1. 09-07-22 09:44 AM #1
    thetrinity
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    Just heard now. We buying this

    Week 1 games
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  2. 09-07-22 10:27 AM #2
    pologq
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    against the spread?
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  3. 09-07-22 01:39 PM #3
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Has to be, I don't see dogs winning over 3/4 straight up.
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  4. 09-07-22 04:53 PM #4
    thetrinity
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    Yeah ATS makes sense really most prep time and teams know each other
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  5. 09-07-22 05:36 PM #5
    VeggieDog
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    For the entire season last year, Division Dogs, whether Home or Road, were 49-47. 51.0%. ATS. Tread carefully.
    Last edited by VeggieDog; 09-07-22 at 05:39 PM. Reason: Add ATS.
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  6. 09-07-22 08:46 PM #6
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Researched pro football reference and the numbers are correct; I get 29-9-1 in the last eight years.
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  7. 09-07-22 10:24 PM #7
    pavyracer
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    Lines are not sharp the first week of the season. If you take the points on all division dogs on first week you will come up ahead.
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  8. 09-07-22 10:28 PM #8
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Six opportunities coming up.
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  9. 09-08-22 06:45 AM #9
    thetrinity
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    Researched pro football reference and the numbers are correct; I get 29-9-1 in the last eight years.
    The one sports radio station by me does a betting spot Wednesday and I only caught part of it. Thanks for verifying it.
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  10. 09-08-22 06:51 AM #10
    thetrinity
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    Quote Originally Posted by VeggieDog View Post
    For the entire season last year, Division Dogs, whether Home or Road, were 49-47. 51.0%. ATS. Tread carefully.
    I should have put that in the original post title, but it had nothing to do with the entire season, just week 1.
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  11. 09-08-22 07:35 AM #11
    pologq
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Lines are not sharp the first week of the season. If you take the points on all division dogs on first week you will come up ahead.
    this makes sense

    you get teams like the bears getting 7 at home and who knows, they could win 12 games this year. just an example, not saying they will.
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  12. 09-11-22 06:28 PM #12
    VeggieDog
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    Home went 2-0 and Road went 1-3. Not good.
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  13. 09-11-22 06:56 PM #13
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by VeggieDog View Post
    Home went 2-0 and Road went 1-3. Not good.
    Huh? 4-2 overall. Falcons, Texans, Vikings, Steelers covered.
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  14. 09-11-22 07:05 PM #14
    VeggieDog
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Huh? 4-2 overall. Falcons, Texans, Vikings, Steelers covered.
    Packers were the Dog, not the Vikes.
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  15. 09-11-22 08:12 PM #15
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by VeggieDog View Post
    Packers were the Dog, not the Vikes.
    It opened +2 Vikings.
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  16. 09-11-22 08:19 PM #16
    thetrinity
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    It opened +2 Vikings.
    This is the problem with these trends. Who knows what they do with a game like that? If you count as both a win and loss it went 4-3. Would make more sense to ignore and say it was 3-2 IMO
    Last edited by thetrinity; 09-11-22 at 08:23 PM.
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  17. 09-12-22 01:00 PM #17
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    I believe they use the closing line when going back and trying to find angles.
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  18. 09-12-22 09:13 PM #18
    thetrinity
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    I believe they use the closing line when going back and trying to find angles.
    I dunno. Do they try and make it sound good especially if it’s a betting service? I would think so. Usually have a disclaimer saying “against the closing line or teams that open as dogs” or something like to that effect if that’s the case. They could count this as 4-2 and promote it next year, but not like if they counted it as 3-3 it wouldn’t still look nice.
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