1. 02-07-11 02:58 AM #1
    goblue12
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    Need help on decision to arb or not

    I have a 1000/333 on S. Zhang -300 in this tennis match.

    Opened at +150/-169. Pinny currently has +488 / -625.

    My book which I placed the original bet has the other girl (Z. Kucova) at +550 now, probably thanks to my action.

    Both bets would be +EV on Pinny's price.

    Do I arb or let it ride?
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  2. 02-07-11 03:00 AM #2
    OmgUrMom
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    wow so u would be arbing a -300 and +488? thats a huge arb, i'd probably take it unless losing this bet won't hurt at all.

    its usally the more +ev decision to just let the wager ride
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  3. 02-07-11 03:02 AM #3
    goblue12
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    Quote Originally Posted by OmgUrMom View Post
    wow so u would be arbing a -300 and +488? thats a huge arb, i'd probably take it unless losing this bet won't hurt at all. its usally the more +ev decision to just let the wager ride
    No. I would have +550 and -300.

    EDIT: It's +580 and -625 at BetFair (the market) so I'll probably just let it ride.
    EDIT #2: Now +380 and -795 at my shop.
    Last edited by goblue12; 02-07-11 at 03:08 AM.
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  4. 02-07-11 03:05 AM #4
    Iwinyourmoney
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    i would bet 333 on the plus 550
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  5. 02-07-11 03:14 AM #5
    ApricotSinner32
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    Quote Originally Posted by Iwinyourmoney View Post
    i would bet 333 on the plus 550
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  6. 02-07-11 04:41 AM #6
    Glitch
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    zhangs pretty good but i dont know the other chick at all. goodluck.
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