[BetGrinder]

I will not enter into many details regarding the picks selections (stats, math, systems, etc..) every time I post them, but I hope the thread will be full of meaningful discussions about mine and others soccer picks! Please no trash talk, insults etc..

Before you guys start saying that I'm nuts in chasing 65% hit ratio, I will advise that some plays will be on heavily favorites with odds in the 1.40 zone. So I know that I'll probably get a positive % hit ratio but still lose money in the end (I'm a newbie here in the forum but not at sports betting, casinos, poker, forex...u name it I've done that, eheheh).

I hope this thread will help me be more disciplined with myself (no chases...), a little less action junkie and more selective. I will also tail others picks and obviously will post them (but I'll always tell from who I'm tailing - I'm not here to gain others people credits for their work!!).

All the plays will have the units and odds [if you guys want to check the odds I'm getting pls visit one of the three books that I use: partybets.com; Bet365.com; 188bet.com]

My roll is €5K, 1 unit = 1% = 50€

NOTE: when I bet 1 unit it's 1 unit regardless of the odd. I will put the odds in decimals not in the american way.

[BetGrinder]

Portuguese League

1# FC Porto -2 vs Setubal @1.70
1.43x

2# Kleber to score at anytime (FC PORTO vs SETUBAL) @1.83
1x

[BetGrinder]

Bundesligue

3# FC Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen @1.75
1x

[ColdBeerHere]

Welcome to the forum, and GL with your picks

[BetGrinder]

Welcome to the forum, and GL with your picks

thx

[BetGrinder]

PORTO v SETUBAL

30'' gone and Porto already send 3 to the post!! Kleber send one just now.....damn my bad luck!!!

[cogiditopapa]

PORTO v SETUBAL

30'' gone and Porto already send 3 to the post!! Kleber send one just now.....damn my bad luck!!!

I am on the same bet, I still trust porto to bring us home

[BetGrinder]

I am on the same bet, I still trust porto to bring us home

If only Kleber had scored that beautiful goal......damn it!!!

[Hebodk]

I'm waiting for that Porto goal also - do you guys watch the game?

[BetGrinder]

I'm waiting for that Porto goal also - do you guys watch the game?

I'm watching the game, I'm from Portugal

Setubal is just a crap team....and Porto's coach is such a wuss....just putting the key players after half-time.....my bet is gonna be a push!

Kleber went out at the 70''.....fkkkk it!

[BetGrinder]

and they SCORE!!!!!!!!!

3-0 for Porto!

[cogiditopapa]

and they SCORE!!!!!!!!!

3-0 for Porto!

[BetGrinder]

Portuguese League

1# FC Porto -2 vs Setubal @1.70
1.43x WIN
2# Kleber to score at anytime (FC PORTO vs SETUBAL) @1.83
1x LOSS

Bundesligue

3# FC Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen @1.75
1x WIN

2-1-0 for the night +0.75 units

not the best of the starts but profit anyway

[BetGrinder]

Already booked one for tomorrow at the EPL and also leaning Sporting (Portugal), Liverpool (EPL), Man City -1.5 (EPL).

4# Sunderland vs Chelsea @1.70
1x

I have to keep my faith in Andre Villas-Boas, my only concern is F.Torres.....fkk him! 48€M for that....jesus!

[BetGrinder]

Portuguese League

5# Benfica vs Guimaraes OVER 2.5 @1.65
2.5x

[BetGrinder]

Spain Primera Division

6# Real Sociedad vs Barcelona, Barcelona HT @1.50
2x

[BetGrinder]

7# 4 Team Parlay (not fan of parlays but I really like this 4 picks together giving really big odds!!)

Real Sociedad v FC Barcelona
[Away Team Total Goals] >2.5 @1.80
Valencia v Atletico Madrid
>2.5 @1.80
Pacos Ferreira v Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon @1.83
Heracles v Ajax Amsterdam
Ajax Amsterdam @1.50

Parlay @8.89
1.6x (to win +12.6x)

[BetGrinder]

8# Stoke vs Liverpool @2.20
1x

9# Stoke vs Liverpool HT @2.80
0.5x

10# Roda vs Twente > 2.5 @1.61
2x

11# Bolton vs Man Utd > 2.5 @1.65
2x

[PickApprentice]

Good luck!

[BetGrinder]

11# Borussia Dortmund v Hertha Berlin >2.5 @1.75
3x

(Liked the pick from Sports Blue Pick)

[BetGrinder]

sry for the late post at the German game!

gl all

[BetGrinder]

And at the 88" the Dortmund scored the 3rd GOAAAAAAL of the match cashing us the OVER!!!!!

thx sports blue

[BetGrinder]

Wtf happened with Barcelona?? I wasn't home and didn't see the game! They were leading 2-0 by HT.....

[BetGrinder]

already booked one for tomorrow at the epl and also leaning sporting (portugal), liverpool (epl), man city -1.5 (epl).

4# sunderland vs chelsea @1.70
1x win

i have to keep my faith in andre villas-boas, my only concern is f.torres.....fkk him! 48€m for that....jesus!

portuguese league

5# benfica vs guimaraes over 2.5 @1.65
2.5x win

spain primera division

6# real sociedad vs barcelona, barcelona ht @1.50
2x win

7# 4 team parlay (not fan of parlays but i really like this 4 picks together giving really big odds!!)

real sociedad v fc barcelona
[away team total goals] >2.5 @1.80
valencia v atletico madrid
>2.5 @1.80
pacos ferreira v sporting lisbon
sporting lisbon @1.83
heracles v ajax amsterdam
ajax amsterdam @1.50

parlay @8.89
1.6x (to win +12.6x) loss

8# stoke vs liverpool @2.20
1x loss

9# stoke vs liverpool ht @2.80
0.5x loss

10# roda vs twente > 2.5 @1.61
2x win

11# bolton vs man utd > 2.5 @1.65
2x win

11# borussia dortmund v hertha berlin >2.5 @1.75
3x win

(liked the pick from sports blue pick)

6-3 for Saturday
+4.99x profits made

A nice day of work!

cheers

[BetGrinder]

Season

8-4-0 66.7%
+5.74 units
(+287€ profit)

[GreatNate]

65% is totally possible especially with favorites. I'm 17 so I can't bet yet but I do predictions every year and track them in excel. I only watch Internationals, Champions League, and English Premier League, so those are the only league's I will make predictions for. I try to predict every single game that has odds posted on bodog.ca.

Last year, my winning average was 62.43% with average winning odds of 1.76. If you do calculations that would give you serious cash, so one more year of predictions and I'll be proper age and properly prepared to bet responsibly.

[GreatNate]

And I only try to predict results: This week so far in EPL:

Arsenal to beat Swansea at 1.36 - WIN
Stoke to draw Liverpool at 3.5 - LOSE
Everton to beat Aston Villa at 3.75 - LOSE
Manchester City to beat Wigan at 1.18 - WIN
Chelsea to beat Sunderland at 1.62 - [COLOR="rgb(46, 139, 87)"]WIN[/COLOR]
Tottenham to beat Wolves at 2.35 - [COLOR="rgb(46, 139, 87)"]WIN[/COLOR]
Manchester United to beat Bolton at 1.36 - [COLOR="rgb(46, 139, 87)"]WIN[/COLOR]
West Brom to beat Norwich at 2.75
Fulham to beat Blackburn at 1.62
Newcastle to beat QPR at 2.9

[BetGrinder]

Nate are u from the US? those odds u r getting suck!! u could have roughly 5 to 10% more!

[BetGrinder]

12# Juventus vs Parma > 2.5 @2.00 (tailing mihaita666)
1x

13# PSG vs Brest @1.44 & Braga vs U.Leiria @1.44
PARLAY @2.07
1.5x

14# Wolfsburg x Schalke PK @2.05 (tailing Pema)
2x

[BetGrinder]

PSG odd has dropped at Bet365 from 1.44 to 1.35!! Now that's what I like to see

[GreatNate]

Nate are u from the US? those odds u r getting suck!! u could have roughly 5 to 10% more!

I'm from Canada. I know there are better odds elsewhere, some of the odds are poor because I look at them last minute when they have changed. When I'm of age I'll definately be using multiple sportsbooks to find the best odds.

[BetGrinder]

Schalke fkkd me....that's life! (they play like sh*t, won't be backing them anytime soon!)

Braga already leading 2-0 by 80"

[BetGrinder]

12# Juventus vs Parma > 2.5 @2.00 (tailing mihaita666)
1x WIN

13# PSG vs Brest @1.44 & Braga vs U.Leiria @1.44
PARLAY @2.07
1.5x WIN

14# Wolfsburg x Schalke PK @2.05 (tailing Pema)
2x LOSS

2-1 Sunday
+0.60x

a small profit!

[BetGrinder]

Season

10-5-0 66.7%
+6.34 units
(+317€ profit)

[BetGrinder]

Italy Serie B

15# Empoli v Sampdoria > 2.5 @2.15
1x

Starting tomorrow we will have a Action week with the UEFA champs and Europa League!! Stay tunned!

Norway - Tippeligaen

16# Sarpsborg 08 v Rosenborg -1 @1.90
1x
(I'm tailing GO_CAPS_GO mainly bcs I like the write up that he made for this match, I hope this work ehehe)

no more plays today