1. 01-22-11 11:50 PM #71
    RITZ
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    DA BEARS DA BEARS DA BEARS! line is off by 3.5/no way GB is 3.5 favs at Chicago. plus Bears home field adv of 3 points means on a neutral field Gb favored by 6.5? uh uh
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  2. 01-22-11 11:51 PM #72
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by ElCapitan View Post
    Are you looking at the same stats that I am?

    Offensively, GB is rushing the ball about the same YPG as CHI - 100 vs. 101 - but their passing is considerably better at 258 vs. 188. Defensively, GB is allowing 115 YPG rushing while CHI is only allowing 90. Passing, Chicago give up 224 per game vs GB's 194.

    Clearly from these stats we can see that the Achilles heel for Chicago may be Green Bay's passing game but to say that GB is better on both sides of the ball? That's a bit of a stretch. With the 20 degree day tomorrow and both teams well accustomed to playing in the cold I expect to see run, run, run. I think the one-two punch of Forte and Taylor get to the Pack tomorrow and I expect to see Olsen involved a lot more as well.
    Total defense is not as important as points allowed, a lot of team allow yardage between the 20's and stiffen when it counts in the red zone. The Packers allowed 15.0 points per game this year, second to the Steelers at 14.5 points without nearly the publicity that the Pitt defense gets.
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  3. 01-22-11 11:53 PM #73
    JuicedUp
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    I took the bears +4. I'll admit that.
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  4. 01-23-11 12:03 AM #74
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    Quote Originally Posted by RITZ View Post
    DA BEARS DA BEARS DA BEARS! line is off by 3.5/no way GB is 3.5 favs at Chicago. plus Bears home field adv of 3 points means on a neutral field Gb favored by 6.5? uh uh
    Sagarin has Packers by 9 on a neutral field, so line is not skewed in Bears favor like many seem to think.
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  5. 01-23-11 12:20 AM #75
    RITZ
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    Dunkel rating on Bears/ GB?
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  6. 01-23-11 12:23 AM #76
    PlatinumBerg
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    Bears +3.5 AND Bears ML
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  7. 01-23-11 12:26 AM #77
    RITZ
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    yes Platberg! Lovie Smith 17-4 in revenge games
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  8. 01-23-11 12:28 AM #78
    Le_Donk
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  9. 01-23-11 12:30 AM #79
    GoldRush7
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    anything can happen in the playoffs, going with both dogs tomorrow!
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  10. 01-23-11 01:05 AM #80
    RJ89
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    I took the Bears..

    cant wait to bump this thread..
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  11. 01-23-11 01:24 AM #81
    daneault23
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    This is what I have for tomorrow..

    Bears +3.5 3 units
    Bears ML +170 1.5 units
    Chicago/GB under 42.5 1.5 units
    Jets +4 3 units
    Jets ML +180 1.5 units
    NYJ/PIT under 38 1.5 units

    Let's see how things play out
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  12. 01-23-11 01:28 AM #82
    newjerseydevils
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    Go bears go! Bear down!
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  13. 01-23-11 03:34 AM #83
    GELATINOUS CUBE
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    WV....

    Uh, Running Back

    Record 11-5,

    Home Field advantage.

    Bears should be minus 3 except for Green Bay's defense and overall strength.

    Should be pick -110/-110.
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  14. 01-23-11 03:39 AM #84
    GELATINOUS CUBE
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    Damn, does anybody have the Packers??

    LT tends to be real good at major playoff games.

    Maybe I'll hammer the Packers??
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  15. 01-23-11 03:42 AM #85
    GOIRISH
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    i have the bears winning, not the best bet, but if it hits i will enjoy it
    Last edited by GOIRISH; 01-23-11 at 03:49 AM.
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  16. 01-23-11 04:20 AM #86
    fishmonger
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    on the bears
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  17. 01-23-11 04:24 AM #87
    MadTiger
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    Quote Originally Posted by JuicedUp View Post
    I took the bears +4. I'll admit that.
    This.
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  18. 01-23-11 04:32 AM #88
    Ace_of_Spades
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    On the Bears.
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  19. 01-23-11 05:42 AM #89
    shade3599
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    I'm on the bears. I will take the 3.5 and run with it. I think whoever wins only wins by a field goal. This is a huge rivalry game and past has shown that anyone can win this game.
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  20. 01-23-11 06:05 AM #90
    politicin
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    I will be on the Bears +4
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  21. 01-23-11 06:28 AM #91
    sweethook
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    i like value and thats in a nfl home team. bears + points lot of parlays
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  22. 01-23-11 06:45 AM #92
    Reload
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  23. 01-23-11 07:02 AM #93
    BigMama
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    great day for all
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  24. 01-23-11 07:05 AM #94
    thebertshow
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    Looks like I am one of the few who likes Green Bay
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  25. 01-23-11 07:06 AM #95
    teddyd
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    chicago has shocked everyone this year, wouldn't be surprised if they continued to do so.
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  26. 01-23-11 07:22 AM #96
    chiliv5
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    i think you can throw all the stats out the window. it is going to come down to special teams and turnovers. both are unpredictable. i think the pack are stupid if they kick to hester. i think cutler may be more apt to throw a pick than rogers. but a tipped pass, a drop here, a james starks first huge game fumble, and who knows what happens. i think the bears better use olsen. he cant get lost in the mix today if they want to move the ball. i also think they need to run matthews from one side of the field to the other with forte. i wouldn't run right up the middle, stretch the field and look for cut back lanes on a bad slippery field. i also dont trust martz. none. i think he could call a hell of a game if his head is on, but you never know if its going to be a circus or not with him. lovie will probably stand around like (my colts coach caldwell) and look confused most of the game. the pack are going to come in with a detailed plan and the bears have to stop it. i honeslty dont know what the bears plan of attack will be? in a game like this, with the weather what it will be, and the field going from bad to worse, a slip here on coverage, or a missed takle, or whatever and this game can go either way.
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  27. 01-23-11 07:25 AM #97
    McBa1n
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    This game is still too uncertain. IMO, Bears ML has some nice value and Bears + points is just too juicy to lay off of.
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  28. 01-23-11 07:33 AM #98
    Bigmikesm
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    I'm on the Bears +3.5. I think this game is decided by a fg either way.
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  29. 01-23-11 07:44 AM #99
    parlayin
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buried_PIRATE View Post
    Took the bears +4.. I'll be thanking bodog for that +.5 later...
    For that extra half point to matter, you'd be pushing. You expect to thank the book for a backdoor push? Not very confident.
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  30. 01-23-11 08:56 AM #100
    Dark Horse
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    Value bet on Bears. May not win, but Packers are overrated after two strong games. Basically a free 3.5 pts.
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  31. 01-23-11 09:21 AM #101
    Skidcom
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    Impossible to avoid a home dog in a championship game. I took them
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  32. 01-23-11 09:21 AM #102
    Skidcom
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    (but I do have Green Bay to win the Super Bowl)
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  33. 01-23-11 09:36 AM #103
    xyzky
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    Have Da Bears +4...
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  34. 01-23-11 09:44 AM #104
    uhuhahah
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    Bears and Jets ML baby..
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  35. 01-23-11 09:53 AM #105
    jgray
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buried_PIRATE View Post
    Took the bears +4.. I'll be thanking bodog for that +.5 later...
    So you are counting on a push? Why play it?
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