1. #1
    bigboydan
    bigboydan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 55,429

    anyone have any opinions on this poker tourny they have posted at pinny

    can you poker player share your thoughts please on this event.

    Poker Full Tilt Poker Invitational Live from Monaco:

    Player to win Full Tilt Poker Invitational

    Thu 11/24 Will P. Ivey win Full Tilt Poker Invitational?
    Yes +425
    No -465

    Thu 11/24 Will P. Hellmuth win Full Tilt Poker Invitational?
    Yes +560
    No -620

    Thu 11/24 Will J. Juanda win Full Tilt Poker Invitational?
    Yes +510
    No -570

    Thu 11/24 Will G. Hansen win Full Tilt Poker Invitational?
    Yes +576
    No -636

    Thu 11/24 Will M. Matusow win Full Tilt Poker Invitational?
    Yes +540
    No -610

    Thu 11/24 Will D. Ulliott win Full Tilt Poker Invitational?
    Yes +630
    No -700

    Thu 11/24 Will C. Ferguson win Full Tilt Poker Invitational?
    Yes +600
    No -670

  2. #2
    Dead Money
    Dead Money's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-30-05
    Posts: 706

    I hate to say it but I like Hellmuth's chances.

    Anyone of those choices are fully capable of winning it though.

  3. #3
    bigboydan
    bigboydan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 55,429

    i see him at +560 DM. do you feel the odds are about right, or a little short on him ?

  4. #4
    slacker00
    slacker00's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-06-05
    Posts: 12,262

    Players I like: Hellmuth, Juanda, Hansen in that order.
    Players I dislike: Ivey, Ferguson, Matusow in that order.

    Hellmuth is a decent all around player, with excellent instincts who maybe plays too conservative at times. Juanda is solid all around with solid skills. Hansen is erratic, but has the right set of skills to win these types of tournaments.

    Ivey terrific at cash games but doesn't make adequate adjustments for tournaments, not worth the odds he's getting. Ferguson is a class below this entire list of players. Matusow has the talent, but not the discipline to win.

    Just my opinions as a casual fan of "celebrity" TV poker.

  5. #5
    Illusion
    Illusion's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-09-05
    Posts: 25,171

    You can never go wrong with Ferguson +600

  6. #6
    moses millsap
    moses millsap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-05
    Posts: 8,215
    Betpoints: 312

    I'd rank them in this order in my chances to win in this setting:

    1.Phil Ivey-If he's focused, there is no one better. He can easily and quickly adapt to the table dynamics.
    2.Mike Matusow-Don't like his character, but guy is one of the best when he's not screwing around. A great talent at the table.
    3.Gus Hansen-Don't like his game, but if he wins his coin flips, he'll be in prime position.
    4.John Juanda-He's the last one I say has a serious chance.
    5.Phil Hellmuth-Little chance with these guys especially if he has the aggressors to his right opening the action constantly.
    6.Devilfish-Don't see it, he'll be pressured a lot by the top 3.
    7.Jesus-A step below, IMHO.

  7. #7
    darkghost
    darkghost's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-19-05
    Posts: 1,683
    Betpoints: 10209

    Tough field. If everyone has equal chips its anyone's game. I'd check their chip stacks and if someone amassed a decent amount go w/ them. Also a bet against the smallest chip stack sounds good. Is this list the final table or just the top players remaining worth betting?

  8. #8
    juuso
    juuso's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-04-05
    Posts: 2,896
    Betpoints: 48

    Tough one. Wouldn't bet much on this. Maybe i'll put a 10 or 20 to Hansen to win. I really like watching Gus Hansens play. He's style is so unpredictable but he is a very skilled player.

  9. #9
    bigboydan
    bigboydan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 55,429

    do you guys think Ulliott is worth a shot at +630 ?

  10. #10
    moses millsap
    moses millsap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-05
    Posts: 8,215
    Betpoints: 312

    The order of finish was:

    1.Ivey
    2.Juanda
    3.Ulliott
    4.Ferguson
    5.Hansen
    6.Hellmuth
    7.Matusow

  11. #11
    Lenny
    Lenny's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-05
    Posts: 10

    Phil Ivey just won the Monte Carlo Million a couple days ago. I would say he's on his tournament game right now.

Top