicks.

  3. #3
    onlooker
    I'm still watching...
    onlooker's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 36,572
    Betpoints: 4651

    Germany.

  4. #4
    Dark Horse
    Deus Ex Machina
    Dark Horse's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-14-05
    Posts: 13,764

    This would have to be one of the strongest WC plays. Germany is playing for HUGE national pride. And the home crowd will be behind their team one last time. Germany should be an exception to the rule that most teams playing for third are still ailing over a missed spot in the final, and therefore not too interested. Portugal will not be such an exception.

  5. #5
    DrSlamm
    DrSlamm's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-10-05
    Posts: 577

    is there ever a reason to bet the -127 instead of the -.5 at -120.. isnt the -.5 a 100 percent strictly better bet?

  6. #6
    Dark Horse
    Deus Ex Machina
    Dark Horse's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-14-05
    Posts: 13,764

    Here is a link to how Ronaldo plays.

    http://shinymedia.blogs.com/photos/u...image001_3.gif

  7. #7
    Ganchrow
    Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
    Ganchrow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-28-05
    Posts: 5,011
    Betpoints: 1088

    Quote Originally Posted by DrSlamm
    is there ever a reason to bet the -127 instead of the -.5 at -120.. isnt the -.5 a 100 percent strictly better bet?
    Unless there's some World Cup-specific quirk of which I'm unaware (and it does seem like soccer betting is full of quirks), it does seem like Germany -0.5 -120 in regulation is strictly better than Germany -127 in regulation (counting a draw as a loss).

    Actually, the former 3-way line implies a lower probability of a German regulation-time victory (53.53% vs. 53.86%) and hence at zero vig a slightly better deal for the bettor, but due to the higher juice (4.33% vs. 1.26%), it's ultimately an inferior bet.

  8. #8
    McBa1n
    Update your status
    McBa1n's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-02-06
    Posts: 2,642
    Betpoints: 523

    Quote Originally Posted by Dark Horse
    Here is a link to how Ronaldo plays.

    http://shinymedia.blogs.com/photos/u...image001_3.gif
    LMAO
    Best post ever on the soccer forums.
    Haha - perfect.

Top