1. #1
    Emily_Haines
    Emily_Haines's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-09
    Posts: 14,656
    Betpoints: 14034

    It's too tough to beat the tourny lines

    Many players will take THUR and FRI off to gamble exclusively on these games. The books know this and take it up a notch bringing in many consultants to get the toughest lines possible.

    Many players will go BIG and get hurt bad!!!!!!!!!!!

    Now is not a time to go BIG, lines are too tough.

    If you have money left. CASH OUT!!!

    THIS WILL BE MY ONLY TRANSMISSION WARNING YOU OFF THE DANGERS IN GAMBLING ON POST SEASON CBB GAMES.

  2. #2
    rm18
    Update your status
    rm18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-05
    Posts: 22,331
    Betpoints: 5282

    i thought betting all dogs would win almost every year

  3. #3
    Nicky Santoro
    Nicky Santoro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-08-08
    Posts: 16,105
    Betpoints: 9413

    every game is 50-50 and over the 63 games, it's very beatable.. it's even possible to go 47-16 over those 63 games... however, it's over 6300 games that it now becomes unbeatable..

  4. #4
    SamsNCharge99
    5x POTM. 2x Video maker of the year
    SamsNCharge99's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-22-08
    Posts: 41,153
    Betpoints: 4858

    so ur saying as the tourney gets down, the lines become easier??

  5. #5
    jjgold
    Update your status
    jjgold's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 393,106
    Betpoints: 465

    Books clean up

    Amateurs in game now

  6. #6
    Chandler
    Chandler's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-11
    Posts: 705

    The Volume of the bets in the tourney combined with the fact that many regular bettors go bigger in the post-season, means that the books don't need to worry about the lines being sharper like the OP stated they did.

    they just need lines that split the action, and let the Sharps shape the lines.

    the market is alot more efficient during post-season hoops.

    secondly the books don't have to worry about 116 saturday college hoops games with the likes of the Citadel and Kennesaw St. squaring off. those are the games books can get hammered on, because some big time professional gamblers might actually get more info and good inside info on those games then the books can.

    there are alot less games and time in between them to allow the books to move lines where they need to, without worrying too much about the openers. in the tourney you only have like 4 games tipping of at the same time at any given time. unlike a wed or saturday in college hoops where you have 20 or 30 tipping off at the same time.

  7. #7
    BettingWizard
    BettingWizard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-28-09
    Posts: 6,522
    Betpoints: 102

    There's always edges out there when you're talking about a bunch of games on the board in one day or weekend. There's no way possible every single line is sharp.

  8. #8
    excel
    unapproved
    excel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-25-10
    Posts: 4,270

    Emily_hanes might be more hated than brock landers.

  9. #9
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 37,924
    Betpoints: 7420

    If every line was so perfect then none would move an inch. At the very least, if lines move more than a point there has gotta be value in either the opener or the closer, or both. Not easy to find, but not impossible.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 12/05/2022


  10. #10
    samgurt
    samgurt's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-31-10
    Posts: 2,980
    Betpoints: 60

    Now is the time to bet underdog moneylines of games with lines around +150. We all know there's a shit ton of upsets and being in neutral courts helps a lot

  11. #11
    vitalogist
    GET LOOSE!
    vitalogist's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-08
    Posts: 2,820
    Betpoints: 246

    Sharps take these weeks off from CBB...

  12. #12
    Emily_Haines
    Emily_Haines's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-09
    Posts: 14,656
    Betpoints: 14034

    NIT, CIT, CBI value can be found

    but the big teams in the big dance give the bettor no chance.

  13. #13
    zert
    zert's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-22-09
    Posts: 1,275
    Betpoints: 2004

    Thank you for your knowledge.

  14. #14
    jjgold
    Update your status
    jjgold's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 393,106
    Betpoints: 465

    There are so many strange matchups it makes it difficult
    Just take underdogs

    I think in Conference tourneys favs did pretty well

  15. #15
    Chandler
    Chandler's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-11
    Posts: 705

    The lines have moved a ton.

    many people are sitting very pretty on positions 2-3 or more points better than the closer will be

    Ncaa openers are soft for the tourney, the market shapes the line

  16. #16
    Emily_Haines
    Emily_Haines's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-09
    Posts: 14,656
    Betpoints: 14034

    Quote Originally Posted by Chandler View Post
    The lines have moved a ton.

    many people are sitting very pretty on positions 2-3 or more points better than the closer will be

    Ncaa openers are soft for the tourney, the market shapes the line
    Big moves will go 50/50 at best.

    Nearly every total bet lower. Historically totals have been 50/50. There is no bias to over or under in these games.

  17. #17
    Chandler
    Chandler's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-11
    Posts: 705

    alot easier to bet these lines than a typical saturday is all i'm saying.

  18. #18
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 37,924
    Betpoints: 7420

    Quote Originally Posted by Emily_Haines View Post
    Big moves will go 50/50 at best.

    Nearly every total bet lower. Historically totals have been 50/50. There is no bias to over or under in these games.
    OK so if a line moves from pk to -3, what is 50/50 -- pk or -3?
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 12/05/2022


  19. #19
    Mr. Jones
    Mr. Jones's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-02-05
    Posts: 942

    My objective from here on out is to get to the first pitch of bases season with bankroll intact. Of course would like to increase it a bit, but won't get greedy. Historically, this has been done by understanding that with public now onboard you must look closely at potential dog plays the first 2 days. Belmont is one example. Just pick your spots and don't get greedy, unless you are a real pro. Good Luck boys don't lose your shirt.

Top