1. #1
    ben3096
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    Fezzik

    Anyone have his MNF stuff? Tia

  2. #2
    sweeed
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    Bears +3

  3. #3
    sweeed
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    Triple dime

  4. #4
    ben3096
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    Greatly appreciated thanks

  5. #5
    ben3096
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    FEZZIK | NFL SIDE SUN, 11/22/20 - 4:05 PM
    477 NYJ 8.5 (-110) Pinnacle vs 478 LAC

    double-dime bet

    Analysis:

    Early Release: Jets +8.5


    Thursday PROP BETS, 2 stars:

    Punts UNDER 7.5 -120

    Russell Wilson OVER 31.5 Rush Yards -120

    THURS AZ at SEA -3, 57.5

    LEAN SEA

    Power Ratings: Az 1, Sea 3, P Rating: SEA -3

    LIKE SEA: SITUATION

    Sea: BUYING LOW

    Just last week LA line SEA was -5

    What has happened?

    Sea failed ATS vs. rams by 4

    Az failed ATS by 1, AFTER getting a Hail Mary TD

    SITUATIONS FAVOR SEA:

    And Sea: REVENGE from the 1st game for a game that got away:

    Sea had over a 90% chance to win late in the 4th quarter.

    Sea lead by 10 late in 4Q. Az kicked a fg with 3:00, Sea committed a penalty extending drive…….Az cut the lead to 3

    Then got a stop, and a fg to tie the game.

    AND Sea: Should be FULLY focused on a losing streak:

    0-2 @ Buffalo, @ Rams, and committed 7 turnovers.

    Contrast to Az: Miracle hail Mary, but have to wheel back for Thurs Game, and Az has over 850 miles travel

    Teams only cover 38% ATS in this spot

    1st Game: Sea 34 AZ 37

    Wilson 33/50 388 7.8 3 TD/3 INT, Sacked 2x, QBR 69

    6 carries, 84 yards

    Murray 34/48 360 7.5 3TD/1INT, Sacked 0x, QBR 59

    14 carries, 67 yards

    Lockett 15/200, Metcalf 2/23

    Hopkins 10/103

    Sea: Bad spots last 2 weeks:

    @ Buf (in a big divisional sandwich)

    Had just played @Az, SF and had @Rams next

    Then caught the Rams off their bye, Rams were refocused

    And it was Sea’s 3rd road trip in 4 weeks

    Sea: Pete Carroll emphasizing ball security:

    -4 T/o vs. Buffalo…. 4 t o

    -2 T/o vs. Rams….. 3 t o

    TREND: Sea 12-2-1 ATS off consecutive losses under Carroll











    Injuries: SEA RBs Carson, Homer DOUBTFUL

    Sea CBS Griffen (64), Dunbar (48) OUT, Sea C Pocic G Simmons OUT

    Az: DL injuries:

    DE Jordan Phillips OUT PFF 54

    DT Corey Peters OUT 63

    DT Liki Fotu OUT 37

    DE Zach Allen OUT 51

    All these injuries in November…

    PROPP Russell Wilson OVER 31.5 rush yards:

    1st meeting

    10/25 6/84

    Game: Sense of urgency likely will lead to more Rushes

    YTD Wilson averaging 36/gm

    But I expect him to be more aggressive in a crucial game

    Especially vs. a suspect Az Run Defense with injuries on the DL



    AZ: YTD: giving up 4.5 yards/rush (22nd in NFL)

    Last 3 games: Giving up 5.0 yards/rush



    With a total of 57 I expect few 4th downs, AND I expect both coaches to go for it liberally on 4th and short tonight.......minimizing punts

  6. #6
    ben3096
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    Anyone have his Sat cfb stuff? Tia

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