have been betting on tournaments such as Euro Qualifiers and WC Qualifiers for a long time now and i have the feeling to give you some great Picks for today. Why am i so nice? Well , i have learned about US Sports a lot in this forum and wanted to say thanks.
First i see some Value in Finnland- Sweden 2 @ 1,6 7/10 ->stakes based on value
okay, first of all the odds arenīt that great and stuff, but in the past years i have seen a lot of friendship between scandinavic teams such as finnland, sweden, denmark , norway etc. .. it isnīt like in the middle europe, where like every second country hates their neighbour and trys to compete in every way with them.
of course iīm not saying, that Finnland will do all to lose this, but i have the feeling that they wonīt give everything they have and even then , it woulnīt be enough.
Sweden needs the 3 points here more than ever to qualify and iīm pretty sure they will take it. also the missings arent to bad. Finnland is out and hasnīt shown anything in this Qualifier.
Also we have to keep in mind, that Sweden won the first game with 5:0
My Second Pick is Armenia-Macedonia 1 -0,75 @ 1,95 4/10
i see some Value here because i have seen all their games and just know that Armenia is one class above Macedonia. Besides the 2:2 in the Macedonia-Armenia game Macedonia has not shown a thing in this Qualifier. Armenia on the other Hand you could say is the suprise of the group as they still have the chance to qualifiy for the EURO. They managed to get a draw in Russia and beat Slovakia twice with a goal difference of 7:1.. this is some sick stuff considering Slovakia is a really good team as they showed in the World Cup nearly managing to get a suprise against the Netherlands in the Eightfinals.
Now the tricky Part is that Armenia doesnīt need the win here, a draw would be enough and they have the second place in their own hands, when they win in Ireland (what they have to anyways)
With a win they potentially still could become 1. , of course thats very very unusual cause it would mean that Russia dont wins against Andorra at home, which will proably happen 1 in 100 times. Thats the reason why i play this with small stakes.
Serbia - Italy 1 -0,25 @ 1,9 4/10
Thats a pretty simple small Value bet here... Serbia needs the 3 Points while italy is already qualified. What i have seen in the past years is , that Italys players are very lazy, meaning they wonīt really care about that game. Serbia has to make things good after their total failure in the World Cup , of course Italy sucked their too , but at least they won the previous one and are Qualified for the EURO as one of the first teams. Italy also is in a change and i see them testing some new things today. Serbia should take this one.
if i have time i will probably give some other writeups.. but what i have in mind is probably Germany @ 2,3 as they are just a class better than turkey now (allthough iīm considered about their lack of motivation in this game, since they are already qualified and stuff.. will see if i play this after i know their 11. Aserbaidschan -Austria is also an interesting game.. Austria just got their new trainer after Didi Constantini blew the EURO Quali by losing i dont know like the last 10 games , allthough Austria always played very well .. The minds about the new trainer arenīt that good and he had pretty much no time to train the team.. maybe 2-3 days..
Also Greece - Croatia and Slovakia - Russia are very interesting but even harder to predict.. probably pk on Croatia and the draw in slovakia.. but i will see
good luck on the Games all. Sorry for my english , i live in Europe