1. #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Thursday, 7/17/08

    Starting Tuesday (July 1), we will start a new July Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest with a prize of $100 account at 5 Dimes, 3 time roll-over. Last place will receive a $25 5 Dimes account with a 3 time roll over. If there is a tie for last place in both units and wins (20 plays minimum), there will be be multiple last place boobie prizes.

    *IMPORTANT*
    All players must have an account at 5 Dimes prior to making picks SIGN UP Here.

    Before participating, players must PM their 5 Dimes account ID to SBRforum Staff


    1. Check in the BASEBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Only the UNDERDOGS in games posted by LT will be eligible for selection, which will be only games that have underdog prices of greater than +110.

    3. All plays will be RISKING one unit, and selections may NOT be changed once posted.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up! The write-up does not have to be long, just a sentence or two (or more) about why you are making your play.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis will be NO ACTION. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake, need to add analysis or wish to enter a corrected line, do so in a separate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not go off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not contest selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts, LT's notes to posters or congratulatory posts.
    *-EXCEPTION: If someone edits a post on the last day of the competition in an attempt to get an automatic loss in order to win the Last Place prize, then the original post will stand.

    6. And here’s the fine print:

    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per home and computer.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one underdog pick per day, minimum 20 underdog plays required to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker for first place is total WINS. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head underdog match until winner is determined. This would begin on the first day of next month with no passes allowed. If co-leader passes during tie-breaking period, he or she is eliminated, even if other co-leaders lose.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.

  2. #2
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    Name            W       L       Units
    thezbar      	6	4	4.67
    Immortality  	5	4	3.05
    msubulldog	4	3	2.32
    Odessa     	5	4	2.12
    EddieJones  	2	1	2.12
    cobra king  	5	4	2.06
    Elite 8     	1	0	1.26
    reno cool  	3	3	1.24
    Junkyard Dog	5	5	1.14
    FreeFall   	5	6	0.68
    xstac2169  	3	3	0.56
    Cabo        	4	5	0.51
    Nostradamus 	5	7	0.41
    InTheHole  	4	6	0.27
    spliff      	1	1	0.22
    pavyracer    	5	8	0.11
    dog       	2	3	0.04
    pokernut9999	5	7	-0.07
    Sportsgirl	1	2	-0.12
    MonkeyF0cker	1	2	-0.15
    coldhardfacts	2	3	-0.64
    BigOrangeTitans	1	2	-0.76
    strictlywinners	1	2	-0.80
    awatkins011	4	7	-0.98
    Capwizards  	0	1	-1.00
    miko2806   	0	1	-1.00
    RIPmyson  	0	1	-1.00
    RiverRaid	0	1	-1.00
    stevek173 	0	1	-1.00
    swifty       	0	1	-1.00
    txsholdempro	0	1	-1.00
    Kaps       	3	5	-1.17
    fifawcs    	5	8	-1.24
    element1286	4	6	-1.26
    Shooter    	3	5	-1.28
    LGBoots    	3	6	-1.52
    Jacey      	2	4	-1.58
    jtuck      	1	3	-1.78
    seaborneq     	4	8	-1.83
    pat venditto  	1	4	-1.90
    bebo7910   	0	2	-2.00
    rm18        	2	6	-2.02
    brock      	3	6	-2.35
    mr. leisure 	2	6	-2.70
    Mr KLC      	4	8	-2.88
    darrell74    	0	3	-3.00
    acuraintegralov	1	5	-3.12
    soli        	3	7	-3.22
    head strong 	3	8	-3.52
    juuso      	1	5	-3.71
    rake922      	3	9	-3.99
    louisvillekid  	0	4	-4.00
    thejrichshow85	0	4	-4.00
    sharktank1  	3	9	-4.11
    20Four7     	1	6	-4.15
    oakas      	4	9	-4.18
    SexyMit     	2	8	-4.40
    Wrigley     	2	8	-4.72
    sportsfun   	2	6	-4.77
    PureGuava  	1	6	-4.81
    Checkerboard	3	9	-4.87
    Pigpen     	1	7	-5.12
    AmazingAmanda	0	6	-6.00
    Richkas     	0	6	-6.00
    LT Profits	3	10	-6.24
    ertl09      	1	9	-7.78
    smitch124  	2	11	-7.98
    WonTooManyBets	0	8	-8.00
    woodg8    	3	11	-8.33

  3. #3
    head_strong
    head_strong's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-02-08
    Posts: 4,318
    Betpoints: 500

    Pittsburgh Pirates +132
    Maholm went 8 innings his last start against the Yankees only giving up 2 runs, I look for him to keep it going here. Jimenez has been strong of late as well but I give a slight advantage to the Pirates offense.

  4. #4
    ertl09
    ertl09's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-10-07
    Posts: 1,413
    Betpoints: 79

    Reds +130, not many choices to choice from, plus looking to take last place. The Red's Cueto has been great at times. With the break the Mets may have cooled off a bit.

  5. #5
    Checkerboard
    Checkerboard's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-15-06
    Posts: 7,791
    Betpoints: 14349

    Pittsburgh Pirates +134

    Offense and pitching edges to the Pirates here, imo.
    Hopefully they come up with the road win to open their second half.

    Good luck everybody!

  6. #6
    Jacey
    Jacey's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-03-08
    Posts: 464
    Betpoints: 90

    PIT +

    Maholm has a nice 6-5, 3.93 record.......Ubaldo has done well recently but was shelled earlier in the year. Last time PIT played in COL, Maholm pitched and won, when Colorado was playing much better than they have this atrocious year. Both teams BA and OPS match up, but PIT averages 4.89 runs a game, more than a half run better than the 4.36 put up by the Rockies.

  7. #7
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Thu 7/17 951 New York Mets
    7:10PM (EST) 952 Cincinnati Reds +125

    Thu 7/17 955 Pittsburgh Pirates +142
    9:05PM (EST) 956 Colorado Rockies

  8. #8
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    REDS +125: Santana is obviously one of the best pitchers in baseball, but he uncharacteristically allowed 10 hits in six innings in his only start vs. the Reds this year, and that was in Shea Stadium. He is now facing them in this bandbox ballpark with hot weather expected, which is when the ball carries best here. Also, Cueto has pitched better than his 4.67 ERA would indicate, and he does have a nice 1.20 WHIP at home.

  9. #9
    FreeFall
    FreeFall's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-20-08
    Posts: 3,365
    Betpoints: 2391

    Cincinnati Reds +125
    Reds are 5-1 in Cuetos last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.

  10. #10
    smitch124
    smitch124's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-19-08
    Posts: 12,564
    Betpoints: 1547

    Cincinnati Reds +125 Out of just 2 choices here, I'll take the home dog.

  11. #11
    LGBoots
    LGBoots's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 742
    Betpoints: 31

    Reds +125 Cueto has been hot & cold this season but i'll take him to have a good day today.

  12. #12
    Cabo
    Cabo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-07-06
    Posts: 5,208
    Betpoints: 22555

    Pittsburgh Pirates +142
    Maholm has pitched well of late, taking the Pirates in this one.

  13. #13
    Pigpen
    High On The Hogs
    Pigpen's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-09-08
    Posts: 2,642
    Betpoints: 13529

    Thu 7/17 955 Pittsburgh Pirates +142

    Line is too high here IMO. Maholm has been pitching well of late. In his last 3 starts he has 23 innings with an era of 1.96. He has faced the Rocks twice in his career with an era of 3.75. The Rocks were losers of 4 in a row before the all star break and I can see them losing another on this evening against the Pirates.

  14. #14
    xstac2169
    xstac2169's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-01-08
    Posts: 84

    Cincy +125

    The mets have to lose sometime and why not on the road. They dont give Santana much support this year and hopefully they dont tonight as well.

  15. #15
    thezbar
    .lent
    thezbar's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-29-06
    Posts: 6,398
    Betpoints: 1580

    Reds +125 Dream system I barked dog and asked my mind to give me a selection for today while I was sleeping. The Reds popped into my mind this morning. This is weird! I did not know the lineup last night, yet I came up with one of the only two plays available.

  16. #16
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,556
    Betpoints: 13422

    Pirates +134,The Rockies have shown their true colors. They suck.

  17. #17
    reno cool
    the meaning of harm
    reno cool's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-02-08
    Posts: 3,567

    cincinati. Can't miss any days now. Figure you got to have 6 picks just to be live by now. Cueto is pretty strong and the Mets no good. Santana not that strong. But only since your holding a gun to my head.

  18. #18
    InTheHole
    InTheHole's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-28-08
    Posts: 15,243

    952 Cincinnati Reds +125. This will be a low scoring game and tonight the Met's winning streak will come to an end.

  19. #19
    element1286
    element1286's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-25-08
    Posts: 3,370

    Pirates +142

    Should be a close game, and I'll take the + money to win.

  20. #20
    pavyracer
    MOLON LABE
    pavyracer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-12-07
    Posts: 82,188
    Betpoints: 292

    Pittsburgh Pirates +142

    Maholm is the best pitcher of Pirates and the Pirates offense will muster enough runs for the win.

  21. #21
    Mr KLC
    Mr KLC's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-19-07
    Posts: 30,515
    Betpoints: 259

    Pittsburgh Pirates +142


    Maholm is hot, pitching back to back 8 inning games, one being against the Yankees. Pirates are 4th biggest scoring team in NL.

  22. #22
    Junkyard Dog
    Get up and Get it
    Junkyard Dog's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-12-07
    Posts: 4,552
    Betpoints: 1707

    952 Cincinnati Reds +125 - fading johan on the road

  23. #23
    brock
    brock's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-07-08
    Posts: 7,729
    Betpoints: 12414

    952 Cincinnati Reds +125 Santana has been struggling.

  24. #24
    pokernut9999
    pokernut9999's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-25-07
    Posts: 12,757

    Pitt +142 : Flipped a coin , heads Pitt or tails Cinn. Came up tails so I take Pitt.

  25. #25
    fifawcs
    fifawcs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-14-07
    Posts: 2,888

    Reds +125
    They have a better shot at winning than Maholm does. Balls fly out of Coors field and the Rockies crush lefties. Cueto can be an ace, especially at home. While the Reds don't have much success against lefties, there is a lot of value in taking them as a dog at home.

  26. #26
    rm18
    Update your status
    rm18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-05
    Posts: 22,291
    Betpoints: 207814

    Pirates +142 Only two picks and I need to make it up to 20, and the other one is a bad play.

  27. #27
    sharktank1
    sharktank1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-17-07
    Posts: 970

    PIRATES + 142

    Going with Maholm here to get me going in the 2'nd half of this contest.
    Having Doumit hitting one out in the light air of Coors Field helps seal the win!

    G.L. everybody

  28. #28
    PureGuava
    PureGuava's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-26-08
    Posts: 1,294
    Betpoints: 120

    Cincinnati Reds +125
    I just want to see the Mets lose.

  29. #29
    awatkins011
    awatkins011's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-07
    Posts: 397

    Reds +125

    Taking the home dog right after the break. Hoping Reds get to Santana early.

  30. #30
    oakas
    oakas's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-07
    Posts: 1,461
    Betpoints: 17640

    Cincinnati +125

    Santana 1-5 last 6 as a favorite.
    Mets 0-6 last 6 as road favorite.
    Reds 4-0 last 4 home games.

  31. #31
    juuso
    juuso's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-04-05
    Posts: 2,896
    Betpoints: 48

    Two mediocre lineups with decent power and a game that can easily go either way. Jimenez is very talented and capable, but inconstency has bothered him this season. Coors might be tough place for Maholm, but he has been effective for most of the summer. He might very well match the outing of Jimenez. Taking them at +142 as I think The Pirates have a realistic shot here.

  32. #32
    juuso
    juuso's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-04-05
    Posts: 2,896
    Betpoints: 48

    The pick was Pirates +142

Top