1. 10-29-18 07:41 PM #75566
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  2. 10-29-18 07:42 PM #75567
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  3. 10-29-18 07:44 PM #75568
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  4. 10-29-18 07:53 PM #75569
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  5. 10-29-18 07:57 PM #75570
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  6. 10-29-18 08:01 PM #75571
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  7. 10-29-18 08:02 PM #75572
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  8. 10-29-18 08:03 PM #75573
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  9. 10-29-18 08:03 PM #75574
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  10. 10-29-18 08:04 PM #75575
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  11. 10-29-18 08:05 PM #75576
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  12. 10-29-18 08:06 PM #75577
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  13. 10-29-18 08:07 PM #75578
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  14. 10-29-18 08:08 PM #75579
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  15. 10-29-18 08:11 PM #75580
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  16. 10-29-18 08:12 PM #75581
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  17. 10-29-18 08:13 PM #75582
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  18. 10-29-18 08:13 PM #75583
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  19. 10-29-18 08:15 PM #75584
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: KVB
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  20. 10-30-18 07:56 AM #75585
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Dan, you do not understand how the marketplace works, how the books operate, and why the line opens where it opens and closes to where it closes.

    Just because the book makes a line and you can figure out the vig, does not mean the line is "fair"

    Fair lines are just a gauge for mathematicians to have something to work with.

    I don't think you could handle the truth about the major sports, I just don't think you will understand what we've done for years in setting lines. It is far out of the scope of your understanding.

    The market does not try to "balance" action with "fair" lines, nor do the books who make up the marketplace.

    That's not how they make money. They make money by taking positions, using the line to do so, and they make that money over the long term. They are more than willing to pay out to the bettors that understand this as they take in plenty from the rest of the field.

    Next thing your going to say is that the best team on the field that day wins, or some fan like nonsense like that.

    When you understand that something like the NFL is meant (according to the NFL court arguments) to be entertainment, and that's it, you might start to understand the reality of the situation. Even then,you will likely surrender to the classic Forum attitude that winning is impossible, despite proof otherwise.

    The rest is just beating the markets with math, something that can be done year in and year out.

    Otherwise, the market wouldn't exist.

    About that line and the line

    Did you notice in recent time, that some bookies are making the line movements such that is intended to attract some specific large group ?

    In your opinion, who's the marketeers that are hanging everyone by their nose at this moment?
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  21. 10-30-18 09:51 AM #75586
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  22. 10-30-18 11:33 AM #75587
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    The NCAAF Totals Fund has added...

    304 KENT ST/BOWLING GREEN UNDER 66.5 (-105)



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  23. 10-30-18 11:49 AM #75588
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    The NCAAF UPSETS Basket has added...

    409 UTEP +105 over RICE



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  24. 10-30-18 06:04 PM #75589
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  25. 10-30-18 10:32 PM #75590
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  26. 10-30-18 10:33 PM #75591
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    lez kiss
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  27. 10-31-18 01:47 AM #75592
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  28. 10-31-18 10:21 AM #75593
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    feeling gassy today
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  29. 11-01-18 11:26 AM #75594
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    320 COLORADO/ARIZONA UNDER 57 (-110)

    372 SJST/WYOMING UNDER 40 (-110)

    400 KANSAS ST/TCU UNDER 46 (-105)

    Not posting much today, a little busy.

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  30. 11-01-18 12:01 PM #75595
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    feeling gassy today
    love those friday options, got out. missed the china day trade
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  31. 11-01-18 07:20 PM #75596
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    315 PITT +7.5 (-105) over VIRGINIA



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  32. 11-01-18 07:22 PM #75597
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    love those friday options, got out. missed the china day trade
    Been doing well in stocks and sports recently.

    Bought calls last week in a bunch of things, sold for profit except for CELG. Bought more this week and it finally popped today.

    I made a good chunk in those options this week.

    A process I think I can replicate.

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  33. 11-01-18 08:02 PM #75598
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    $$$
    Last edited by turtledoves; 11-02-18 at 04:14 PM.
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  34. 11-01-18 08:45 PM #75599
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtledoves View Post
    picked up SF +3 live, was the biggest discrepancy
    Hit OKC +178, OVER 204.5 LIVE.

    Now I have Milwaukee +9.5 LIVE in the NBA.

    Also bought the Raiders +9.5 and +14.5 LIVE.


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  35. 11-01-18 08:48 PM #75600
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    I feel emboldened after cashing those CELG options today.

    That was some serious icing on some cake.

    I can't even find the cake it was so much icing...lol.

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