Be careful here.
Sure, a bettor betting 1 unit on each OVER this year would be up about +13 units, but not before going down about -28 units, twice.
Do you have the stomach for that?...
What about 5.5? Hopefully you didn't want to bet more on those. That was closer to 50-50 and while there a few more OVERs the vig was a killer over 481 plays. Here's the breakdown of units for the 5.5 line vs all others all others...
There were only 2 games with a 5 line and they both went OVER, there were 3 games at 7.5 and the OVER was 1-2.
As far as making the line 7 or 7.5, you would likely get one sided there. The average Total line this season was 6.01. The average score this season was 6.284.
The market, at the close, was off the average by just .265 points.
There were only 38 games this year that closed at 7 or 7.5, and the OVER was 14-13-11 in those games.
When it comes to the 5.5 line, the average score in those games was 5.857, making the market off by .357 points.
So while the book was off by more with the 5.5 line that all lines together, it didn't result in a better record or profit for the OVER bettor.
Finally, let me just say the UNDERS have been outperforming OVERS in recent years and this run, starting in February, is bit of an outlier. It does seem to have bled into the early playoffs but it may no last.
So be careful of a recency effect of the last 3.5 months or so, when it comes to hockey OVERS, it's been quite a run and coming from a long way down to get to profit this season alone....