Nicky, did I get a good #?

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  • emoney
    SBR MVP
    • 03-12-09
    • 1481

    #1
    Nicky, did I get a good #?
    So, when the Auburn/Oregon line first came out I bet Auburn -3 big because I figured it would only go up.

    How am I doing at this beating the closing line thing?

    I think I may bet Oregon now and go for a Polish middle.
  • dfberger23
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-08-10
    • 5069

    #2
    Auburn -3 is maybe the worst line you could get.
    Comment
    • WvGambler
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-19-10
      • 11618

      #3
      Yea man.....Auburn -3 is getting Auburn at it's worst point.
      Comment
      • OmgUrMom
        Restricted User
        • 02-07-10
        • 8481

        #4
        ya done good pal, ya done real good
        Comment
        • Nicky Santoro
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-08-08
          • 16103

          #5
          Right now, anything better than Aub -3 +155/ Oreg +3 -155 is a good line.. anything less is a bad line.

          So if you got Aub -3 -110, win or lose, you lost a ton of money

          Why you ask???

          Lets say you risked 1,000.. your way, you win 909$.. if you risked 1,000 and got the true line of -3 +155, then you only lose 645$ instead of 1000$

          and if you win, by risking 1,000$, you would win 1,550$ instead of 909$.. you see how important it is to not bet bad #'s
          Comment
          • emoney
            SBR MVP
            • 03-12-09
            • 1481

            #6
            Yes I do. I thought it was a good number when I bet it.

            Obviously, I was wrong. I suck at this, that is my point.

            I certainly don't always get the best number, but I'd like to think I could I avoid getting the worst.
            Comment
            • Mac4Lyfe
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-04-09
              • 48366

              #7
              I got it early as well. That's why it's called gambling. If we new which way the line would move, we'd be working on Wall Street.
              Comment
              • sickler
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 06-05-08
                • 15006

                #8
                Originally posted by emoney
                Yes I do. I thought it was a good number when I bet it.

                Obviously, I was wrong. I suck at this, that is my point.

                I certainly don't always get the best number, but I'd like to think I could I avoid getting the worst.
                Why are you asking if you got a good number when you know the line moved against you?
                Comment
                • Al Masters
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-29-06
                  • 6940

                  #9
                  Originally posted by sickler
                  Why are you asking if you got a good number when you know the line moved against you?
                  Sarcasm.

                  I actually give the guy credit,few would come on here and poke fun at themselves for trying to get a good number and end up with the worst number come game time and tell it to the board after the fact.
                  Comment
                  • yisman
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 09-01-08
                    • 75682

                    #10
                    Nicky doesn't know what he's talking about.

                    You got a good line.

                    Auburn is -1 now, and 3 is higher than 1, so you win.
                    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                    [/quote]

                    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                    Comment
                    • sickler
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 06-05-08
                      • 15006

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Al Masters
                      Sarcasm.

                      I actually give the guy credit,few would come on here and poke fun at themselves for trying to get a good number and end up with the worst number come game time and tell it to the board after the fact.
                      Yeah don't know why I took his post serious. Someone must have slipped a serious pill in my drink at dinner.
                      Comment
                      • yisman
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-01-08
                        • 75682

                        #12
                        Nicky may be the worst at detecting sarcasm I've ever seen.

                        Nicky, your post was not only worthless and didn't give us anything we didn't know, but it completely missed the point of the thread.
                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                        [/quote]

                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                        Comment
                        • emoney
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-12-09
                          • 1481

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Al Masters
                          Sarcasm.

                          I actually give the guy credit,few would come on here and poke fun at themselves for trying to get a good number and end up with the worst number come game time and tell it to the board after the fact.
                          Thanks Al. I am glad somebody got it.

                          Apparently a poor attempt at humor if it had to be explained like this.
                          Comment
                          • yisman
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-01-08
                            • 75682

                            #14
                            It's solid. It served to poke fun at Nicky, and Nicky was completely oblivious, which made it that much better.

                            Boys, you couldn't ask for a better reply from Nicky here.
                            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                            [/quote]

                            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                            Comment
                            • Nicky Santoro
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-08-08
                              • 16103

                              #15
                              Originally posted by yisman
                              It's solid. It served to poke fun at Nicky, and Nicky was completely oblivious, which made it that much better.

                              Boys, you couldn't ask for a better reply from Nicky here.
                              wtf man.. you think i didn't know he was being sarcastic? come on man, gimme a break.. i think you might have taken one of sicklers pill that he took...
                              Comment
                              • yisman
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-01-08
                                • 75682

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                                Right now, anything better than Aub -3 +155/ Oreg +3 -155 is a good line.. anything less is a bad line. So if you got Aub -3 -110, win or lose, you lost a ton of money Why you ask??? Lets say you risked 1,000.. your way, you win 909$.. if you risked 1,000 and got the true line of -3 +155, then you only lose 645$ instead of 1000$ and if you win, by risking 1,000$, you would win 1,550$ instead of 909$.. you see how important it is to not bet bad #'s
                                Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                                wtf man.. you think i didn't know he was being sarcastic? come on man, gimme a break.. i think you might have taken one of sicklers pill that he took...
                                Nicky, if you knew he was being sarcastic, then why on earth would you make that first post? What are we supposed to think?
                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                [/quote]

                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                Comment
                                • Al Masters
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-29-06
                                  • 6940

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by emoney
                                  Thanks Al. I am glad somebody got it.

                                  Apparently a poor attempt at humor if it had to be explained like this.
                                  Welcome.

                                  All the people will not get all the jokes all the time, does not mean poor humor.
                                  Comment
                                  • Al Masters
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-29-06
                                    • 6940

                                    #18
                                    A push instead of a win.
                                    Comment
                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 48366

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                      I got it early as well. That's why it's called gambling. If we new which way the line would move, we'd be working on Wall Street.
                                      and this is why you have to get the best line... Shit happens
                                      Comment
                                      • Nicky Santoro
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-08-08
                                        • 16103

                                        #20
                                        these linesmakers are so bang on that every half pt means the world. for example, if you bet 20 games a day for 1k each and you get half pt each game better, you'll save roughly 300,000$/yr.. that's right... 300k... that's the diff between getting slaughtered in gambling, to breaking even.. and all this because you got an extra half pt on a game.

                                        still don't respect that extra half pt?..
                                        Comment
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