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NE -4 but by game time it will be NE -6 so I would grab the NE ML as soon as it comes out and then grab the points with Atl right before the game starts.
Then I will get hammered while watching the Patriots win by a field goal, effectively cashing both tickets.
You guys are nuts if you think the Pats are going to be more than 5 point favorites.
their lines are always inflated
I fixed that for you.Originally Posted by big0mar
And books will be more likely to add the hook to make it -7.5 than subtract the hook and make it -6.5.
I think a lot of people here don't realize just how much better New England is than the rest of the league right now, and a lot are also overrating Atlanta.
pats with a touchdown
Atlanta played the Patriots last year in Foxboro and they were +3.5. If you think you are going to get +7.5 on the Falcons in neutral field in a dome which is Falcons favorite surface you need to get your head examined ASAP.
I'm not sure Atlanta will make it to the superbowl...but if they do...
New England -7
I just made a bet on this match up. This super bowl will NOT happen. Sorry.
ne vs gb
ne -4.5
take gb
if JJ is on this then I doubt either team will make it
Nicky Santoro is right. It depends how these teams look in the playoffs. I doubt both #1 seeds will make it to the Super Bowl again anyway. Last season was the first time it had happened since the 1993-1994 season!
I hope the pats are sb champs this yr!
jj ask your dad who he likes then get back to me...fukking guy sends it in!
If this match-up comes to pass and the Patriots are less than -7, it would force me to make possibly the second biggest bet of my life on New England.
And what does Atlanta being +3,5 last year have to do with anything? The Patriots are twice as good now as they are then while the Falcons are basically he same team that overachieved during the regular season.
I think it's all moot though because the Falcons are just one of five teams in the NFC with a fair chance to so to Super Bowl, and they have the worst value.
We all know
So why even bother playing the playoffs since JJ said it.
Falcons is not the same team as last year. The defense is superb. Abraham is finally healthy and we have actually two corner backs that can cover (one of them made the Pro Bowl). So you are saying that the Falcons bribed the NFL officials to give them 7 players on Pro Bowl.
Falcons in a dome stadium will not be a dog by more than 7 points. All the speed they have in offense neutralizes Patriots home field advantage in Foxboro where they play outdoors. All of Patriots losses were on the road and their Dome record is not outstanding.
Also the Patriots have to play two of the best defenses in the league to make the Superbowl (Ravens & Steelers) and they will be bruised and battered after those 2 games.
the team to Make the Super Bowl on the NFC side is playing this weekend, and it isn't the Seahawks.
NE -9
You got it wrong coach
It will be Pitt vs Atl
It's not that hard to figure out lines at this point looking at current odds and futures odds. Just run the numbers. Barring injuries, of course. Pats should be right on or around -7 vs. Atlanta. No further debate necessary.
With Seattle's upset, I think NFC Championship Game is this week. I still like Packers, but winner of Packers/Falcons will go to Super Bowl.
That's a different ballgame altogether. Of course the next coupld weeks will factor in, but barring injuries or complete domination, NE should be right around -7 vs. Atlanta. Could move as low as -6 or as high as -8, depending on ancillary factors. But that's the line. The futures numbers don't lie.
NE -7.5
to pavy's comment:
Pats team this year is playing much better than last year so no way you can compare last year's line.
Public is going to be all over NE this year so barring injuries I don't see them not being 7 pt. or higher favorites.
Will be all over them personally if the line does come in at -5 or something similar.
7.5 would have me torn and would lean toward the underdog with that many points which is why it is the best line for the books based on where these 2 teams are at today.
40% are on the jets this week and in most minds Atlanta > New York so if the line is -7 NE, I see it close to a split.
What do you like better NE/ATL +425 or Pit/GB +2600
These super bowls can't happen now.
Neither.What do you like better NE/ATL +425 or Pit/GB +2600
These super bowls can't happen now.
Super Bowl will be NE/GB
I agree with this. The winner of the Saturday night game will represent the NFC in the Bowl.
+485 at 5dimes right now.
Not so bad.
I have to say I think the game is most likely to be new england, green bay. The falcons had a really weak schedule and Aaron Rodgers has been plagued this season. If he stays healthy, the packers are definitely the NFC team to beat.
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