1. #1
    cyberinvestor
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    The Sharp Plays Thread

    The guy they fade, Mr. Contrarian is going with UNDER in the first period of the Devils game and the San Jose game so you would want the overs. He is doing these in a parlay so a reverse parlay is an idea. It will help with the juice and there are many times that the reverse parlay won.
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  2. #2
    Capybara
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    What's up, Cyber? Looking forward to this thread continuing and us getting a nice tracking going of its success.

    Hard to decide how to score the "fades." Hmm. I myself am more interested in the tails of the "known bettor" plays, but without doubt, fading this Mr. Contrarian idiot has been a cash machine.

    So how should we record the results of last night? I think I'd prob just go with the two separate first period overs, as distinct plays, for a standard unit each. I'm sure they were juicy (was busy and didn't play them), so I don't know what the price was, but regardless, I'd say the thread right now is:

    2-0, +2x

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  3. #3
    littlecat
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    Parlay was -130

    Individual plays were -380 and -260 I believe

  4. #4
    cyberinvestor
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    He hasn’t posted much beyond the fade plays which went 2-0 by fading today again. Guy they fade really sucks!

    The Sharp Plays guy has been on vacation but gets back Wednesday. He has posted the fade daily but no known bettor plays. When he gets back from vacation then he posted he will get back to his normal messages.
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  5. #5
    Jman09
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    Cyber what was his fade plays??

  6. #6
    t1mt5bow
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    He had 1P DAL U1.5 (+148) & 1P SJ U1.5 (+150) for $25k each

  7. #7
    Capybara
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    Guys, remember to keep everything in this thread, don’t use the old ones. We’re going to try and keep track.

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  8. #8
    Jman09
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    Please keep posting these fade plays r beast!!

  9. #9
    Itsamle
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    So what is the play?

  10. #10
    cyberinvestor
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    Today the Mr. Contrarian guy that The Sharp Plays tracks had Tampa UNDER 1.5. Another loser! LOL

    Approaching the level of best fade ever!
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  11. #11
    cyberinvestor
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    Mr Contrarian in Pittsburgh and Columbus OVER 1.5 in the first period. Fade play is to take the UNDER
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  12. #12
    Alock
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    When Pittsburgh plays another #FollowTheMoney5 team they are 11-0 to the OVER this season in the 1st period

  13. #13
    t1mt5bow
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    Now 7-33, Mr Contrarian is going with the 1P OVER 1.5 (+126) in the Dallas/Vegas game.

  14. #14
    t1mt5bow
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    And just like that, after a one win "streak", it's gone! Mr. Contrarian now 7-34


  15. #15
    EastGate
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    Is this hockey tread or baseball?

  16. #16
    Capybara
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    Cyber, I guess you didn't want to track the record of the Fade Mr. C plays? I personally don't care on that half of things, I'm not a fade bettor, so that's up to you, I'm not gonna bother with it. But if you (or anyone reading this) wants to keep tracking those in here, feel free -- just keep it up to date with record and units.

    TSP says he's back from vacation today, so hopefully we start getting the "known bettor" TAIL plays, which I would like us to keep track of -- I'll try and take care of that daily when I have a chance.

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  17. #17
    cyberinvestor
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    Cyber, I guess you didn't want to track the record of the Fade Mr. C plays? I personally don't care on that half of things, I'm not a fade bettor, so that's up to you, I'm not gonna bother with it. But if you (or anyone reading this) wants to keep tracking those in here, feel free -- just keep it up to date with record and units.
    TSP says he's back from vacation today, so hopefully we start getting the "known bettor" TAIL plays, which I would like us to keep track of -- I'll try and take care of that daily when I have a chance.
    Thanks for the help because a lot of time I don't get the late stuff he posts.

    The Mr. Contrarian they track is 7-34. They just posted he is going with Blackhawks/Ducks 1P OVER (fade is to take UNDER) and he is going with Blackhawks OVER for the game (fade obviously is to take the UNDER).

    No "known" bettor stuff yet today but like you said, he just got back from vacation according to the posts today so he said he would have those as normal tomorrow.
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  18. #18
    Getch13
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    Quote Originally Posted by cyberinvestor View Post
    Thanks for the help because a lot of time I don't get the late stuff he posts.

    The Mr. Contrarian they track is 7-34. They just posted he is going with Blackhawks/Ducks 1P OVER (fade is to take UNDER) and he is going with Blackhawks OVER for the game (fade obviously is to take the UNDER).

    No "known" bettor stuff yet today but like you said, he just got back from vacation according to the posts today so he said he would have those as normal tomorrow.
    I would make that Chi/Ana 1st period a no play Chicago is 49-14 77.8% to the over in the first. Ducks 26-37 41.3% to the under.

    BOL which ever way you go.
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  19. #19
    techsan
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    Based on SportsInsights data as of 2:45 PM CST, everyone is on the over
    https://www.screencast.com/t/yDfwz9JJhl9U

  20. #20
    Capybara
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    Okay, he's back with tail plays...

    A "known" CBB bettor is taking positions on Penn St. Earlier today he grabbed them at +1.5 and +1 over Maryland for a total position of $--K and earlier this hour he came back to build an $-K position at +119, +118, +115.
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  21. #21
    Itsamle
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    So the play is to taken Maryland?

  22. #22
    Alock
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    Quote Originally Posted by Itsamle View Post
    So the play is to taken Maryland?
    No, if it is a “known” u follow. Play Penn St.! Play opposite of the Contrarion in hockey

  23. #23
    Itsamle
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    Oh wow. I wish I saw this. I tho it was fade so I took Maryland. Damnit.

  24. #24
    jcs235psu
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    it literally said TAIL in the dudes comment

  25. #25
    Alock
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    Quote Originally Posted by Itsamle View Post
    Oh wow. I wish I saw this. I tho it was fade so I took Maryland. Damnit.
    For reference, if the big bet that I post is from a respected bettor or group, I will always be sure to include “known” in the tweet so you can differentiate between someone with money to burn and someone considered in the “know”.

  26. #26
    ridgeway
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    Thanks

  27. #27
    Itsamle
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    Thank you, now I know

  28. #28
    Capybara
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    Okay, quick survey about tracking... should we record that easy Penn State casher as one win or two wins? “Known” bettor had hit it several times, with different spreads but also ML plays at different prices.

    I’m going to track the record and units for these “known” bettor TAIL plays, so before I do that, just wanted some opinions. I could see either 1-0, +1.0x, or maybe 2-0, +2.05x (since ML price was +105 when I posted). I played both myself so I made a couple of units.

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  29. #29
    LandonBang
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    Okay, quick survey about tracking... should we record that easy Penn State casher as one win or two wins? “Known” bettor had hit it several times, with different spreads but also ML plays at different prices.

    I’m going to track the record and units for these “known” bettor TAIL plays, so before I do that, just wanted some opinions. I could see either 1-0, +1.0x, or maybe 2-0, +2.05x (since ML price was +105 when I posted). I played both myself so I made a couple of units.
    Id say 2-0. 1-0 ats & 1-0 ML. Good luck everyone.

  30. #30
    techsan
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    I think 2-0 makes it simple

    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    Okay, quick survey about tracking... should we record that easy Penn State casher as one win or two wins? “Known” bettor had hit it several times, with different spreads but also ML plays at different prices.

    I’m going to track the record and units for these “known” bettor TAIL plays, so before I do that, just wanted some opinions. I could see either 1-0, +1.0x, or maybe 2-0, +2.05x (since ML price was +105 when I posted). I played both myself so I made a couple of units.

  31. #31
    Capybara
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    ”Known” bettor tails updated record:

    2-0, +2.05x

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  32. #32
    Capybara
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    We have action...

    “Known” bettor has been building a position all day on Hampton for a total of $__K at +1, PK, -1.

    For those of you who are continuously confused, this is a regular TAIL play. If you are so inclined.

    Again, I’m not a fade player and won’t be posting plays by “lousy cappers” as that isn’t my bag. But others are welcome to.

    For tracking purposes, I’m calling this a single unit play at a PK.
    Last edited by Capybara; 02-28-19 at 04:32 PM.

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  33. #33
    Itsamle
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    Haha who is Hampton haha omg never heard of them until today

  34. #34
    Hoopball328
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    Also "Mr Poison" - guy you want to fade, just put in a 39k bet to win 25K on Dallas U1.5 (-157) ... I think that is first period goals I assume? So the play would be Dallas over 1.5 first period goals at +165-ish.

  35. #35
    Hoopball328
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    Quote Originally Posted by Itsamle View Post
    Haha who is Hampton haha omg never heard of them until today
    Don't you remember the 15 over 2 upset they had over Iowa St in the 2001 tourney?
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