Okay the more I think of it, I can see a Patriots blowout here. The only reason I would take the Jags is because I am Anti New England. The last team to beat New England was the Broncos in 2015. I believe that Denver Defense is clearly better then this Jaguar squad, and they barely won that one. The Broncos also had the home crowd backing to make things tough on Brady. At home, Brady should score at will on them.
Brady only lost one AFC championship game at home, and that was to the Ravens. In that game, their two dominant players were out with injuries - Gronk and Aqib Talib. With the Patriots fully healthy, unless there is a ton of fluking things that happens on Sunday, the Patriots will win by double digits.