1. #71
    Madison
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheMoneyShot View Post
    I love hearing everyone cap this series. Refs are just laughing at most of you right now. This is the NBA WHERE AMAZING HAPPENS.
    Unfortunately so true. LOL.

  2. #72
    Snowball
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    hmm. Celtics Game 7 win insurance would cost 16.6% off the top.
    too damn high.

  3. #73
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    Doesn't NBA always want a Game 7? The Series line is fairly tight, but yes, I do reckon expectations for Gm 7 are overpriced. That +160 can be adjusted, taking the separate 3 options to varying degrees ... it's going to change even after Game 1.

    In my opinion if the Celtics are going to win two, then they could win three. I do have Series and Game 1 ML since days ago, but I'm going to take some Sweep and 4-1. Leaving off the 4-2 because if the Celtics can win two, they would be more a threat than I currently estimate them to be. Injuries are also a contingency for all. Let's use the 120 figure again and see what just 4-0 and 4-1 yields...

    4-0 +1200 10/120, 4-1 +500 24/120; If 4-0 Net +282, If 4-1 Net +458
    these may be reversed or adjusted based on whatever you like most.
    you may even toss in a 4-2 coverage bet as pseudo-insurance, to win the cost back of 34.
    It would only cost 2.83 + 6.8 {9.63} or 8%.
    Again, unless you are combining those props from multiple sites to get favorable prices, you are almost certainly going to get better odds just betting a series spread. The hold on the exact props is larger.

  4. #74
    MiDNiTe
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    Have said it would be GS/Boston finals with Boston winning it and still think so, this a good match up for Boston and will be nothing like the Miami series for Boston, can see Tatum going off game 1 or 2 before adjustments since GS won't plan on stopping him like Miami did.

    This is going to be a very good finals series and alot closer than what people think, more excited for this finals than previous years

  5. #75
    Four33
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    Golden State will roll.

  6. #76
    Snowball
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    Warriors Over 113.5 +210 $a/b
    Warriors Over 110.5 +140 $c/b
    Warriors Over 107.5 +130 $d/e =(a+c)

  7. #77
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    Warriors Over 113.5 +210 $a/b
    Warriors Over 110.5 +140 $c/b
    Warriors Over 107.5 +130 $d/e =(a+c)
    Snowy over here trying to use calculus for his wagers.

  8. #78
    Snowball
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    well it's here. i have 27% of my BR on Warriors ML tonight.

    feel the tension

  9. #79
    MiDNiTe
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    Boston good road team, they will win one of the 2 games at chase

  10. #80
    MiDNiTe
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    Is the finals 2/3/2 or 2/2/1/1/1 ?

  11. #81
    Chiefs83
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    2-2-1-1-1
    Points Awarded:

    MiDNiTe gave Chiefs83 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  12. #82
    johnnyvegas13
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    Gm 1 spread is the same as the superbowl spread was

    Does that mean celtics cover ???

  13. #83
    lakerboy
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    They are a measly -145 at betonline

  14. #84
    jjgold
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    Very strange I guess they figure Boston has a very good defense and that usually wins out

  15. #85

  16. #86
    titanium777
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    Warriors horrible 4th Q. Curry/Klay ain't finals monsters.

  17. #87
    Fred The Hammer
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    I thought Boston could get 1 at home, but the problem is they haven't held serve at home in a series yet. Can they go up 3-1 because if its 2-2 then they'd have to win at GS again? I don't think anyone can assume Boston will win Game 3 & 4. Who knows though? Boston matches up pretty well on paper and it could be like the Miami/Dallas series where the dog rode that us against the world mentality all the way

  18. #88
    titanium777
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fred The Hammer View Post
    I thought Boston could get 1 at home, but the problem is they haven't held serve at home in a series yet. Can they go up 3-1 because if its 2-2 then they'd have to win at GS again? I don't think anyone can assume Boston will win Game 3 & 4. Who knows though? Boston matches up pretty well on paper and it could be like the Miami/Dallas series where the dog rode that us against the world mentality all the way
    Boston is a great matchup against State. They are long and lanky and play solid defense. No thanks to that teddy bear tatum

  19. #89
    stevenash
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    JJ?
    Should the Warriors be -500 now to win title?

  20. #90
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    JJ?
    Should the Warriors be -500 now to win title?
    Nah. Should be -2500. The loss will motivate them to play harder next 4 games.

  21. #91
    jjgold
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    Us pros ..We get a better price now

    I will be betting the series price again today once I paint this room

  22. #92
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Us pros ..We get a better price now

    I will be betting the series price again today once I paint this room
    stop the bleeding gold

  23. #93
    slayer14
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    All golden state have are Thompson and curry and on the offense side scoring wise and a bunch of journeyman it not a well built team like boston.
    Last edited by slayer14; 06-03-22 at 06:06 AM.

  24. #94
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Us pros ..We get a better price now

    I will be betting the series price again today once I paint this room
    JJ, take some time off.
    You're barreled in dude.

  25. #95
    Snowball
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    well i don't think there is anything to add
    except it would be a mistake to read into the game too much
    Boston sank a lot of 3's in the 4Q, and averaged a lot higher than usual

    Warriors did have a 12 point lead after the 3Q so it's not like they can't beat them.

    My plan is to move on, but concerning Series I will wait and see if the Warriors can win Game 2
    before considering what to do about it

  26. #96
    Madison
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    well it's here. i have 27% of my BR on Warriors ML tonight.

    feel the tension
    OUCH! Sorry Bud.

  27. #97
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by Madison View Post
    OUCH! Sorry Bud.
    It's ok. All won money, haven't deposited funds in well over a year.
    Next.....

  28. #98
    Snowball
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    Only going with some Warrior props tonight.
    Figure they will be aggressive.

  29. #99
    jjgold
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    Must win tomorrow night or this series is over

  30. #100
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Must win tomorrow night or this series is over
    Goldy, you have any Live Horses for SATURDAY?

    And how do u see Gold St performing in Game 4?

  31. #101
    jjgold
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    Game 2 Golden State win by about 12

    Don’t forget they dominated the last game until some fluke happened

  32. #102
    scorpion896
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Game 2 Golden State win by about 12

    Don’t forget they dominated the last game until some fluke happened
    Don't forget Tatum shot 3-17 either

    Make sure to come back and say you were wrong

  33. #103
    pimike
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    GS looks confused

  34. #104
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by pimike View Post
    GS looks confused
    same as jjgold

  35. #105
    Headsterx
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    same as jjgold
    Damn!!!

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