[phenomenon]

it was a bad they buddy :S

[TomJSports]

1.Bundesliga:
Hannover 96 +305 risk 5x
Bayern -1 +130 risk 5x

2.Bundesliga:
Fürth EV 10x
FSV Frankfurt/1860 Munich o3 -110 10x

Other Leagues:
(Portugal) FC Porto -1.75 -115 5x
(EPL) Manchester City -135 10x
(Ligue 1) Marseilles/Lyon o2.5 5x

I covered most of my Bundesliga selections here. I like Hannover by a slight slight margin in this matchup due to BVB's key absences. BVB won this match in Hannover last year 4-1, but they are a hurting squad now. I may hedge this with the PK or draw, but I like H96, especially at great odds. I also have to put money on Bayern -1 at those odds, because if they win, it'll be by at least two. The Neuer v. Schalke factor does scare me. Fürth, on top of the 2.Bundesliga, is at great odds against Aachen, at the bottom of the 2.Bundesliga. 1860 matches have featured 3 goals once and 4 or more six times of the seven games played. I like powerhouse FC Porto to beat their recently promoted opposition soundly. Likely, I don't see Fulham standing up against ManCity. And lastly, I like Choc des Olympiques to be at least a 2-1 battle or more, but will hopefully live up to April's 3-2 classic.

Best of luck in your plays today!

[TomJSports]

Adding:

2.Bundesliga
1860 Munich -1 5x

1860 plays damn good at home, is 3-0-0 and covered a goal twice and pushed the other.

[TomJSports]

1.Bundesliga:
Hannover 96 +305 risk 5x +15.25
Bayern -1 +130 risk 5x +6.5

2.Bundesliga:
Fürth EV 10x -10
FSV Frankfurt/1860 Munich o3 -110 10x +10
1860 Munich -1 5x +5

Other Leagues:
(Portugal) FC Porto -1.75 -115 5x -5.75
(EPL) Manchester City -135 10x -13.5
(Ligue 1) Marseilles/Lyon o2.5 EV 5x -5

A great day, just so happened to be ruined by non-German leagues. ManCity and Porto aren't even worth discussing, but after Lyon got two in 30, I thought this was a sure thing; not to be though. Fürth was the only German team to let me down, as Aachen, despite a new coach, played to one of their patented scoreless draws. H96 pulled out a squeaker putting BVB on alert. Schalke continues to disappoint as Bayern marches. And 1860 continues their home dominance as they win 4-0.

Club play today: 4-0-4 +2.5
Club play this week: 6-0-8 -23.125 (-2.31%)
Club play last week: 8-1-6 +21.015 (+2.1%)
Club play total: 31-1-24 +82.59

[TomJSports]

2.Bundesliga:
St. Pauli +105 x10
St. Pauli/KSC o3 +105 x5

Other Leagues:
(Allsvenskan) AIK -0.75 -105 x5
(Eliteserien) Rosenborg -2 -105 x5

I covered St. Pauli here, suffice to say I really like this squad against a team that may be in 3.Liga next year. Also St. Pauli is coming off of a 4-2 win, and Karlsruhe is coming off of 4-2 and 4-0 losses, so I like there to be goals.

I like AIK in the Tvillingderbyt against Djurgĺrdens. AIK is 22-20-10 at home in the Tvillingderbyt, but most importantly, they are having a great season fighting for that Champions League berth and Djurgĺrdens is in the basement. Djurgĺrdens won the last match in Rĺsunda and has a lot to lose, but I like AIK here, who is in good form.

Even though Rosenborg isn't the 90's/00's squad, they still play rough at home, and I like them against the Start squad from the south. Trondheim weather effects opponents, and looks to be 12 and rainy, and I don't think that works out well for the squad from Kristianstad. Couple that with Rosenborg coming off of vintage 6-0 and 7-0 matches against Start's lowly neighbours and I like Rosenborg. o3.75 is damn high, though!

I also wanted to make a play in the Sundsvall/Brage match in Superettan, but I just don't know if GIF pulls it off by two, since they usually win by 1.

Good luck today!

[samitarian]

I like your St Pauli, AIK plays bro. I'll consider rosenborg too and have a look now that you've talked about them.

My scandanavian plays today are AIK-0.75, FC Haka ML, GIF-1.5, Osters ML and Atvitabergs ML.
what do you think about those plays?

[TomJSports]

Yeah, when Elitserien hockey starts, I start getting back into Scandinavian football as it's winding down, because I'm reading those papers again.

Like I said, I think GIF should win by two, but with so many one score wins (including both wins last year against Brage) I get timid. Travel to Västernorrland takes it out of some teams though, that's for sure.

I strongly considered Öster, too, so that's a solid play. I just simply don't know much about Ljungskile.

I'd steer clear of Ĺtvidaberg/Ängelholm though, both are so evenly matched and probably going to be in Allsvenskan next year. They've been involved in some high scoring matches though, so I kind of liked the over, but not enough to play it. If I had to pick a winner, I'd go Ĺtvidaberg like you, because they haven't lost since June and Ängelholm is only in mediocre form lately.

Haka/Mariehamn is too tough to call for me. If I played something, I'd follow your suit and play Haka, because Mariehamn is such a terrible road team. I've had so many wins from RoPS or Mariehamn winning at home and losing on the road.

[samitarian]

Yeah, when Elitserien hockey starts, I start getting back into Scandinavian football as it's winding down, because I'm reading those papers again.

Like I said, I think GIF should win by two, but with so many one score wins (including both wins last year against Brage) I get timid. Travel to Västernorrland takes it out of some teams though, that's for sure.

I strongly considered Öster, too, so that's a solid play. I just simply don't know much about Ljungskile.

I'd steer clear of Ĺtvidaberg/Ängelholm though, both are so evenly matched and probably going to be in Allsvenskan next year. They've been involved in some high scoring matches though, so I kind of liked the over, but not enough to play it. If I had to pick a winner, I'd go Ĺtvidaberg like you, because they haven't lost since June and Ängelholm is only in mediocre form lately.

Haka/Mariehamn is too tough to call for me. If I played something, I'd follow your suit and play Haka, because Mariehamn is such a terrible road team. I've had so many wins from RoPS or Mariehamn winning at home and losing on the road.

Thanks mate, gives me a bit more confidence regarding my selections.
Regarding Atvidaberg and Haka, it's more a percentages thing, they are currently rated around +150 and I feel that they have enough to win their contests about 40% of the time and I feel that the odds are too high.

Good luck to both of us, seems like we're gonna root for similar things today

[TomJSports]

True, +150 is very nice odds, especially for Haka.

[beeps220]

Like the picks Tom, especially Rosenborg play, I'm going to wait for lineups just due to the fact they have a Thursday game against Songal (makeup from round 9) But I can't imagine too many changes. The additions of Dockal and Isaiah have really helped the team. They still worry me on defense but the last two games it didn't matter much as the opposition didn't even get a chance to do anything offensively. RBK needs to win pretty much every game to finish as Champions again.

[robert_wrath]

Hey TomJSports and disciples, I'm new to this thread thus far love what I hear. We seem to have common trends by way of game selection. Thought I might show you my filtered line up for today:

CZECH REPUBLIC: Gambrinus liga
12:30PM..CZECH.......[0421]...Sparta Prague.............MoneyLine...(-261).*Lock / Parlay Value
12:30PM..CZECH.......[0421]...Sparta Prague.............Spread -1...(-152).*Lock / Unit Play

Germany Bundesliga 2
.2:15PM..Germany.....[0251]...St. Pauli.................Spread -˝...(+106).*Lock / Unit Play & Unit Play*****

Norway Tippeligaen
.1:00PM..Norway......[0522]...ROSENBORG.................MoneyLine.. .(-440).*Lock / Parlay Value - MARQUEE
.1:00PM..Norway......[0522]...ROSENBORG.................Spread -2...(-117).*

Portugal Primeira Liga
.2:15PM..Portugal....[0581]...Sporting Braga............Pick........(-141).*Lock / Parlay Value
.2:15PM..Portugal....[0581]...Sporting Braga............MoneyLine...(+139).**** ******Why Sooo HIGH?********
.4:15PM..Portugal....[0584]...Sporting Lisboa...........MoneyLine...(-113).*Lock / Parlay Value

Sweden Superettan
.1:00PM..Sweden......[0622]...SUNDSVALL.................MoneyLine.. .(-347).*Lock / Parlay Value

Sweden Allsvenskan
.1:00PM..Sweden......[0642]...AIK STOCKHOLM.............MoneyLine...(-103).*Lock / Parlay Value - MARQUEE

Sweden Division 1 South
.1:00PM..Sweden......[0651]...Varbergs BoIS FC..........MoneyLine...(+102).*Lock / Parlay Value

ATP
12:00PM..ATP.........[0102]...Marcos Baghdatis..........MoneyLine...(-425).*Lock / Parlay Value

*CAPS Denotes HOME TEAM; all games are listed as EST.

[TomJSports]

Awesome plays today, robert_wrath. I was leaning on a lot of those, but chickened out. Great calls on a lot of them as I said in latin's thread.

Great plays, too, samitarian. Dumb question, but by the spelling of your name, are you Sami?

[TomJSports]

2.Bundesliga:
St. Pauli +105 x10 +10
St. Pauli/KSC o3 +105 x5 -4.76

Other Leagues:
(Allsvenskan) AIK -0.75 -105 x5 -5
(Eliteserien) Rosenborg -2 -105 x5 +5.25

Pretty decent day. Wish St. Pauli got another to at least make it a push. Should have avoided Tvillingderbyt with Djurgĺrdens' back against the wall. Rosenborg is looking like they want to go on that season ending streak to take the league. Definitely a squad to watch the rest of the year.

Club play today: 2-0-2 +5.49
Club play last week: 6-0-8 -23.125 (-2.31%)
Club play total: 33-1-26 +88.08

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(La Liga) Real Sociedad +105 risk 10x

Not too much to say about this match. Sociedad has an impressive record in San Sebastián, so I like the squad to take down the recently promoted Andalusian squad. Xabi Prieto looks to be back, too. I want to play Villarreal against Mallorca, but damn does Yellow Submarine keep hanging us all out to dry.

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(La Liga) Real Sociedad +105 risk 10x +10.5

Villarreal finally pulled off a win, and Sociedad got the win for me. Wish I actually played the Yellow Submarine, maybe they're actually going to show up from here on out. Some fun matches tomorrow, for sure.

Club play today: 1-0-0 +10.5
Club play this week: 2-0-2 +15.99
Club play last week: 6-0-8 -23.125 (-2.31%)
Club play total: 33-1-26 +98.58

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(Veikkausliiga) HJK Helsinki -2 -110 x10
(Allsvenskan) GAIS +160 x10
(La Liga) Real Madrid/Racing Santander u3.5 -115 x5
(La Liga) Atletico Madrid -1 -145 x10
(Ligue 1) Valenciennes/Nancy o2 -125 x5
(Ligue 1) Rennes/Sochaux o2.5 +110 x5
(Ligue 1) Marseilles -1 -125 x10

HJK isn't in all-out embarrassment mode, but have had some 5-0, 6-0 type wins on the season at home. Considering they have not lost or drawn at home and are playing a bottom of the barrel VPS squad, I like the three goal win, and at worst, a two goal win push.

I really like GAIS, a decent road team, to take down Trelleborg, a decently bad home team. The biggest intangible, of course, is that Trelleborg is fighting to avoid relegation, and GAIS is also a sketchy 2-2 in their last four, so I'm not as confident to risk 10x on it. But Trelleborg has lost their last two at home and is 0-1-4 in their last five total.

Typically in a Real/Racing match, you're expecting a 6-1 or 3-1 Real win like last year. But Real's injury report has hit ridiculous levels with Higuaín, Khedira, Cristiano Ronaldo, and Lass already out, and perhaps Pepe, Coenträo, Khedira, Şahin, and Altıntop all joining. I would still expect a Real win, but more of the 2-0, 2-1 variety. Also, I like an decent Patético Madrid side at home to take out the winless Gijón side.

In French action, that o2 is always very tempting, but of all the matches featuring o2, Stade Marcel Picot saw a decent amount of goals last year, so I like the Nancy game. Rennes matches have featured 20 goals in 7 matches, and Sochaux 19 in 7, so I like the over in that match, as well. Lastly, Marseilles has had a terrible start to their year, but what better way to turn it around than at home against a recently promoted squad?

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(Veikkausliiga) HJK Helsinki -2 -110 x10 PUSH
(Allsvenskan) GAIS +160 x10 +10
(La Liga) Real Madrid/Racing Santander u3.5 -115 x5 +5
(La Liga) Atletico Madrid -1 -145 x10 +10
(Ligue 1) Valenciennes/Nancy o2 -125 x5 PUSH
(Ligue 1) Rennes/Sochaux o2.5 +110 x5 +5
(Ligue 1) Marseilles -1 -125 x10 +10

Can't argue with today. Kind of annoyed HJK only got the 2-0 win, ohh well.

Club play today: 5-2-0 +40
Club play this week: 7-2-2 +55.99
Club play last week: 6-0-8 -23.125 (-2.31%)
Club play total: 38-3-26 +138.58

[Metanoia]

Awesome day Tom

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(Eliteserien) Rosenborg -2 -105 10x
(Swiss Super League) FC Sion -0.75 -115 5x
(Swiss Super League) Luzern +190 10x
(Süper Lig) Bursaspor/Beşiktaş o2.5 +105 5x

I figure I'll ride Rosenborg until they falter. In their last three, the are 4-1 (H), 6-0 (A), 7-0 (H). Sogndal is coming off of a 2-0 loss to Viking and is sitting at third to last in the Eliteserien. Should be another big win for the Trondheim boys at home!

Jumped into a little bit of Swiss Super League. FC Sion hasn't been great at home (1-1-2 in last four), but they are playing Grashopper who hasn't been good anywhere: 1-0-3 on the road, and 2-1-5 overall. Sion should take this at home. Luzern is a pure value play at +190. Luzern is tops of the Swiss Super League and 3-1-0 on the road. The recently promoted Servette is 0-1-3 at home and in the middle of the pack. Luzern isn't 100% in this match in my eyes, but at +190, I had to jump. PK at +115 is safer, obviously.

Every Süper Lig match in the early season featuring Bursaspor or Beşiktaş has been over 2.5 goals. Both have been in high scoring Europa fixtures. The only true match between the two last year was a 1-0 score, so I didn't play it higher. But you also never know what to expect in Turkish football. Hopefully has some goals, as billed, though.

Good luck today!

[TomJSports]

Awesome day Tom

Thanks, hopefully it keeps up

[cogiditopapa]

5 wins and 2 pushes are great, good work

[TomJSports]

5 wins and 2 pushes are great, good work

Thanks, bud. Rosenborg looks like they want to get me off to a loss. 0-1 in the 65', with Sogndal's goal at 16'. Sogndal doesn't want to go back to Adeccoligaen.

[cogiditopapa]

Hey Tom, Good call on Luzern, Thank you for the play!

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(Eliteserien) Rosenborg -2 -105 10x -10.5
(Swiss Super League) FC Sion -0.75 -115 5x +5
(Swiss Super League) Luzern +190 10x +10
(Süper Lig) Bursaspor/Beşiktaş o2.5 +105 5x +5

Oh, Rosenborg, you've found your way to being 5x again. Toyed with the inferior side for the entire game and then actually played for the final 15. 2-0 on the Swiss League picks, so you can't beat that. I liked both of them and now wish I went stronger. Bursaspor/Beşiktaş was a bad win. Hit thanks to 87' and 90' goals by Beşiktaş.

Also thanks to beeps and cogidito, I may jump back into Argentine action.

Club play today: 3-0-1 +9.5
Club play this week: 10-2-5 +65.49
Club play last week: 6-0-8 -23.125 (-2.31%)
Club play total: 41-3-27 +148.08

[TomJSports]

Hey Tom, Good call on Luzern, Thank you for the play!

No worries, I'll take a pair of 2-0 Swiss Super League wins any day!

[robert_wrath]

No worries, I'll take a pair of 2-0 Swiss Super League wins any day!

Gotta love the 2 Swiss games today. Glanced at the scores only twice without breaking a sweat.

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(Argentine Primera División) Tigre +200 10x (risk 5x)
(Argentine Primera División) Boca -120 10x

I really like Boca at home, against a 1-2-4 Estudiantes squad that did everything possible to lose last game (their only win). Boca easily has the better squad on paper, and is 2-1-0 at home, and Estudiantes is 0-1-2 on the road. Let's hope this is an easy cash. Tigre is 3-2-0 in their last five and Argentinos is winless on the year. Last road game for Tigres was a 3-1 win over Estudiantes, which after last weeks game is a comparable opponent to Argentinos. Only risking 5x, since Argentinos is at home, but they are 0-2-1 there. Hopefully both of these hit, but I'm certainly very confident about the Boca play.

Gotta love the 2 Swiss games today. Glanced at the scores only twice without breaking a sweat.

Yup, same here, wish they all ended up being that easy.

[robert_wrath]

Other Leagues:
(Argentine Primera División) Tigre +200 10x (risk 5x)

Tailed you on this one. Fabulous call!

[shockers02]

This dude is hot

Thanks for the bets

[TomJSports]

Other Leagues:
(Argentine Primera División) Tigre +200 10x (risk 5x) +10
(Argentine Primera División) Boca -120 10x +10

Thank you Argentina, and thank you beeps and cogidito for prompting me to look into these matches. So a great day overall, naturally. Hope this keeps up.

Club play today: 5-0-1 +29.5
Club play this week: 12-2-5 +85.49
Club play last week: 6-0-8 -23.125 (-2.31%)
Club play total: 43-3-27 +168.08

[TomJSports]

Tailed you on this one. Fabulous call!

This dude is hot

Thanks for the bets

Thanks for the kind words, as always. Hopefully it keeps up. Going to be working ~48 this weekend, so don't know if I will be around for the weekend plays

[TomJSports]

Bundesliga:
Stuttgart -1 EV 20x

2.Bundesliga:
Paderborn +110 5x
St. Pauli +1.5 +125 10x
St. Pauli/Aue o2.75 -115 5x

Other Leagues:
(Gambrinus) Viktoria Plzeň -1 -105 5x
(Ligue 2) Tours -105 5x
(Ligue 2) Metz/Istres o2.5 +125 5x
(Eerste Divisie) Oss/Fortuna Sittard o3 -130 10x
(Eerste Divisie) Willhem II -1 -110 5x
(Nemzeti Bajnokság I) Videoton FC (aka Fehérvár) -1.5 -130 5x
(Eliteserien) Molde -1 -105 10x
(Portugal) Porto/Benefica o2.5 -110 5x

As per usual, I covered the Bundesliga matches. I put a big play on Stuttgart -1, because they're healthy and playing well, and Hamburg is beat up and playing poorly, not to much to it and coaching change nonwithstanding. I put a small play on Paderborn for a home win, who are favourites. Lastly, I am going to keep riding the St. Pauli train back to 1.Bundesliga. Especially against that Aue squad.

České Budějovice is a bad squad this year and are one of two winless teams. Going against Plzeň, a team still in Championship League, is not a good proposition. Plzeň isn't having a lights out year, either, but is stil fourth and only has a couple losses, but have allowed 12. But going against a Budějice that has played 7, scored 7, and allowed 19, I like Plzeň. Pilsen vs. Budweis, can't beat that.

Tours isn't in the best form lately, but Amiens hasn't been in good form all year. So despite all that financial garbage that went on with Tours, I like them to beat this recently promoted Amiens side. I also hate going o2.5 in a French league, but I like the Metz/Istres over. The last three Metz games at home are 1-3, 2-2, and 2-1, and the last four road Istres games are 1-2, 1-0, 3-1, and 3-1. So there's only one miss out of the seven results. And last year's matches were a scoreless draw and a 3-2. Based on current form, I'd say the latter is more likely.

Overs and Dutch leagues usually aren't a terrible gamble, and that's how I feel about this matchup. Oss is 13 for, 10 against in 6 games, and Fortuna Sittard is 13 and 11 in 6. And every Oss road game or Fortuna Sittard home game has featured 3 or more goals. So the o3 would be 5 wins and a push. If you include all six games for each squad, o3 would be 9-2-1, so I had to go with this one. And Willhem II is just a value play of a top tier squad fight for promotion against an AGOVV squad who is already eying demotion.

Vidi is one of the more popular squads in Hungary and is always looking to make continentals. Zalaegerszeg is a bad squad that has allowed 22 and is sitting dead last in the league. I'd say Vidi takes this, at home, quite easily against a team with the following road losses: 4-1, 2-0, 1-0, 2-1, 5-0.

In another Norwegian play, I like Molde to get the win against Viking. Viking has had a good run recently against some bottom tier opponents, but Molde is not one of those. Molde is 8-2-1 at home with the loss being to Rosenborg, and draws to Tromsř and Brann. And those four teams (including Molde) are the top four in the league. Add into the fact Molde is 3-1-0 in the last four at home, and Viking is 0-1-3 in the last four on the road, I like Molde.

I can't avoid O Clássico. Obviously, I'd think Porto wins this, having the home advantage, but there could always be a pesky draw with Benefica. Last year, O Clássico (POR-BEN) was 5-0 in Porto and 0-2 in Lisbon. Year before 3-1 in Porto, 0-1 in Lisbon. Teams look pretty healthy, too, so if the high scoring keeps coming out in Porto, I like the over here. Maybe a 2-1 Porto win or 2-2 draw.

I wanted to play the GIF/Brommapojkarna, but I couldn't. I like both the over and the GIF road win, but not enough to play it. GIF has been over in 6 of the last 8, and BP 5 of the last 7. Probably a decent play. GIF also has had much better form lately, so between the two teams in the promotion hunt, I like GIF.

[Blue_Chips]

I like what I see here. Good luck with your plays tomorrow!

[wilt]

I think the San Pauli bet is -1,5 richtig?

[decado]

you are doing great lately!