[xkgb]

WARNING*UPDATE*WARNING*UPDATE*WARNING*UP DATE*WARNING*UPDATE

"Late last night the Avalanche and Blues agreed on a deal to send top flight d-man Eric Johnson and prospect forward Jay McClement to Colorado for two young, potentially high end players forward Chris Stewart and defenseman Kevin Shattenkirk. The two teams also exchanged draft picks (St. Louis sent a 1st round pick as Colorado packaged a 2nd round pick). All four of the players dealt were former first round draft picks..."

"Meanwhile, after trading away Eric Brewer the Blues went ahead and shipped out another solid d-man and this time got back two potential top line players, just not sure how they are gonna fill the big hole at the point with Shattenkirk taking Brewer/Johnson's spot."

THIS CERTAINLY CHANGES PERSPECTIVE ON MY BEST PLAY.....I AM NOW FAVORING THE OVER IN ST.LOUIS/COLORADO GAME, AND NO LONGER FAVORING THE BLUES TO WIN THE GAME....

I am not simply jumping ship, i'm only expressing my concern for the dynamics of the upcoming game....although i already made my pick late last night, i hope some of you still have time to make up your decision.....And although this still might be a winning play, i now favor over 5.5 in this game, with Blues still as favorites to win....BOL guys, and I HOPE YOU GET THIS MESSAGE BEFORE YOU BET TONIGHT.....CHEERS!!!!



THE NEW PLAY IS: OVER 5.5(BLUES/COLORADO)
UNDER 5 (NEW JERSEY/DALLAS)



ok fellas, this time i'm going to get this thing moving in the right direction...I watched lots of you take a hit tonight so i prepped a couple of picks that should get us all going in the right direction tommorow...2/22/11

1st. St.Louis (ml) to beat colorado @blues.....I kno, I kno, the blues just lost to hawks, and blah, blah, blah...u never taking them again...GET OVER IT!!! Colorado is by far, the stinkiest hockey team in the leagues right now, and despite their loss, blues showed me a good puck movement and spirited play throughout the game tonight, and if it wasnt for disallowed goal, they might have came back to top the hawks in OT...the line as of now is -210 for the game and -1.5 an enticing(+150)
I would hedge my bet here taking the blues -1.5 and throwing some insurance on (-210) just in case it stays close..(I REALLY DONT THINK THIS IS GOING TO BE A CLOSE ONE) i think the blues win an easy one, maybe 6-1, maybe 5-2, but win FOR SURE
2nd. Dallas/new jersey looks like a guaranteed under...the NHL lines are not out at bet Jamaica yet, but if they set it at 5.5 JUMP ALL OVER THE UNDER....I WOULD EVEN JUMP ON UNDER 5, this game will not see more then 3 or 4 goals total and im being generous....i really think we might see 1-0 or 2-1 most likely...........................

if you like the overs, the islanders/toronto could see 7 to 10 goals scored between the 2, but i h8 taking overs in hockey if one team knows how to play defense

well...BOL on these 2 plays....im SURE they are winners, so concentrate on those

i would put in order of strenght

1. st.Louis win(ML)
2. Dallas/New jersey under
3. St.Louis -1.5(+150)

but if you hedge these right, you'll have a GREAT night tommorow BOL

IM PUTTING $125 ON ST.lOUIS(-1.5)(+150) $250 ON BLUES(-210) AND $150 ON UNDER IN NEW JERSEY/DALLAS TOMMOROW(AS SOON AS LINES COME OUT)

SHIT I SHOULD HAVE SAID 2/22/10....DUH

[FourLengthsClear]

I saw your write up in Rod's thread today and thought it was solid analysis. Was not surprised you went 2-0.
I very rarely tail (or fade) other posters picks but I might have half a unit each on these.
BOL.

[Locke]

glad you werent joking about posting picks. only those who tail rod seemed to have a bad day today. i'm going to playing on the blues puckline too. the njd/dal game lines were released today at several books but were then pulled on pinny and have been offline since. devils dropped from -130 to -117 so im going to jump on that hopefully tomorrow. regardless, i think the under play is a smart one. good luck tomorrow boss!

[xkgb]

I saw your write up in Rod's thread today and thought it was solid analysis. Was not surprised you went 2-0. I very rarely tail (or fade) other posters picks but I might have half a unit each on these. BOL.

you wont regret it....i went 6-0 these last 2 days and came in 5th out of 179 in cross sport picking mostly hockey...you can look me up...I actually was in a lead but decided to bet nba and college at the end and lost my ass lol

HOCKEY IS WHAT I DO!!!!

[nyed1010]

devils under is always a solid play no matter who they play. Definitely putting some money on that one.

[shaunovery]

Best of luck with them

[Pete0]

Thank you xkgb

and BOL

[xkgb]

I just saw jjgold post a thread saying there are too many locks in this forum....i cant speak for most, and i hate to use term "lock" or "stamp" on any of my picks, because i believe those terms can jinx u, but i'm VERY VERY CONFIDENT IN MY PICKS.....And i will make a promise to everyone on this forum that I WILL NEVER MAKE ANOTHER PICK IN MY LIFE ON SBR FORUM IF ST'LOUIS DOES NOT WIN TOMORROW.....this is how certain im about that game....so take it how u want it, but i will stand by my word.

[Locke]

and i hate to use term "lock"

thats why i use "locke"..joking. i know what he means though. if i bet a nickel on every play that was posted as a "lock" i would be broke. no play is a guarantee, that is why EVERY sportsbooks brings in the profits every year and only SOME handicappers do. it is another reason why i dont bet 10 units on some picks and 1 unit on others. my ability to foresee the future on both of them is the same. im glad you are confident in your picks, that is probably a necessity to be a sportsbettor in the first place!

[Maverick11]

Like the under play as well. Will put several units on it.

[Rod1010]

This guy was spot on in my thread . Picks do make sense

[xkgb]

welcome rod, hope we all make money tomorrow.....BOL

[bozeman]

Hope you guys won't lose tonight with those picks

[Bob Loblaw]

4 games in 5 days for St Louis. Thats gotta be tough.

[xkgb]

afternoon game, followed by late night, home/home vs horrible team? yes, i took that under account, otherwise the line should have been -280

[Just Blaze]

Juice is way too high on the Blues ML to play it, do you really want to lay -200. Better off to play STL -0.5 reg at -122 to cut into it, plus Conklin is probably one of the worst goalies in the NHL when it comes to shootouts anyways. Av's have packed it in for the season now, they are playing worse than both the Sens and Oil right now, worst goal tending and defense in the NHL, they are big time fade material the rest of the way. And that NJ total is 5, but you can get +125 for the under if you want it.

[xkgb]

i absolutely want it and yes -210 is high but if u play -1.5(+150) hedged with straight up ML you protect your bet AND get a nice +150 to work with
anyways, im standing behind my picks, you feel free to do wat u like

plus, im giving you guys a winner, whether you like to lay 200 is a mute point, especially if your bet loses altogether, just look at tonights games, those of you that were afraid to lay -140 lost in the end everything you had....THIS IS THE ONLY PLAY, SO TAKE IT, OR RISK LOSING YOUR A$$ES AGAIN

[beanbag]

i like them both but it really should be more than +150 for a RL? dont you think?

[boondoggle]

I saw your write up in Rod's thread today and thought it was solid analysis. Was not surprised you went 2-0.
I very rarely tail (or fade) other posters picks but I might have half a unit each on these.
BOL.

smart for not tailing 99.9% of posters in this place.

[xkgb]

i like them both but it really should be more than +150 for a RL? dont you think?

sounds right to me, considering the missmatch

[gamemastere]

thanks for posting these picks

[Just Blaze]

The Puck line for the San Jose Colorado game the other night was SJ -1.5 +110 just for reference, if you're saying that +150 isn't enough value for a puck line beanbag

[FrizB]

Thanks xkgb! I also read your write-ups in Rod's threads yesterday... Spot on! Best of luck tonight...

[Sawyer]

Nice value on Avalanche +180 imo. Blues are not a bad team but they should not be favored so much.

[Sawyer]

Oh not to mention, Colorado is an Iron Dog play today..

[VegasInsider]

I just saw jjgold post a thread saying there are too many locks in this forum....i cant speak for most, and i hate to use term "lock" or "stamp" on any of my picks, because i believe those terms can jinx u, but i'm VERY VERY CONFIDENT IN MY PICKS.....And i will make a promise to everyone on this forum that I WILL NEVER MAKE ANOTHER PICK IN MY LIFE ON SBR FORUM IF ST'LOUIS DOES NOT WIN TOMORROW.....this is how certain im about that game....so take it how u want it, but i will stand by my word.

Give me a break. You have a spreadsheet or proof of record long term? I'm not talking about the contest you were just in. If you don't, I would suggest everyone to tread lightly and don't get waxed today.

[30K Millionaire]

Hope you didn't lock in St. Louis -210. Line is dropping now it's at -180. I'll be on Colorado good luck.

[ehp6737]

BOL with your plays

[BigWilly]

I like these plays, good luck every one let's make some cash!

[VegasInsider]

Hope you didn't lock in St. Louis -210. Line is dropping now it's at -180. I'll be on Colorado good luck.

Had to have known that Colorado was going to gain some momentum overnight. Might be on the right side, but cost yourself about 30 points of insurance.

[No coincidences]

STL now -170 at Pinny.

[xkgb]

Give me a break. You have a spreadsheet or proof of record long term? I'm not talking about the contest you were just in. If you don't, I would suggest everyone to tread lightly and don't get waxed today.

you are absolutely right.....always tread lightly...NOTHING IS FOR SURE....Im only a human, and ONLY on a hot streak, which means very little. Im only giving you what im betting, and you should ALWAYS use ur head and not bet wat you cant lose....GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!!!!!

[Vindicate]

SHIT I SHOULD HAVE SAID 2/22/10....DUH

totally unrelated but 2010 haha? guess you typo'd again.

[xkgb]

totally unrelated but 2010 haha? guess you typo'd again.

YEP..haaahaha my mind is on other things lol

[face]

why are dallas underdogs at home vs. new jersey?