This one is based on the strengths and weaknesses of two sides. Burnley are a very good outfit on their own turf and look to extend a 12 game unbeaten run tonight.

Burnley are full of confidence at home and have sent Premiership big boys Arsenal and Chelsea crashing from the Carling Cup at Turf Moor. They have not conceded in the last 4 at home and in just over 9 hours in all competitions, a remarkable achievement.

Last 4 home

Burnley 1 0 Reading 28/10/2008

Burnley 2 0 Norwich 01/11/2008

Burnley 0 0 Doncaster 22/11/2008

Burnley 3 0 Derby 29/11/2008

Cardiff on the other hand have been reliant on their home form and have only won once in the last 8 on their travels, that coming against strugglers Nottingham Forest. They have drawn a good share of away game but have yet to face any real quality and still face trips to the top 3.Tonight will be a big test of their credentials.

Cardiff have the division’s second top scorer, Ross McCormack but unfortunately for them he is injured tonight and with his absence goes the only real threat they had coming into this game. Skipper Stephen M\*\*\*\*\*\* is still suspended and Michael Chopra is expected to lead the line in attack.

Last 4 away

Nott'm Forest 0 1 Cardiff 25/10/2008

Q.P.R. 1 0 Cardiff 08/11/2008

Plymouth 2 1 Cardiff 22/11/2008

Swansea 2 2 Cardiff 30/11/2008

Verdict

Burnley are on fire at home at the moment and why not jump on board. Cardiff are not the best visiting side and have a poor record in midweek games. I really like the odds on the home win here and cant help having a bit on Burnley to win to nil, priced up at 3.6 at Paddy power, a feat that has happened in their last 4 home games

PICK

Burnley win ( 2.15 @ canbet) 6 points

Burnley win to nil ( 3.6 @ paddy Power) 4 points

Pick : Two picks listed above
Odds : 2.15
Stake : 10 / 10
Bookmaker : Paddy Power