1. 01-30-11 06:24 PM #71
    Glitch
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    Quote Originally Posted by wiffle View Post
    royal flushes in Feb

    over/under 8.5
    way under. it'll happen once and in the last week of february.
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  2. 01-30-11 07:18 PM #72
    frognose20
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    hope it happens to me!
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  3. 01-30-11 07:57 PM #73
    wiffle
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    Quote Originally Posted by Glitch View Post
    way under. it'll happen once and in the last week of february.
    if there is anywhere near the 200k hands that was mentioned earlier in the thread there will easily be that many and probably much more. people are talking about folding hurting the odds but it doesnt really make much difference. preflop everyone probably limps and then with rf draw most would c/c. the odds for a single person hitting rf are 1 in about 30k. if there are 9 people at the table then the odds are decreased much further (i guess 30k/9).

    this could cripple sbr!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! massive inflation coming to the sbrstore

    sbr should really put a limit on the number of rfs that get the points
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  4. 01-30-11 08:29 PM #74
    wiffle
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    8.5 is actually waaaaaaay too low should be around 20
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  5. 01-30-11 08:32 PM #75
    wiffle
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    play in all these tourneys, see around 4000 hands in all and you would probably be about a coinflip for 5k points
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  6. 01-30-11 11:41 PM #76
    BigDaddy
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    nice promo
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  7. 01-30-11 11:51 PM #77
    darys
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    i bet I'll hit one lol...
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  8. 01-31-11 12:59 AM #78
    the_situation
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    wow siiiiick...cant wait till tmr
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  9. 01-31-11 03:16 AM #79
    Smoke
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    Great idea but I've never been at a table and seen a royal flush ever, mayb now its time
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  10. 01-31-11 04:25 AM #80
    Richards
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    Quote Originally Posted by wiffle View Post
    if there is anywhere near the 200k hands that was mentioned earlier in the thread there will easily be that many and probably much more. people are talking about folding hurting the odds but it doesnt really make much difference. preflop everyone probably limps and then with rf draw most would c/c. the odds for a single person hitting rf are 1 in about 30k. if there are 9 people at the table then the odds are decreased much further (i guess 30k/9).

    this could cripple sbr!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! massive inflation coming to the sbrstore

    sbr should really put a limit on the number of rfs that get the points

    I don't want to dampen your excitement but I can't imagine the odds are anywhere NEAR 30k/9.

    The 30k number is for "7 randomly drawn cards" but a 9-handed table is 9 sets of 2 randomly drawn cards each combined with THE SAME SET of 5 randomly drawn cards. Each player's chance is tied to the community cards that they all share.

    This puts the real probability for a given player likely somewhere between the 7-card number of 1/30k and the 5-card number of 1/600k.

    For ANY player at a given table it's probably close to 1/30k hands, but then you have to account for folding like when the player has pocket cards of J3 or Q2 etc and folds pre-flop. This is where my particular guess of 1/100k-150k hands came from, and that's HANDS PER TABLE where a complete hand with 9-10 players participating counts as 1.

    Let's look at it another way, could local casinos and online poker rooms afford their own such promotions if it was happening at the frequency you suggest?
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  11. 01-31-11 04:31 AM #81
    Richards
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    Quote Originally Posted by wiffle View Post
    8.5 is actually waaaaaaay too low should be around 20

    I'd be willing bet all the points I have not only UNDER 20 but UNDER 8.5 as well.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Glitch
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  12. 01-31-11 07:25 AM #82
    Ninersnut
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    Doubt this happens. Need the perfect set up but who knows there are some donks out there.
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  13. 01-31-11 08:16 AM #83
    wtt0315
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    since these tourneys are limited to few plays i think it would be cool if everyone in tourney got 1000 if someone got royal instead of 5000 to table would be about the same.
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  14. 01-31-11 10:35 AM #84
    lukahh
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    i've seent this happen only once in my lifetime... in perhaps 500 hours of play, avg 2-3 tables simultaniously.
    can't extrapolate this (i could if i saw it 10 times in 5000 hours).
    my guess is we won't see this more than once in tourney. good luck.
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  15. 01-31-11 11:09 AM #85
    keyboarding
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    A lot of people are forgetting one of the key factors; sure on a flop you'll check it down but preflop you are raising with suited connected face cards so now you're going to need someone to call your raise. That has to lower the numbers drastically.
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  16. 01-31-11 01:29 PM #86
    RudyRuetigger
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    chances of a royal flush is like 1 in 650k and someone thinks itll be over 20?
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  17. 01-31-11 01:44 PM #87
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by wiffle View Post
    royal flushes in Feb

    over/under 8.5
    I'd like to bet the under here.
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  18. 01-31-11 01:58 PM #88
    sportsfun
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    why don't people post here if they get royal to see how many get it this february tourney series.
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  19. 01-31-11 03:10 PM #89
    harlee71
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    Quote Originally Posted by Glitch View Post

    way under. it'll happen once and in the last week of february.
    4 to the royal at Glitch's table today.
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  20. 01-31-11 03:29 PM #90
    wiffle
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    Quote Originally Posted by Richards View Post
    I don't want to d

    The 30k number is for "7 randomly drawn cards" but a 9-handed table is 9 sets of 2 randomly drawn cards each combined with THE SAME SET of 5 randomly drawn cards. Each player's chance is tied to the community cards that they all share.
    yeah good point, i could only find 1 thing about odds of it at 9 handed table so i wasnt sure
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  21. 01-31-11 03:30 PM #91
    wiffle
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    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    chances of a royal flush is like 1 in 650k
    no.
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  22. 01-31-11 03:32 PM #92
    wiffle
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    Quote Originally Posted by keyboarding View Post
    A lot of people are forgetting one of the key factors; sure on a flop you'll check it down but preflop you are raising with suited connected face cards so now you're going to need someone to call your raise. That has to lower the numbers drastically.
    does anyone actually raise or fold to a raise in these donkaments
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  23. 01-31-11 03:46 PM #93
    OmgUrMom
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    does this apply for cash hands as well?
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  24. 01-31-11 03:46 PM #94
    wiffle
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    Quote Originally Posted by Richards View Post
    I'd be willing bet all the points I have not only UNDER 20 but UNDER 8.5 as well.

    what o/u number will you do 600 points to 12 points (your betpoints vs my betpoints)
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  25. 01-31-11 03:53 PM #95
    Footballtime
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    Has to be a royal flush huh? All face cards?? Just a straight flush wont get paid huh? Damn i dont think i have seen more then 1 or 2 royal flushes ever in game play! Gl though FBT
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  26. 01-31-11 04:34 PM #96
    wtt0315
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    i was close in the first tourney. about 10 hands in i got j10 clubs flop comes queen clubs ace clubs 7 clubs.. king comes next but it was diamond won a nice hand out of it but damn if that king would of just been clubs
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  27. 01-31-11 04:38 PM #97
    Richards
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    Quote Originally Posted by wiffle View Post
    what o/u number will you do 600 points to 12 points (your betpoints vs my betpoints)

    I'll give you 10 to 1 ---> 120 of mine for 12 of yours

    I take Under 8.5 Royal Flushes That trigger the SBR jackpot (meet the requirements) in the month of February 2011.

    I picked 8.5 since that's the number you stated is way too low, so should be an easy bet at 10:1.



    NOTE to everyone else: I don't want to come off like a cynic I'm loving the royal flush jackpot! But let's be realistic.
    Last edited by Richards; 01-31-11 at 04:42 PM. Reason: added note
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  28. 01-31-11 04:41 PM #98
    yisman
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    I am also willing to do such a bet, as I stated.

    Under 8.5 this month.
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  29. 01-31-11 04:49 PM #99
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    Great idea but I've never been at a table and seen a royal flush ever, mayb now its time
    Been playing poker 30 years, I have one royal to my name.
    One
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  30. 01-31-11 04:56 PM #100
    wiffle
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    lol i guess yall probably think im stupid but is 8.5 really that far off. ive seen 5 rfs on ps in the last month (about 25k hands). on ftp ive seen 5 in about 150k hands. so, if there is 200k hands like was said earlier, 8.5 seems about right. how many do yall think there will be?
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  31. 01-31-11 05:20 PM #101
    thisisit
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    Thank you SBR JOHN you keep making this place better and better!!
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  32. 01-31-11 05:22 PM #102
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by wiffle View Post
    lol i guess yall probably think im stupid but is 8.5 really that far off. ive seen 5 rfs on ps in the last month (about 25k hands). on ftp ive seen 5 in about 150k hands. so, if there is 200k hands like was said earlier, 8.5 seems about right. how many do yall think there will be?
    I'd be surprised if there were more than 4.

    2.5 would probably be a fair line.
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  33. 01-31-11 06:33 PM #103
    Villagers4din
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    it will happen eventually
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  34. 01-31-11 07:48 PM #104
    playersonly69
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    I will happen about 2 times this month.


    I have hit 4 Royals in my lifetime of playing live ring game poker and live tournament poker
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  35. 01-31-11 09:38 PM #105
    BeerDog99
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    How do you view the hand history past the last and current hand?
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