1. #1
    JOHON8
    gambling fallacy
    JOHON8's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-10
    Posts: 7,712
    Betpoints: 338

    Potentially Fixed Games

    As always nothing is certain. I'm just going to keep record of what I see in the market.

    Macedonia:

    Metalurg Skopje - FK Skopje
    48% drop in FK ML from 8.00 to 4.00

  2. #2
    JOHON8
    gambling fallacy
    JOHON8's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-10
    Posts: 7,712
    Betpoints: 338

    Italy
    Cagliari - Brescia
    300k on the draw at BetFair. Lines closing in various books.

  3. #3
    PickApprentice
    PickApprentice's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-10
    Posts: 1,895

    Thanks Johon8!

  4. #4
    shari91
    shari91's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-10
    Posts: 32,661
    Betpoints: 1689

    Quote Originally Posted by JOHON8 View Post
    As always nothing is certain. I'm just going to keep record of what I see in the market.

    Macedonia:

    Metalurg Skopje - FK Skopje
    48% drop in FK ML from 8.00 to 4.00
    Someone sent me a msg about this match awhile ago. It's still sitting at $7.50 at an Aussie book so I put $10 on it.

  5. #5
    JOHON8
    gambling fallacy
    JOHON8's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-10
    Posts: 7,712
    Betpoints: 338

    Ascoli - Sassuolo

    There was about 40k on Ascoli ML an hour ago, about 200k on it right now. Again I have no idea why this is happening, just following the market.

  6. #6
    Sanka
    Sanka's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-10
    Posts: 2,641
    Betpoints: 2468

    Quote Originally Posted by JOHON8 View Post
    Ascoli - Sassuolo

    There was about 40k on Ascoli ML an hour ago, about 200k on it right now. Again I have no idea why this is happening, just following the market.
    Was just about to post this, seems fishy.

  7. #7
    Sanka
    Sanka's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-10
    Posts: 2,641
    Betpoints: 2468

    Ascoli game taken off the board by many books now

  8. #8
    Brazilian soccer
    Brazilian soccer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-04-10
    Posts: 1,589

    Quote Originally Posted by JOHON8 View Post
    Ascoli - Sassuolo There was about 40k on Ascoli ML an hour ago, about 200k on it right now. Again I have no idea why this is happening, just following the market.
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanka View Post
    Was just about to post this, seems fishy.
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanka View Post
    Ascoli game taken off the board by many books now
    Thanks for posting my friend.
    I had noticed movement in this game and really ascoli are pulling too many books.
    I will also follow the market just for fun.

    I also can not find the game of macedonia.

  9. #9
    Brazilian soccer
    Brazilian soccer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-04-10
    Posts: 1,589

    Johon; just forgot to say that I admire your work.

    Sanka Too... I admire your work.

  10. #10
    JOHON8
    gambling fallacy
    JOHON8's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-10
    Posts: 7,712
    Betpoints: 338

    There is no way I'm putting any money on these game before they start.

    I'm going to look at some of them live and look for the obvious signs. If anyone is going to watch one of these report back in this thread if you want to help out.

  11. #11
    nyplayer33
    nyplayer33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-27-06
    Posts: 8,305
    Betpoints: 106

    draw at cagliardi/brescia is +125 at a book I use

  12. #12
    nyplayer33
    nyplayer33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-27-06
    Posts: 8,305
    Betpoints: 106

    very well done

  13. #13
    Brazilian soccer
    Brazilian soccer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-04-10
    Posts: 1,589

    Quote Originally Posted by JOHON8 View Post
    There is no way I'm putting any money on these game before they start. I'm going to look at some of them live and look for the obvious signs. If anyone is going to watch one of these report back in this thread if you want to help out.
    Let's make trading similar to that game got odd@ 30,00

    you remember?

  14. #14
    Sanka
    Sanka's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-10
    Posts: 2,641
    Betpoints: 2468

    Quote Originally Posted by nyplayer33 View Post
    draw at cagliardi/brescia is +125 at a book I use
    Odds on Brescia ML have dropped pretty hard there and odds on the draw are actually rising.

  15. #15
    nyplayer33
    nyplayer33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-27-06
    Posts: 8,305
    Betpoints: 106

    Brescia +187, Cagliardi +200 draw +125.......so the fav is the draw

  16. #16
    PickApprentice
    PickApprentice's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-10
    Posts: 1,895

    Can anyone confirm this as a draw? Give me a percentage confidence level

  17. #17
    Sanka
    Sanka's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-10
    Posts: 2,641
    Betpoints: 2468

    Quote Originally Posted by nyplayer33 View Post
    Brescia +187, Cagliardi +200 draw +125.......so the fav is the draw
    Odds on draw have risen to +150/+155 at several places (starting from -125), odds on Brescia ML have dropped from +300 to +170. Check back in a few hours and tell me who the favourite is then

  18. #18
    nyplayer33
    nyplayer33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-27-06
    Posts: 8,305
    Betpoints: 106

    palm to forehead..LOL

  19. #19
    nyplayer33
    nyplayer33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-27-06
    Posts: 8,305
    Betpoints: 106

    Betfair, 309,000 on draw, 162,000 Brescia, Cagliardi 34,000

  20. #20
    tullamore21
    Update your status
    tullamore21's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-12-09
    Posts: 1,929
    Betpoints: 3213

    Quote Originally Posted by JOHON8 View Post
    As always nothing is certain. I'm just going to keep record of what I see in the market.

    Macedonia:

    Metalurg Skopje - FK Skopje
    48% drop in FK ML from 8.00 to 4.00
    ahahaha Macedonia...

  21. #21
    GMilst
    GMilst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-11
    Posts: 279

    As i asked Sanka earlier, what do you guys think about Piacenza - Pescara? Yesterday the draw was @2,2, today 15 minutes in, its @1,5 and dropping, looks fishy to me.
    Last edited by GMilst; 04-09-11 at 08:23 AM.

  22. #22
    PickApprentice
    PickApprentice's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-10
    Posts: 1,895

    Ascoli - Sassuolo 0-0, guess it's a fixed draw.

  23. #23
    hedgejob
    hedgejob's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-21-09
    Posts: 2,561
    Betpoints: 5164

    Crapshoot

  24. #24
    hedgejob
    hedgejob's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-21-09
    Posts: 2,561
    Betpoints: 5164

    BTW, there's one adage you should never forget in life: if it sounds too good to be true...

  25. #25
    JOHON8
    gambling fallacy
    JOHON8's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-10
    Posts: 7,712
    Betpoints: 338

    Quote Originally Posted by hedgejob View Post
    BTW, there's one adage you should never forget in life: if it sounds too good to be true...
    Anyone who bets these games before they start is not doing it right, so I don't know who you're talking about. Watching the Ascoli game live I dropped a little on the under because I saw what was going on, that's what you have to do with these games.

    And yes, all of the games I mentioned were fixed.
    Points Awarded:

    nyplayer33 gave JOHON8 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  26. #26
    nyplayer33
    nyplayer33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-27-06
    Posts: 8,305
    Betpoints: 106

    had this draw...thanks Johon8

Top