Argentina are hosting it, they are in good form and should win it.
1. Brazil has won the last 4/5 but now they have the weakest squad since, even though they are still more talented than any other team.
2. If both win their groups, the tournament is structured in a way that they can only face each other in the final, therefore 2.00 might not be a good price for Argentina since it will probably stay at that price until the final.
3. Paraguay is the best value bet IMO, they are physical, experienced and had a good World Cup. They can finish 2nd or even 1st beside Brazil's young team in the group. After that they dodge Argentina all the way to the final, so there is plenty of hedging possibility.
opinions?